k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 1 记得10几年前，我向CWW学股票技术，
让我感受最深刻的就是用10日均线分多空，
只要看一下10MA这条均线 就可判断，
如果10MA向上，股价站在10MA上方，只要偏离不要太大，我就敢买
反之，如果10MA向下，且股价在10MA下方，就一律拒买。
多空 能够用简单的方法分清楚后，
当时我选股都喜欢选带量突破10MA 且10MA向上的股票，成功率98。7%
简单的一条线，就让我止亏反赢
当时觉得很不可思议，直到渐渐的技术功力增加，
才知道那是趋势的力量，并不是均线的神奇。
饮水思源头，吃果子拜树头，
这也是我这么多年来一直沿用10MA，而没有变成大家通用的18MA的原因。 |
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d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 2 蒙古大夫好像还是用10MA来确定的支撑位，但是这个地方有点问题了。
如果今天不能走出一个不错的阳线的话，说明10MA的支撑没有多少力量，后市看跌为主
。 |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 3 10ma 下穿 21ma，但10ma随即走平，是不是可以等再次上穿介入？ |
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h*****7
发帖数: 6781 | 4 我谨遵大夫教诲啊，CLF will slightly rebound to 10MA
10MA现在19点多
今天涨得有些快，所以抛了 |
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e********9
发帖数: 444 | 5 50MA < 150MA < 200MA
bullish的话是不是应该反过来
或者等50MA超过150MA，50MA和150MA超过200MA
10MA倒是确实在50MA上，GDX基本也在10MA上 |
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h********o
发帖数: 3320 | 6 我估计明天大盘很有可能touch 2560 10MA 短期支撑点，如果10MA挺不住，不排除大盘
一路向下的可能。 Volatility最近的趋势是上升。VIX个位数很可能在短期内成为历史
了。 |
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p****r
发帖数: 4348 | 7 呵呵 其实我也想能讲出点什么来和大家交流一下 不过俱乐部里估计数我最蝌蚪了 可
能砖头的质量会比较差 大家多多指点
我想出货的时机可能有几种
1. 某天突然出现巨量
2. 高位放量大阴线
3. 短期均线下穿中期均线(如果之前入点是看的10ma 上穿50ma, 那就在10ma下穿
50ma的时候考虑卖出)
4. 再有就是MACD, RSI一些指标的背离，或者是量价背离什么的，这个我就把握不好了 |
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N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 8 今天还没有跌到10ma,明天估计会碰一下，看看如果站不稳这个，就走人吧，站稳以后,
,后天可能会再次触及10ma，然后反弹,,
不要提心吊胆的了,,,反正买入以后，眼睛一闭,,,该干啥干啥 |
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I***C
发帖数: 765 | 9 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 选股标准讨论 秋月师傅介绍一下为何vmw走势强强一些？5/24为例,
我列出我能看到的理由抛砖引玉吧
因为4/20巨量上涨，如果理解为强庄入市，他们还没跑，还有上涨空间？
10ma跳过20ma？
股价测试10ma成功高开？
macd 穿过0？ |
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d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 10 和秋月扯淡两句。
当没有反弹、画不出线的时候，均线也是可以使用的。
通常10MA和20MA就是两个压力线。
最近两个月，MCD和CAT都走得很经典，普通高点连线，10MA，20MA还有50MA，都算是有
压力线的案例了。 |
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T****r
发帖数: 22092 | 11 你这显然错了，你加了导体，电流主要从导体走，怎么可能还要走你的两腿？
跨步电压的一个典型例子就是极高压电线落在地上，在地面形成电势差。由于大地
的导电性和人体的导电性差别与金属良导体的差别相比，没有那么大，所以会在人
体两腿间形成一个微弱的电流。人体可忍受的电流是10mA上限。
如果并联一个金属良导体，人体间的电流远远小于可耐受电流。 |
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s**l
发帖数: 869 | 12 经过测试发现alternator 没有正常工作
正常电压电流应该是14~15V,10~20A,测出来电压13.1V,电流只有10mA!
