J******s
发帖数: 7538 | 1 A standard formula in the Canon describes a stream-winner in terms of four
factors. The first three of these four factors of stream-entry are directly
related to the cutting of the fetter of uncertainty. The fourth is related
to the cutting of the fetter of grasping at precepts and practices.
"There is the case where the disciple of the noble ones is endowed with
verified confidence in the Awakened One... verified confidence in the Dhamma
... verified confidence in the Sangha... He/she is endowe... 阅读全帖 |
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J******s
发帖数: 7538 | 2 http://www.abundancetapestry.com/how-to-love-yourself-in-17-way
I have compiled a list on “how to love yourself” for readers who are
facing difficulty knowing what to do in embracing themselves. When I first
began to be aware that I need to love myself first prior to developing any
meaningful relationships with others, I realized that I did not know where
to start.
This was a surprise to me then as I would have thought I’d be an expert on
love and relationships by then. After all, as I recalled,... 阅读全帖 |
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w********0
发帖数: 341 | 3 刚开始搞数据挖掘，下载了IBM合成数据（事务数据）的工具，因此关于合成数据有个
不明白，希望牛牛不吝赐教：
发现事务数据和前面生成的项目集的conf没有关系呀？
比如：参数如下：
Number of transactions in database = 10000
Average transaction length = 7
Number of items = 200
Large Itemsets:
Number of patterns = 80
Average length of pattern = 4
Correlation between consecutive patterns = 0
Average confidence in a rule = 0.7
Variation in the confidence = 0.1
从生成的事务数据中如何体现Average confidence？
其实最本质的问题是：合成数据的标准是什么?
多谢了，本人是菜鸟一个，呵呵。 |
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c********y
发帖数: 53 | 4 reviewer 1: weak accept with confidence level 3 (high)
reviewer 2: accept with confidence level 2 (medium)
reviewer 3: accept with confidence level 4 (expert)
我的co-authers意见
co-author 1: 没提很实质的问题，不用rebuttal
co-author 2: 回复点friendly的东西，不用白不用，至少显得我们重视 |
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n********k
发帖数: 2818 | 5 another cow girl or what?...clearly u are a very smart/capable and very
confident gal....nonetheless, based on ur chats so far, if I may say
anything too confident/self-righteous could be as bad as not confident at
all...never underestimate that how much time/experience could teach one no
matter how smart one is...Good luck!
takes |
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S*****s
发帖数: 242 | 6 I can see that you have a long way to go, meaning that you will take a long
time to get used to the scientific thinking, and become a fully independent
investigator.
This is a long article and I will just comment on one point: You will need
to build your confidence! One of your problem seems to be that you do not
have sufficient confidence in proposing your hypothesis for your experiments
for the future, and in other word, you do not have vision! In my mind, your
mentor for your postdoc is a vis... 阅读全帖 |
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S*****s
发帖数: 242 | 7 I can see that you have a long way to go, meaning that you will take a long
time to get used to the scientific thinking, and become a fully independent
investigator.
This is a long article and I will just comment on one point: You will need
to build your confidence! One of your problem seems to be that you do not
have sufficient confidence in proposing your hypothesis for your experiments
for the future, and in other word, you do not have vision! In my mind, your
mentor for your postdoc is a vis... 阅读全帖 |
|
b****a
发帖数: 352 | 8 恩，offer 没有怎么negotiate，签了。正式把自己卖了。
5月中开始找工作，投了10个简历，3个phone interview, 2个on site，都拿到了. 总
结一下，希望someone will find useful。
1。Networking， networking, networking
我觉得撒网不如专攻。我大部分时间花在给认识的人打电话，或者linkedin, google.
