p*****a
发帖数: 3634 | 1 ZZ from trackitt
Thanks for your response. Based on analysis of I-485 inventory data as on 30
-Sep-11 released by USCIS, I think there is ample scope of PD movement for
EB2 I.
1. The total I-485 inventory of EB1 plus EB2 cases was 39K as at Sep.end. Of
this 15K was for 2011 filings (which will be from countries other than
India and China).
2. USCIS needs to build an I-485 inventory of 90K by April 2012 end,
assuming a lead-time of 4 months for USCIS to process the I-485 applications
and a rejection rate of 10% so that the 80K visas are utilized by Sep. 2012
end. In addition, they also need to a keep an inventory of 30K at Sep.2012
end for processing in the first quarter of FY 2013.
3. In the years 2008, 2009, 2010, EB1 inventory was 151, 295, 3495.
4. In the years 2008, 2009, 2010, EB2 inventory was 703, 1167, 3561.
5. Because the EB1 and EB2 demand/inventory is very low in the years 2008,
2009, 2010 from other countries whose PD was current (may be due to
recession), it leaves a huge amount of spillover for India and China.
6. If the I-485 filings from India & China do not increase substantially to
eat up the entire spillover (which seems so from your count of TSC filings),
it will be necessary for DOS to advance the priority date.
7. The inventory of I-485 in 2009 is still low. It improved in 2010, but the
bigger increase came in 2011 with 15K filings from countries other than
India and China.
8. Therefore, my prediction is for EB2 I to move to 1-Jan-2011 in March and
to 1-Jul-2011 in April visa bulletins. Depending upon the number of filings
in Feb and March, it may become current in May visa bulletin. I do not see
any need for retrogression if at all until summer. | k*******g
发帖数: 2262 | 2 hope so
30
Of
applications
2012
【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】
: ZZ from trackitt
: Thanks for your response. Based on analysis of I-485 inventory data as on 30
: -Sep-11 released by USCIS, I think there is ample scope of PD movement for
: EB2 I.
: 1. The total I-485 inventory of EB1 plus EB2 cases was 39K as at Sep.end. Of
: this 15K was for 2011 filings (which will be from countries other than
: India and China).
: 2. USCIS needs to build an I-485 inventory of 90K by April 2012 end,
: assuming a lead-time of 4 months for USCIS to process the I-485 applications
: and a rejection rate of 10% so that the 80K visas are utilized by Sep. 2012
| a*******d
发帖数: 4846 | | a****l
发帖数: 8211 | 4 eb3要怒了...怎么总得给人家留点吧.光想着让eb2ci变成current,就忍心让人家eb3仍
然停留在史前时代?
30
Of
applications
2012
【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】
: ZZ from trackitt
: Thanks for your response. Based on analysis of I-485 inventory data as on 30
: -Sep-11 released by USCIS, I think there is ample scope of PD movement for
: EB2 I.
: 1. The total I-485 inventory of EB1 plus EB2 cases was 39K as at Sep.end. Of
: this 15K was for 2011 filings (which will be from countries other than
: India and China).
: 2. USCIS needs to build an I-485 inventory of 90K by April 2012 end,
: assuming a lead-time of 4 months for USCIS to process the I-485 applications
: and a rejection rate of 10% so that the 80K visas are utilized by Sep. 2012
| a*******d
发帖数: 4846 | 5 看我转trackitt的文章了吗？eb3的backlog里面的文章可多了。
【在 a****l 的大作中提到】
: eb3要怒了...怎么总得给人家留点吧.光想着让eb2ci变成current,就忍心让人家eb3仍
: 然停留在史前时代?
:
: 30
: Of
: applications
: 2012
| a*****e
发帖数: 2503 | 6 如果是真的，只能说移民局过去几年耽误了太多人投485。
从07年到10年的都耽误了。
30
Of
applications
2012
【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】
: ZZ from trackitt
: Thanks for your response. Based on analysis of I-485 inventory data as on 30
: -Sep-11 released by USCIS, I think there is ample scope of PD movement for
: EB2 I.
: 1. The total I-485 inventory of EB1 plus EB2 cases was 39K as at Sep.end. Of
: this 15K was for 2011 filings (which will be from countries other than
: India and China).
: 2. USCIS needs to build an I-485 inventory of 90K by April 2012 end,
: assuming a lead-time of 4 months for USCIS to process the I-485 applications
: and a rejection rate of 10% so that the 80K visas are utilized by Sep. 2012
| a****l
发帖数: 8211 | 7 俺的思想比较简单,没看到那么多的名堂,只知道白底黑字的一个是10年,一个分别是02
和04年.02年啊!
【在 a*******d 的大作中提到】
: 看我转trackitt的文章了吗？eb3的backlog里面的文章可多了。
| I*********r
发帖数: 559 | 8 这个有可能吗？还是印度人太尼玛乐观了？
30
Of
applications
2012
【在 p*****a 的大作中提到】
: ZZ from trackitt
: Thanks for your response. Based on analysis of I-485 inventory data as on 30
: -Sep-11 released by USCIS, I think there is ample scope of PD movement for
: EB2 I.
: 1. The total I-485 inventory of EB1 plus EB2 cases was 39K as at Sep.end. Of
: this 15K was for 2011 filings (which will be from countries other than
: India and China).
: 2. USCIS needs to build an I-485 inventory of 90K by April 2012 end,
: assuming a lead-time of 4 months for USCIS to process the I-485 applications
: and a rejection rate of 10% so that the 80K visas are utilized by Sep. 2012
| C******r
发帖数: 1385 | 9 阿三哥一向很搞笑
【在 I*********r 的大作中提到】
: 这个有可能吗？还是印度人太尼玛乐观了？
:
: 30
: Of
: applications
: 2012
| I*********r
发帖数: 559 | 10 这次搞笑搞对了就好
【在 C******r 的大作中提到】
: 阿三哥一向很搞笑
| d*********y
发帖数: 748 | 11 只要每年都批满14万张绿卡，就不能说人家耽误了我们投485.
【在 a*****e 的大作中提到】
: 如果是真的，只能说移民局过去几年耽误了太多人投485。
: 从07年到10年的都耽误了。
:
: 30
: Of
: applications
: 2012
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