拆下来进一步测试，regulator和rectifier都pass，diode显示N/A，店员解释说是不是fail，但也没有成功检测到diode。
拆开alternator，卸下regulator，发现弹簧似乎比较弱，brush磨短了，但仍然挺长的（1cm左右）。chip没有看到有明显的问题。所以regulator应该ok
应该是diode trio的问题。diode trio很便宜，可是一共有6个diode，不知道那些坏掉了，需要ohm表；diode是焊接上的，替换的话需要焊枪。查了下价钱，一共也就50；又算了下时间，估计要等1周。。。+拆装替换的时间。。。。不合算。
虽然不爽，准备明天买新配件了，加税$190。
不知道diode怎么坏掉的。。。
累死了，明天在报告结果。 |
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z****e
发帖数: 1384 | 13 继续请教
2/23/2012更新：
新电池开一次就启动不了，发现是walmart的电池没充满电，测试walmart里的新电池，
电量都只有0.1A Hour。退了。 去advanceautoparts买了个新的换上，结果也是local
跑一趟，过一会再发动就发现电池没电了，啥灯都是暗的，估计也是只充了一点电。
Jumpstart后开回家，idle时油门踩到2000转左右几分钟，熄火，再发动没问题。似乎
alternator也没问题，可以充电。idle状态电池两端电压13.7V左右，熄火时12.5V左右。
测试熄火后电池输出电流，开始比较高，500MA左右，45分钟后就降为10MA，所以应该
没有内部电路漏电流的问题。
经过一段时间观察，发现idle踩到2000转充电几分钟，然后local跑两趟左右电池就没
电了（主要是local，有时跑段高速）。也就是说车行驶过程中电池的电慢慢耗光了。
怀疑原因可能是行驶时，alternator输出不够。是不是该换alternator了？有没办法测
试一下
alternator？
有谁知道的指点一下吧，多谢！ |
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z****e
发帖数: 1384 | 14 4/6/2012 更新：
今天去autozone和advance auto parts都检查了一下，说电池和alternator都没问题，
battery good，alternator passed test。但是车放那里一两周都可以启动，开出去（
不开空调）一两次再启动就没电启动不了。开车开空调的话，出去一趟电池就没电。也
买了一个插在点烟器的电压monitor监视
电压，idle和开车时电压都正常，基本都在13.7v以上，不过一开空调电压马上降到12.
8v左右。
怀疑还是alternator的问题，但是测试又说没问题。advance auto parts只是在关掉发
动机的情况下测了电池两端，就说battery和alternator都没问题；autozone的小机器
也是连电池两端，关掉发动机测了电池，启动后测了alternator， passed。感觉不大
靠谱，没测电流，这样应该也没法发现alternator diode出问题的情况吧？
不知道怎么办了。知道的给个主意吧。多谢了
2/23/2012更新：
新电池开一次就启动不了，发现是walmart的电池没充满电，测试wal... 阅读全帖 |
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M******c
发帖数: 1836 | 15 而且把gap fill了。这下该报的都报了，如果市场MM仍然不能守住5500,那
大盘将很危险。 从这几天我们可以看到，都是中石化搞的鬼， 从中石化方面看，
5ma 下穿10ma 当仍然在20MA之上，所以属于neutral 状态，我们看中行，在6.5附近
支撑着大盘，对整体有影响。地产类，里面的万科在走W, 是个很好地setup,如果该
股能够走出36，整个地产板块将得以复苏， 那将是对大盘极大的支持。也许
地产和金融将是拯救大盘的大兵连。
大家千万不要想着捞底，这个时候不是捞底地时候，因为大盘的资金都在中石化，
中行里面，你进去捞，没有MM帮你pump，那只能往下。现在就很能明白，中国股市，
没有MM的股不是好股，没有MM的股就像根草。
一切都是中石油搞的，老万能否想法让中石油暂停上市，这样资金就能够从中石化里面
出来。
相信被套着大家心里都不好受，所以呢大家可以开展一些生产自救活动。方法按照昨天
泡泡发的文来做。 如果不做，那么又被深套，这个时候割肉已经太晚了，很多股都到了
年线，甚至是200MA, 属于超超跌。即使这样，手里仍然要有子弹，不要打。这个时候
子弹
就是最后反击的武 |
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M******c
发帖数: 1836 | 16 今天回来得晚了一点，所以发文晚了一点点。 今天的早盘从市场内在结构看已经初步
确认了昨日反弹的有效性。 昨天大盘在利好消息的刺激下，大幅上扬，同时价升量涨，
今天半天过后仍然处在10MA之上，我会寻找昨天的大盘强势股，比如说地产，资源，黄
金股
部分介入。 之所以前天不买，那是因为我还没有看到底部特征，而昨天的底部特征从
概率上讲是一种低风险的操作。
买股票任何时候都有风险，关键在于你懂得什么时候需要规避没有意义的风险。大盘从
3400点下来，到现在有差不多600点的差值，风险已经被释放不少，这个时候再出现强势
反弹，买入就是低风险操作。所以对于我这样的人，永远是买不了最低的，也绝对不会买
最低，因为那是赌博，不是交易。 知道我的人都知道，我最注重的是纪律，不求卖在
最高，但是有稳当钱赚的时候绝对不放过。 买错了就出来，没有什么话好说的。
今天周末，如果不出意外，成交量当不会放大，并且部分个股会出现盘整现象，我会找
机会进入我看好的强势股，这是对短线而言的。等了这么长时间咯，终于可以安稳一点
的交易咯。 以买入价之下8%为止损点，但是不会期待暴涨。
最后，祝兄弟姐妹们节日快乐！：）
作 |
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b***y
发帖数: 372 | 18 no. i didn't. but i did some estimate based on charging hours between
intervals. it should be around 10ma~30ma.