发每个简历，都花时间找到这个公司的contact。认识的人的朋友，或者是不认识的校
友。认识的人介绍的比较好说话些。如果完全陌生的人，有可能不理你。 这时候说话
需要一些技巧。简单的说，就是不要开门见山的说：你想进你们公司，你帮我递简历。
人都不认识你，凭什么帮你啊？一定要先聊天。聊天的一个重点是“你”：“你的经历
”，“你怎么找工作的”，“你觉得industry有什么不同”“你觉得火星是不是有人类
”。。。。。见缝插针的拍拍马屁。宾主相谈甚欢的时候，“我找工作”的话题就水道
渠成了。————多说一句， 每个人最喜欢谈论的都是自己。这个point针对所有
social interact... 阅读全帖 |
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b****a
发帖数: 352 | 9 恩，offer 没有怎么negotiate，签了。正式把自己卖了。
5月中开始找工作，投了10个简历，3个phone interview, 2个on site，都拿到了. 总
结一下，希望someone will find useful。
1。Networking， networking, networking
我觉得撒网不如专攻。我大部分时间花在给认识的人打电话，或者linkedin, google.
发每个简历，都花时间找到这个公司的contact。认识的人的朋友，或者是不认识的校
友。认识的人介绍的比较好说话些。如果完全陌生的人，有可能不理你。 这时候说话
需要一些技巧。简单的说，就是不要开门见山的说：你想进你们公司，你帮我递简历。
人都不认识你，凭什么帮你啊？一定要先聊天。聊天的一个重点是“你”：“你的经历
”，“你怎么找工作的”，“你觉得industry有什么不同”“你觉得火星是不是有人类
”。。。。。见缝插针的拍拍马屁。宾主相谈甚欢的时候，“我找工作”的话题就水道
渠成了。————多说一句， 每个人最喜欢谈论的都是自己。这个point针对所有
social interact... 阅读全帖 |
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y***i
发帖数: 11639 | 10
历史上从来没有耗子吃了，表征上完全健康，组织完全健康没有病变，寿命正常，生
理指标正常，却对人类造成重大危害的食品。
至于测了什么指标，你自己可以去查资料。
这个很容易估计。一个事件如果在同样的前提下发生了n次，结果有m次不成立，那么
不成立的confidence是 m/n次。
既然历史上从来没有过几十只耗子吃了健康，对人类却有重大危害的动植物食品。假
设历史上有过1万次这种事件（好比FDA做过的实验），那么confidence就是1万分之一
。有10万次这种事件（好比FDA做过的实验），那么confidence就是10万分之一。
怎么个limit?怎么严重影响结果以至于同位素跟踪试验的结果其实不可信，虽然这是
被科学机构普遍使用普遍认可普遍认为可靠的方法？ |
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kx
发帖数: 16384 | 11 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Gaojun (Gaojun) 于 (Mon Nov 14 12:04:02 2011, 美东) 提到:
Between trust and control: Developing confidence in partner cooperation in
alliancescuny.edu 中的 [PDF]…, BS Teng - Academy of management Review, 1998
- JSTOR
Strategic alliances have been recognized as arenas with potential for
opportunistic behavior
by partners. Hence, a firm needs to have an adequate level of confidence in
its partner's
cooperative behavior. In this article we examine the notion of... 阅读全帖 |
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G****n
发帖数: 145 | 12 Between trust and control: Developing confidence in partner cooperation in
alliances
[PDF] from cuny.edu…, BS Teng - Academy of management Review, 1998 - JSTOR
Strategic alliances have been recognized as arenas with potential for
opportunistic behavior
by partners. Hence, a firm needs to have an adequate level of confidence in
its partner's
cooperative behavior. In this article we examine the notion of confidence in
partner ...
Cited by 1749 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 9 versions
A reso... 阅读全帖 |
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m*l
发帖数: 507 | 13 No matter how good your English is, you are Chinese and everyone knows that.
And nobody will be critical about your language ability. Besides, there is
no way you can improve your English dramatically over very short time.
As I can see, most of the time the problem is not English but confidence.
You cannot improve your English overnight, but it is very likely to be more
confident about yourself by spending more time preparing your interview.
