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发帖数: 29846 | 1 德经济学家预测难民会让德国耗费9000亿欧元
German Economist Concludes Refugees Will Ultimately Cost Germany 00
Billion
In contrast to the absurd Keynesian position that refugees will pay for
themselves via higher growth rates, German economist Bernd Raffelhüschen
estimates that over the long haul Refugees Will Cost Germany 00 billion.
Via translation ... Bernd Raffelhüschen, director of the Research Center
for Generational Contracts totals the cost of all government spending on
refugees, including social insurance, over the life of a refugee.
At his Market Economy Foundation presentation, Raffelhüschen stated that "
even with an integration of migrants into the labor market within six years,
administrative fees in the long term will cost 900 billion euros."
The article did not say the number of migrants on which the number was based
, or whether the influx would continue and at what pace.
If one assumes 4 million total refugees, then each refugee would cost 25,
000. Spread out over 30 years, the cost would be ,500 per year.
I am not sure I buy the notion the cost will be that much "even with an
integration of migrants into the labor market within six years". Then again,
I am quite confident a big percentage of the migrants will not be in the
labor force within six years.
If Angela Merkel does not like Raffelhüschen's numbers, then she should
publish her own. Of course politicians never want to put a realistic price
tag on their pet projects. |
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