G******d
发帖数: 731 | | f****e
发帖数: 371 | 2 Strengthening dollar is a big negative for cat. too much risk to buy or
even hold.
【在 G******d 的大作中提到】
: 希望周一反弹
| J******n
发帖数: 307 | 3 That is a small negative factor; as a multinational company, they must
do Fx hedge; plus, how can you justify that CAT dropped around 10%,
while the dollar only appreciated about 1%?
If you buy any dip below 105, you'll get a great gift from Wall Street.
or
【在 f****e 的大作中提到】
: Strengthening dollar is a big negative for cat. too much risk to buy or
: even hold.
| u****d
发帖数: 23938 | 4 买90$以上的CAT不能叫捞。应该叫追。
【在 G******d 的大作中提到】
: 希望周一反弹
| f****e
发帖数: 371 | 5 I totally agree that CAT is a little oversold in terms of price action, and
it may due for a bounce within a week. but I'm quite skeptical how strong
the bounce will be this time. Any negative will be amplified in a shaky
market, that's why i think it's quite risky to buy/hold cat right now. If
the price do break down the 103~105 area, better not to rush in to buy the
dip, it may take a while for it to find another support.
【在 J******n 的大作中提到】
: That is a small negative factor; as a multinational company, they must
: do Fx hedge; plus, how can you justify that CAT dropped around 10%,
: while the dollar only appreciated about 1%?
: If you buy any dip below 105, you'll get a great gift from Wall Street.
:
: or
| J******n
发帖数: 307 | 6 Pure technical analysis. We are on a different way, different time
frame, and different strategy. The sound fundamental will outweigh
everything at the end.
action, and
strong
shaky
now. If
buy the
【在 f****e 的大作中提到】
: I totally agree that CAT is a little oversold in terms of price action, and
: it may due for a bounce within a week. but I'm quite skeptical how strong
: the bounce will be this time. Any negative will be amplified in a shaky
: market, that's why i think it's quite risky to buy/hold cat right now. If
: the price do break down the 103~105 area, better not to rush in to buy the
: dip, it may take a while for it to find another support.
| g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 7 1% appreciation in dollar is not the point.
Potential trend change is.
Forex hedging is just a small mitigating measure.
Rising prices on their product and services in local currency will surpress demand.
【在 J******n 的大作中提到】
: That is a small negative factor; as a multinational company, they must
: do Fx hedge; plus, how can you justify that CAT dropped around 10%,
: while the dollar only appreciated about 1%?
: If you buy any dip below 105, you'll get a great gift from Wall Street.
:
: or
| J******n
发帖数: 307 | 8 Don't forget the key point, CAT is a multinational corp., it has
localized itself good enough, do they still need to export the entire
machine from U.S to Brazil while they have intensive manufacturing
operations there?
But you are correct, it may suffer from the currency impact, but not in
the sense of surpressed demand.
surpress demand.
【在 g*****u 的大作中提到】
: 1% appreciation in dollar is not the point.
: Potential trend change is.
: Forex hedging is just a small mitigating measure.
: Rising prices on their product and services in local currency will surpress demand.
| g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 9 CAT不是肯德鸡。
surpressed demand it is.
【在 J******n 的大作中提到】
: Don't forget the key point, CAT is a multinational corp., it has
: localized itself good enough, do they still need to export the entire
: machine from U.S to Brazil while they have intensive manufacturing
: operations there?
: But you are correct, it may suffer from the currency impact, but not in
: the sense of surpressed demand.
:
: surpress demand.
| J******n
发帖数: 307 | 10 Not a debate attitude, only a self-declared point without any support.
Have you done any serious fundamental research on CAT? I am not a
retail player, by the way. Please don't challenge the research I have.
【在 g*****u 的大作中提到】
: CAT不是肯德鸡。
: surpressed demand it is.
| c******e
发帖数: 1581 | 11 "how can you justify that CAT dropped around 10%,
FA 101.
dollar appreciates 1%, its earning decreased 1% in USD. Cat 10yr average PE
is 15. assuming 2/3 of its earning is affected by appreciation of USD, we
get 1%*15*2/3=10%
In recent weeks, cat purely changed with FX. | u****d
发帖数: 23938 | 12 show us your research please.
【在 J******n 的大作中提到】
: Not a debate attitude, only a self-declared point without any support.
: Have you done any serious fundamental research on CAT? I am not a
: retail player, by the way. Please don't challenge the research I have.
| f****e
发帖数: 371 | 13 Yes, I'm mostly aimed at short term reward/risk. Long term wise, I have no
idea whether the current price is too high or not for cat. Would you share
more about your FA analysis on CAT? I believe it will be quite informative.
【在 J******n 的大作中提到】
: Pure technical analysis. We are on a different way, different time
: frame, and different strategy. The sound fundamental will outweigh
: everything at the end.
:
: action, and
: strong
: shaky
: now. If
: buy the
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