If you are confident about yourself, no matter how bro |
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a*********y
发帖数: 37 | 14 I will be very embarrassed if I were boy #1. I hate arrogant people and don't
want to be one, so #2 won't work for me. You did make a point that confidence
level matters. It certainly works for people who are born with confidence. But
for many of us, especially students of hard science, accents add to sense of
insecurity, which, in turn, affects the confidence level. Furthermore, it's
simply frustrating to have to repeat yourself.
Most Americans won't stop to help you with your accents for vario |
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s****s
发帖数: 4 | 15 The role played by science in human being's development is obvious, and
China's lack of it, especially in modern times is puzzling. But once you
take a deeper look at some scientific developments in recent history,
including those in early twentith century in both China and Japan, the
importance of leading figures immediately manifest itself.
One might argue the importance of "tradition". But so called "tradition" is
essentially another expression for dominant leading figures, its community
and ... 阅读全帖 |
|
e*****a
发帖数: 1334 | 16 For AMGs this is an easy decision: apply now and the applicants don't have
to release the CS result.
For CMGs it's a tough decision, it depends on how confident you will pass CS
before February 2010. If you're confident, apply now and you can notify
programs about your ECFMG certificate status later. If not very confident,
it's safer to wait for the CS result. At that time you may decide to match
this cycle, or wait for one more year. |
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c*******s
发帖数: 399 | 17 I mean temporary, I am really a bad speller .But you know what, I am not
gonna be put down by this at this moment. Self-confidence, self-confidence,
self-confidence. I can make it, I can make it, I can make it. |
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C******r
发帖数: 790 | 18 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fionaww (加州无鱼) 于 (Mon Nov 22 22:43:23 2010, 美东) 提到:
刚刚面试回来,可以用心力憔悴来形容。
行程顺利，旅馆舒适，医院漂亮，伙食不错，但是，interview的过程真是艰难。
5个interviewee,我是最老的一个。其他四个都是AMG,Fresh的简直不能再Fresh了，还
有一个还正在那个医院rotation。看着他们，我顿时自我感觉矮了一截。不过转念一想
，既然我来了，即使不能说明我们在一个起跑线上，但是最起码也说明我们在一个跑道
，我还有拼一把的机会。
从头到尾没见着PD,我和那个名校毕业的AMG都是面试这个program以前的 旧PD,只见一特和蔼老头来招
呼我进办公室。我一看，心里还挺开心，这么慈祥的长者，应该搞定！
没想到悲剧开始了。
先是简单问问我为什么research, 为什么又不做了。
接下来就着重强调他认为我的前程异常tough.因为 我毕业久，gap 大，又是外国学生
，什么什么的，说得很慢，但是说了很久。我说，“虽然我有什... 阅读全帖 |
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h***y
发帖数: 834 | 19 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
mei5 (mei) 于 (Sat Mar 12 11:33:17 2011, 美东) 提到:
First thank you lovelypony gave us the talk and it is very valuable. I
summarize as the following\; If it is not correct, correct me. It is my
understanding.
1. time management is the key. When u do practise, try to have it done by
14 min.
2. SPE: don’t look down urself. Be confident and try to practise as much
as can and make the ur own protocol and talk it with smooth way.
3. Empathy: very imp... 阅读全帖 |
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h***y
发帖数: 834 | 20 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
toutuanzi (rr) 于 (Fri Sep 3 14:54:17 2010, 美东) 提到:
Got two rejections already: Guthrie, PA (internal medicine) and Capital
Health (FP)
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yeastmito (小猪) 于 (Fri Sep 3 15:14:14 2010, 美东) 提到:
我也受到一个据信了
Guthrie, PA (internal medicine
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
rr6262789 (盘片) 于 (Fri Sep 3 15:15:38 2010, 美东) 提到:
Rejection: Guthrie (IM), PA
Hey toutuanzi, can you highlight your post title so that... 阅读全帖 |
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m**********9
发帖数: 27 | 21 想先打预防针， 提高面试技能, 以免match失败。能不能象以前的贴那样， 有成功或
失败经验的同学讨论总结一下？
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MedicalCareer/31426255.html
"benpu (麦地大奔-Think or Sink) 于 (Thu Apr 28 20:35:40 2011, 美东) 提到:
the most important thing, IMHO, confidence, perseverance and good
plan. then connection, personality, score/research/GC...in descending order."
