l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 1 http://www.gallup.com/poll/152432/Unemployment-January.aspx
Underemployment is 18.7%, up from 18.3% in December
by Dennis Jacobe, Chief Economist
PRINCETON, NJ -- U.S. unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal
adjustment, increased slightly to 8.6% in January from 8.5% in December, but
was down from 9.9% in January a year ago.
The percentage of U.S. employees who are working part time but want full-
time work increased sharply to 10.1% in January, from 9.8% in December. The
January reading is also substantially higher than the 9.1% of January 2011
and is the highest percentage for this segment of the workforce since Gallup
began monitoring it in January 2010.
Underemployment, a measure that combines the percentage of workers who are
unemployed with the percentage working part time but wanting full-time work,
surged to 18.7% in January. This is a worsening from the 18.3% of December
but is still below the 19.0% of a year ago.
Looking Ahead to the Government's Unemployment Report
The U.S. government's January unemployment rate that it will report Friday
morning will be based largely on mid-month conditions. At mid-month, Gallup
reported that its unemployment rate had declined to 8.3%, based on data
collected through the 15th of the month.
The mid-month reading normally provides a pretty good estimate of the
government's unadjusted unemployment rate for the month. However, the
government is revising its methodology beginning with the January 2012
report. As a result, the government notes, "household survey data for
January 2012 will not be directly comparable with that for December 2011 or
earlier periods." In turn, this makes estimating the government's
unemployment rate for January even more difficult than usual.
Regardless of what the government reports, Gallup's unemployment and
underemployment measures show deterioration since mid-January. While the
unemployment rate of 8.6% for January is up only modestly from December,
this overall increase subsumes the more negative trend of the most recent
weeks. In turn, this also seems consistent with Wednesday's ADP report
showing less job growth in January than in the prior month.
On the other hand, Gallup's Job Creation Index continues to improve,
reaching its highest monthly point since September 2008. Given this context,
the increase in unemployment as measured by Gallup may at least partly
reflect growth in the workforce, as more Americans who had given up looking
for work become slightly more optimistic and start looking for work again.
Gallup's data show the workforce participation rate up slightly in January.
Taken together, it is important to note that, just as a drop in unemployment
doesn't always reflect more hiring, an increase in unemployment doesn't
always reflect less hiring. That is, even as hiring improves, the
unemployment rate can go up if the number of people looking for work goes up
more rapidly, which may be the case at the moment.
Editor's note: Beginning in January 2012, Gallup is reporting full-month
unemployment and underemployment results instead of 30-day rolling averages
as in the past. Mid-month estimates will continue to be reported on the
basis of a 30-day rolling average. No changes or adjustments have been made
to the Gallup unemployment and underemployment data themselves. | c**********d
发帖数: 2428 | 2 欧洲这边看到的是下降到了8.3%，好像有出入啊？ | Y**r
发帖数: 687 | 3 早上新闻说下降了啊。。
but
The
【在 l****z 的大作中提到】
: http://www.gallup.com/poll/152432/Unemployment-January.aspx
: Underemployment is 18.7%, up from 18.3% in December
: by Dennis Jacobe, Chief Economist
: PRINCETON, NJ -- U.S. unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal
: adjustment, increased slightly to 8.6% in January from 8.5% in December, but
: was down from 9.9% in January a year ago.
: The percentage of U.S. employees who are working part time but want full-
: time work increased sharply to 10.1% in January, from 9.8% in December. The
: January reading is also substantially higher than the 9.1% of January 2011
: and is the highest percentage for this segment of the workforce since Gallup
| l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 4 Read through the paragraph.
美国官方数字是截至到1/15, 这个8.6%是到一月底.
【在 Y**r 的大作中提到】
: 早上新闻说下降了啊。。
:
: but
: The
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