e.g.,
1.5A to charge less than 4 hours to full if leaving the car for 7 days,
assuming full charged since the last use (this is not always true...)
(1.5 x 4) / (7 x 24) is around 30ma. so the actual drain should be less
than 30ma |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 19
strong volume above the resistant line and contracted on shrinking volume,
now filled the gap and hold above 10MA, rise again on increasing volume, it'
s ready to march north. Normally i'd add at this spot. the down side is
market in correction, especially the gaming/leisure sector. i'd hold and no
open new position.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ATVI&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p42060572111&a=168167680&listNum=8
had confidence in the stock, but on a hugh sell off day (Gap down, trend
breaking and |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 20
the stock touched 10ma for the first time in 2 week. it's hardly a stop loss
signal. My entry was a bit earlier at 11.33 so i'm still watching. It is
worrisome since it came on a sharply higher volume. I'd put the stop loss
tight. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 21 this is a penny stock. Many people may be familiar with this stock. I have
followed it for a long time and i think it's the time to pull the trigger.
it features classic candle stick pattern and formation. a 3 white soldier
followed with tight pendant. I bought it yesterday at closing and currently
up about 2%. it went as anticipated: increasing volume at 10ma, close at
high of the day. I want it to break out so badly. Damn it, Just Do It!
ppl got the previous pick from me got it for free. Pl |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 22 it has been a couple week since the last update, USD in a continue downward
slope, it failed attempt to reclaim 10ma yesterday and i think the sell off
will accelerate. Commodities is the place to be in the near future.
fertilizer, steel, coal and even slagging gold miner all have some great
choices. I picked up HUSA couple days ago at 12 something and it has run up
a bit over 10% in 2 days. now staging a breakout above 15. I doubled today.
DPTR is a sucker. I'm glad i got out of it in just 2 |
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E*******r
发帖数: 2723 | 23 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Lexian (蒙古大夫) 于 (Thu Jan 14 20:14:52 2010, 美东) 提到:
this is a penny stock. Many people may be familiar with this stock. I have
followed it for a long time and i think it's the time to pull the trigger.
it features classic candle stick pattern and formation. a 3 white soldier
followed with tight pendant. I bought it yesterday at closing and currently
up about 2%. it went as anticipated: increasing volume at 10ma, close at
high of the day. I want it t |
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o****e
发帖数: 4946 | 27 今天三大指数都以大阳棒收到10MA以上，大局已定 |
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P*B
发帖数: 2876 | 28 继续写W, 图好看多了，希望明天守住9/10ma |
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P*B
发帖数: 2876 | 29 indu closed on 10ma yesterday as Feb23 did, today may bounce from there if
MM likes repeat. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 30 upper BB takes xtra force to penetrate. may dip at 10ma and charge up. if
it does so, i'll add more there. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 32
10MA 用来time， 即进场的时机。 刚才一下来进场的钱不知有多少， 跟抢似的。 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 33 well, i'll post it anyway, let's see how it play out.
coco is facing one of the biggest hurddle, the top line of the gap, 50ma and
long term downtrend. it's been under consolidation for the last week,
except disruption from the stupid DOE news. Start to power up yesterday from
the 10ma. I doubled down yesterday to make it one of my largest position.