How to show confidence?
It's hard to balance the over- and under confidence during the interview in
a short time.
Body language, language, eye contact, smile etc? |
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m******r
发帖数: 1904 | 22 祝贺麦地今年大丰收。感谢版上2012毕业生在百忙之中分享你们的credentials，以下
信息主要来源于光荣榜、先卖和后续的补充，估计有很多的不完善，请大家补充提醒，
有些报喜以后没有及时更新您的credential的前辈就没有总结在内。
YOG ，Score， Visa，Advanced degree，CE，No. Pg applied，IV No.，LOR source
，Final specialty/What matters most
1.12，221/pass/235， GC，China PhD，3 months IM OB + 2 weeks Path OB，Path
110+; IM 90+，13 path/5 IM，4 US MD， path，LOR, visa, OB, personality
2．6，99/92/PASS/step3 pass，GC，no，2xOB in pathology,1externship in IM，90
Path，12path，2xUS MD,1x China PhD，path，OB,interview skills
3. 15，99... 阅读全帖 |
|
d****y
发帖数: 2180 | 23 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
medwater (小麦) 于 (Sun Mar 11 11:46:15 2012,
美东) 提到:
春天赋予了花草们新的生命,也给人们带来了新的天地。
一周的麦地祈福活动拉开了麦地年度英雄盛典大幕。火柴节踏着春天轻盈的脚步来了。
首先预祝所有参加相亲--match的同学今晚做个好梦，明天都能美梦成真，嫁到自己心
目中的“高富帅”! 今夜的麦地将为您守候........
在此也一并恭喜之前已私定终身--prematch的同学！
铺满鲜花的星光大道的红地毯已经为您准备.....
人生得意须尽欢，莫使金樽空对月。
天生我材必有用，千金散尽还复来。
烹羊宰牛且为乐，会须一饮三百杯。
岑夫子，丹丘生，将进酒，君莫停。
与君歌一曲，请君为我侧耳听。
钟鼓馔玉不足贵，但愿长醉不复醒。
古来圣贤皆寂寞，惟有饮者留其名。
陈王昔时宴平乐，斗酒十千恣欢谑。
主人何为言少钱，径须沽取对君酌。
五花马，千金裘，
呼儿将出换美酒，与尔同销万古愁。
祝大家好运！
☆─────────────────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*******9
发帖数: 122 | 24 i just had a mock interview with Dr. Wing recently and I really like it. She
asked me to write a review for her. So here it is.
I highly recommend Dr. Wing's mock interview to students who don't feel
confident about their strengths. She will read your application ahead of
time and give you very personal advice. She really puts her in your position
and thinks for you. She uses the words like"if I were you, I would...". I
feel reassured and more confident after her mock interview.
I had a lot of q... 阅读全帖 |
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y**j
发帖数: 10 | 25 Just checked NBME website and got the good news. Took it on Dec 10 at
Atlanta and felt Ok after the exam. It is similar to OSCE but easier. I
studied for 2 weeks in between of interviews. Only book used: First Aid.
