a***r
发帖数: 146 | 1 Arguments for market topped:
TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
Arguments for more upside:
FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
indicate the wors | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 2 Good, tomorrow will be dropping, hehe.
【在 a***r 的大作中提到】
: Arguments for market topped:
: TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
: FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
: and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
: beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
: PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
: SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
: Arguments for more upside:
: FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
: indicate the wors
| f****t
发帖数: 1063 | 3 Finally see u again
For stock, maybe better in cash and wait.
what is your opinion on bond market? any recommendation on bond funds right
now?
thanks
【在 a***r 的大作中提到】
: Arguments for market topped:
: TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
: FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
: and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
: beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
: PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
: SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
: Arguments for more upside:
: FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
: indicate the wors
| a***r
发帖数: 146 | 4 Although I think there is some upside left, I would be very careful in
chasing high here. The risk to reward ratio is just too high. JM2C.
【在 a***r 的大作中提到】
: Arguments for market topped:
: TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
: FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
: and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
: beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
: PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
: SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
: Arguments for more upside:
: FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
: indicate the wors
| m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 5 I have to the same feeling, I start to sell covered call and buy put to
protect my position. 50% of position now is in cash and TIPS bond ETF
【在 a***r 的大作中提到】
: Arguments for market topped:
: TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
: FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
: and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
: beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
: PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
: SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
: Arguments for more upside:
: FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
: indicate the wors
| s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 6 God...
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Good, tomorrow will be dropping, hehe.
| m**********r
发帖数: 887 | 7 呵呵，armor喊话后，第二天股市必反指。。。 （不过仅限当日有效） | o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 8 here are some arguments from me.
upsides:
FA: PE Ratio, Factory Orders, ISM, Ted Spread, Yield Curve, M2 Money Supply,
CPI, GDP, Consumer Confidence.
SA: VIX, AAII Survey
TA: TICKS, New Highs/Lows, Breadth, Momentum Thrusts, Counter Trend
Downsides:
FA: Corporate Yields, 10 Yr Yields
TA: Longterm Trend, Some Patterns, Volume
Cautions are needed, but overall, upsides still beat downsides. Let's ride
SP 10% more bah. hehe
【在 a***r 的大作中提到】
: Arguments for market topped:
: TA: Various kinds of TA signals.
: FA: The fundamentals did not really change despite a few green shoots here
: and there, which suggests the big picture is still a bear market. Average
: beark market rally has a upside of about 30%, we already had this.
: PA: Big good news from the goverment have been exhausted.
: SA: Many bearish investors are turning bullish.
: Arguments for more upside:
: FA: Very bad GDP numbers, and a few green shoots here and there almost
: indicate the wors
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