hoping to see a solid white candle here (ideally without any news) to
completely un-nerve the bears. this is equivalent to a D day. |
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d*****w
发帖数: 684 | 34 可以这么说，但是这个逻辑肯定有点问题，因为那些常规指标其实不怎么对头。
例如蒙古大夫均线特别重视10MA，一下子让我学了一招。：） |
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d*****w
发帖数: 684 | 35 必然失败说不上，但是不得不承认，任何一种分析方法都不能完美描绘大盘。
或者说，TA指标互相参考着来，用多了肯定走错路子了，但是简化到多少就看个人了，
就像看蒙古大夫公开出来的选股一样，10ma配合50ma,加上一条趋势线，还有BB，成交
量，当前价格位置和K线。 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 36
finance stocks right now are completely news driven. hard to read. i sold
abk a bit 2 early, but can't complain about more than 10% gain in 2 days.
NVDA had been in a midterm correction. holding above 10ma today is great,
but i don't anticipate break out soon. My call is about even money now since
i doubled on the day it made the needle. planning to sell with profit when
it move up close to 12. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 37 AAPL's candlestick will be a 吊死鬼 if it opens low tomorrow (seems like
carve in stone), usually indicates a mid term correction as least if not a
flat our reversal. IBM however, most likely will be just a short pause, in a
month and half, it actually hasn't even tough 10MA, and it hasn't over run
the top BB band either. there will be a lot more ppl who want to get onto
IBM than AAPL. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 38 wait till it sit on top of 10ma, and get in from there. i see a good chance
it blast out from 7.40 this time. |
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n****c
发帖数: 512 | 39 So you use 10MA as entry, or exit?
Thanks! |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 40 尘埃落定， above 10ma. count down to march.
马有途同学， i think ibca look way better than crbc. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 41 Well, couple mistakes
1) the entry was bit rush, waiting for reversal signal may save you the
agony here.
2) even if u didn't recognize the failed attempt at 10ma for 2 days, u
should see it failed 20ma, this morning as well as broken recent low, cut
loss must be taken there. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 42 very weak, run up fueled by rumor don't last long. pretty sure it'll go back
to 10ma to find support. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 43 2 wks ago, on Apple and IBM's ER night, i said apple showed a hanging man,
will have at least a midterm correction, while ibm is the first time
touching 10ma since September breakout, it's just a short pause, lot more
ppl want to get on IBM than apple.
here is what it is, 2 wks later, IBM made new high, while apple still deep
in correction, struggle to hold 20ma. Now, someone said TA doesn't work,
maybe just because they can't get it to work.:-) |
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l**********o
发帖数: 9952 | 44 为什么显然是range？我个人看它touch了20MA,涨过了20ma and 10ma，所以看牛它了。
而且阻力位也是313-314，不是310-311呀。 |
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w**********l
发帖数: 8501 | 45 苹果的牛气已经被Priced in了。
有时候你评估一个股票，要instantly去看，不能走死路子，所谓的20ma 10ma的。那是
参考，但不是真正的照明灯。
今天苹果一定要碰一碰309的，我昨天就知道有这么一出戏，大盘要对选举结果做出姿
态。
今天谁重要谁不重要，你看看BAC就知道了。 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 46 Both need a visit to 10ma and spring up from there. Next target will be
recent highs. And I think they have good chance making new highs. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 47 sorry, didn't have time to log on. i'm sure everyone, well, every bulls at
least, getting a fat wallet these couple days.
AONE's sell off did turn out to be a wash. qiuyueshifu had it right all
along. Unfortunately i didn't have the patient for it when everything esle
is running and gunning. Now that it broke above 10ma, I'm looking forward to
see it hold above 10 ma. then the breakout pending status still apply.
After sold out from AONE/DISCA, i added more CVVT as well as CSKI. I also
opened a... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 48 another support at 10ma, leading sectors broadening-tech, commodity strong
and finance catching up, and leading bulls...you can see for yourself. Still
dreaming about shorts? see you at 1275. |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 49 so far the volume looks like out pace the sell off yesterday. and if it
close at this range, tomorrow will have a good chance take a run at the 10ma
. if so, the fire sale from share offering maybe over just like that. |
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b*******e
发帖数: 24532 | 50 虽然10MA 50MA都顶在了1310 1314这里,但是这里的气氛明显不对,看到的都是青蛙被套
牢,
大牛喊爆涨,顶住... 还是看谷神左右抽mm心情好些,呵呵Orz |
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