Read it through twice and practiced by myself for about 10 cases. The most
important stuff to remember is to be confident. No patients will trust you
if you have no confidence in yourself. Be calm and confident and you will
pass. Best luck to all of you. |
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d****y
发帖数: 2180 | 26 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
daisyy (daisy) 于 (Wed Aug 22 19:53:02 2012, 美东) 提到:
请大家把记录的笔记，感想放到这个帖子下面，以便于收精华区。
同时也保证你成为以后会议的VIP.谢谢！
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
tangbutian (糖不甜) 于 (Wed Aug 22 19:55:06 2012, 美东) 提到:
The art of language -- communicate effectively in clinical settings
重点讲在医院里的communication，怎样适应美国的文化，怎么在医院中混的如鱼得水
、风生水起～
关于英文：
细节参见麦地前阵子的那两个有关英文的帖子，补充一点非常重要的：不仅要多说、多
念，更重要的是写作能力，脑子里有多少东西嘴巴才能讲出来多少东西。对CMG来说口
音并不是致命问题，更严重的是语言组织能力差，有条件的最好take一门写作的课程。
语言是一门艺术... 阅读全帖 |
|
m******r
发帖数: 1904 | 27 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
medwater (小麦) 于 (Sun Mar 11 11:46:15 2012, 美东) 提到:
春天赋予了花草们新的生命,也给人们带来了新的天地。
一周的麦地祈福活动拉开了麦地年度英雄盛典大幕。火柴节踏着春天轻盈的脚步来了。
首先预祝所有参加相亲--match的同学今晚做个好梦，明天都能美梦成真，嫁到自己心
目中的“高富帅”! 今夜的麦地将为您守候........
在此也一并恭喜之前已私定终身--prematch的同学！
铺满鲜花的星光大道的红地毯已经为您准备.....
人生得意须尽欢，莫使金樽空对月。
天生我材必有用，千金散尽还复来。
烹羊宰牛且为乐，会须一饮三百杯。
岑夫子，丹丘生，将进酒，君莫停。
与君歌一曲，请君为我侧耳听。
钟鼓馔玉不足贵，但愿长醉不复醒。
古来圣贤皆寂寞，惟有饮者留其名。
陈王昔时宴平乐，斗酒十千恣欢谑。
主人何为言少钱，径须沽取对君酌。
五花马，千金裘，
呼儿将出换美酒，与尔同销万古愁。
祝大家好运！
☆─────────────────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
|
m******r
发帖数: 1904 | 28 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
medwater (小麦) 于 (Sat Mar 31 17:20:22 2012, 美东) 提到:
祝贺麦地今年大丰收。感谢版上2012毕业生在百忙之中分享你们的credentials，以下
信息主要来源于光荣榜、先卖和后续的补充，估计有很多的不完善，请大家补充提醒，
有些报喜以后没有及时更新您的credential的前辈就没有总结在内。
YOG ，Score， Visa，Advanced degree，CE，No. Pg applied，IV No.，LOR source
，Final specialty/What matters most
1.12，221/pass/235， GC，China PhD，3 months IM OB + 2 weeks Path OB，Path
110+; IM 90+，13 path/5 IM，4 US MD， path，LOR, visa, OB, personality
2．6，99/92/PASS/step3 pass，GC，no，2xOB in p... 阅读全帖 |
|
s****s
发帖数: 4 | 29 The role played by science in human being's development is obvious, and
China's lack of it, especially in modern times is puzzling. But once you
take a deeper look at some scientific developments in recent history,
including those in early twentith century in both China and Japan, the
importance of leading figures immediately manifest itself.
One might argue the importance of "tradition". But so called "tradition" is
essentially another expression for dominant leading figures, its community
and ... 阅读全帖 |
|
w********r
发帖数: 253 | 30 比如federal fund，我把１９８８年６月开始到２０１０年６月，每个月的interest
rate都拿到手，kurtosis大约有１１，所以是fat tail，然后skewness是－１左右，所
以negative skewed。头们誓死不肯用normal distribution近似，所以小的我必须找出
合适的distribution。
大牛门帮忙啊！！！！
目的是为了predict下个月interest rate变动的９９。９５％confidence interval。
我本来是用time series建了个类似AR（２）的model，predict出来下个月的mean和std
，本来想说就可以算９９。９５％confidence interval了，可是头说下个月那个点也不能说是
normal，所以也不可以简单的mean＋３。xx std就得到confidence interval。头说
interest rate现在很低，所以下一点的预测应该是上走的probability大于下降的，所
以每点的propability也应该是skewness的。。。 |
|
c*e
发帖数: 1 | 31 各位大侠好～～请问一个survival analysis的coding问题， 网上哪里能找到Gill's
confidence band, Hall & Wellner's confidence band 和 L.J.WEI's confidence
band 的 R code？ 急用，R又不太熟，没时间自己写了。。。 |
|
l********3
发帖数: 69 | 32 还有code for Grill confidence band, Hall-weinner confidence band Wei
confidence band.
需要的话可以跟longitudinal analysis的code 交换。
站内信箱联系。 |
|
k*******a
发帖数: 772 | 33 取100个的话那么样本size算够大了，可以用CLT
有很多种方法，可以用hypothesis test也可以用p-value还可以用confidence
interval
比如你测量的pass是p
那么confidence interval: p+/-z*sqrt(p(1-p)/n))
如果用95% confidence interval那么z=1.96 (2 sigma)
然后你看这个interval是不是都大于你要求的概率95%
如果是的话，说明合格
如果用hypothesis testing的话
reject region(alpha=.05)应该在
0.95+1.64*sqrt(0.95*(1-0.95)/100)=.986
所以你的样品至少98.6%合格。 |
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s********1
发帖数: 54 | 34 ______________________________________________________________________
In terms of the variance structure
______________________________________________________________________
Normal structure depend on each individual,Spatial structure depends on the
distances between two points and compound, etc.
______________________________________________________________________
In terms of the likelihood:
______________________________________________________________________
The PL method is based on Wol... 阅读全帖 |
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b********y
发帖数: 559 | 36 【 以下文字转载自 DataSciences 讨论区 】
发信人: babybluery (baby_blue), 信区: DataSciences
标 题: 问一道面试题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 31 22:50:11 2014, 美东)
假设有个链接，用户可以选择点击或者不点击，点击率就是p= C/N, C是点击的人，N是
总共看到这个link的人，N要多大才能对这个p有confidence？
我知道如果有两个概率p1,p2, 判断他们是不是significantly different，这个可以通
过假设 null hypothesis 是 p1=p2, 然后通过z score推导出N需要多大才有
confidence。但是上面这题只有一个value，要判断是不是有confidence怎么做？什么
是Null hypothesis?还是说有别的思路，不需要hypothesis testing？
望赐教！ |
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b********y
发帖数: 559 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 DataSciences 讨论区 】
发信人: babybluery (baby_blue), 信区: DataSciences
标 题: 问一道面试题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 31 22:50:11 2014, 美东)
假设有个链接，用户可以选择点击或者不点击，点击率就是p= C/N, C是点击的人，N是
总共看到这个link的人，N要多大才能对这个p有confidence？
我知道如果有两个概率p1,p2, 判断他们是不是significantly different，这个可以通
过假设 null hypothesis 是 p1=p2, 然后通过z score推导出N需要多大才有
confidence。但是上面这题只有一个value，要判断是不是有confidence怎么做？什么
是Null hypothesis?还是说有别的思路，不需要hypothesis testing？
望赐教！ |
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c*******r
发帖数: 323 | 38 能说说怎么算confidence interval吗？
工程专业之前做测量是都是把meaurements分成几个组算平均数和confidence interval
confidence |
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s********o
发帖数: 3319 | 39 【 以下文字转载自 MedicalCareer 讨论区 】
发信人: herby (小臭宝), 信区: MedicalCareer
标 题: [合集] 你有生以来做出的最佳临床诊断是什么？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jun 2 00:01:26 2011, 美东)
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Aplusplus (Hakuna Matata) 于 (Sun Mar 27 11:11:49 2011, 美东) 提到:
首先我申明，我放弃我的ignore list， 欢迎所有ID参加。
每个医生护士或者其他相关人员， 无论在中国还是美国， 肯定都有一些case刻骨铭心
。 请大家把你印象最深的一例写出来， 与大家分享。 比方说， 清华男被鉈杀案，
那个中国来的护士就是诊断的关键， 相信本例就是她一辈子也忘不了的诊断。
我觉得这样的讨论有助于大家提高学医热情，丰富医学知识，开拓临床思维， 间接帮
助考版医生复习，准备CS，和 interview. 你要是能从中挑一个case让你PD
impressed，我想我的... 阅读全帖 |
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s********o
发帖数: 3319 | 40 【 以下文字转载自 MedicalCareer 讨论区 】
发信人: herby (小臭宝), 信区: MedicalCareer
标 题: [合集] 你有生以来做出的最佳临床诊断是什么？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jun 2 00:01:26 2011, 美东)
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Aplusplus (Hakuna Matata) 于 (Sun Mar 27 11:11:49 2011, 美东) 提到:
首先我申明，我放弃我的ignore list， 欢迎所有ID参加。
每个医生护士或者其他相关人员， 无论在中国还是美国， 肯定都有一些case刻骨铭心
。 请大家把你印象最深的一例写出来， 与大家分享。 比方说， 清华男被鉈杀案，
那个中国来的护士就是诊断的关键， 相信本例就是她一辈子也忘不了的诊断。
我觉得这样的讨论有助于大家提高学医热情，丰富医学知识，开拓临床思维， 间接帮
助考版医生复习，准备CS，和 interview. 你要是能从中挑一个case让你PD
impressed，我想我的... 阅读全帖 |
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r***6
发帖数: 401 | 41 http://www.fieldandstream.com/blogs/whitetail-365/2012/10/when-
By Will Brantley
My wife, Michelle, has been bowhunting for the past five years. Though she
killed a couple deer with a bow during her second and third season in the
woods, she also blew a plethora of “gimme” opportunities. That’s part of
it.
But she killed a nice buck the second week of Kentucky’s bow season last
year, and after that, something clicked. She arrowed two deer right out of
the gate during opening week this year, inclu... 阅读全帖 |
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R**********n
发帖数: 523 | 42 http://www.weidb.com/voice/index.php?title=Millions_of_Broken_A
Millions of Broken American Dreams -- An Open Letter to the World
November 12, 2013
Dear Fair and Righteous Citizens of the World,
We don't know who you are, but we know you are out there. We are
asking for your urgent help. We have been rendered voiceless, powerless, and
hopeless by the American mass media and many Americans. The American mass
media have lost journalistic ethics and objectivity and have been blatantly... 阅读全帖 |
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b********y
发帖数: 559 | 43 假设有个链接，用户可以选择点击或者不点击，点击率就是p= C/N, C是点击的人，N是
总共看到这个link的人，N要多大才能对这个p有confidence？
我知道如果有两个概率p1,p2, 判断他们是不是significantly different，这个可以通
过假设 null hypothesis 是 p1=p2, 然后通过z score推导出N需要多大才有
confidence。但是上面这题只有一个value，要判断是不是有confidence怎么做？什么
是Null hypothesis?还是说有别的思路，不需要hypothesis testing？
望赐教！ |
|
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f********r
发帖数: 3155 | 46 看了一下motortrend的评测，M3的问题不仅仅是在track上push到极限会出来，就是在
two way public highway上开也能感觉到。同一个driver从M3换成开C63就绝尘而去了
。。。
However, no car is perfect. The M3's overactive stability control system
troubled us. I found it very disconcerting to see the little yellow light
start flashing at 80 mph. But flash it did, constantly. Seabaugh noted that
the system would "cut power (and fun) at inopportune times." Evans had much
more to say: "Seems like the light is blinking from the moment you go to
throttle at corner e... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 48 来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - 积极讨论 I'm sort of 90% confident on the 1st part, 75% on the 2nd part. :)
I'm less confident on the 2nd part, because there some chance that
the drop is just a corretion of the last rally. I'm more confident
on the 1st part, because even if it is just a correction, a correction
wave C (down) is not there yet.
1040-1050 or so should be the decision point to verify if it is
just a correction, or the long-waited the 3rd of the 3rd wave
impulse down. .. |
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