h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 1 I was trying to avoid replying to goodbug's post as I consider that just a
wasted effort.
But since BM replied, I have something to add as well. So what bond
beats the stock in the last 40 years? We invest in stock NOT because
we think it does not have risks. I really look down those kind of "TA"
conclusions as I think those people are just completely clueless of
the history. You don't need your TA goddess to tell you that stock
has risks (of losing the principle) and you don't need TA to tell y |
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d*****z
发帖数: 114 | 2 Time frame is misleading. Of course 5 year chart looks more diversified than
1 year chart. So that doesn't prove "Diversification works until it does".
From the charts it sounds to me like "Diversification works in 5 years , but
less effective in 1 year", because 1 year is too short to show the effect
of diversification, since market system risks of various (equity) markets
are more converged/correlated in short timeframe, but the converging/
correlation would weaken as timeframe increases. |
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d*****z
发帖数: 114 | 3 Hmmm...
Until last year, I had got an even better strategy. Leverage my capital at 1
and buy any residential mortgage pool or mortgage-backed securities. I had
backtested to at least 1935. Since no single year of the 70+ year had a YOY
housing price decline (measured as consecutive YOY decline for more than 6
month), my investment's max draw down is <10% (even for leveraged capital).
Given the spread between libor and mortgage rate, the avearge return for
capital should be at least 10%. Does it |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 4 It does beat all in financials in year 2008. That's the purpose of
diversification.
In fact, getting an average loss will almost always prevent you
from completely wiped out.
Maybe in your eyes, -40% is a big loss. But to me, -40% is much
better than -70%. |
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h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 5 You don't understand what the BM was asking, do you?
You kept claiming that you have a better liver medicine, but the method you
used is by applying the historical data with a model containing quite a few
variables, it does NOT count. Say, you group all the liver diseases patient
into two groups (one died with 3 years and one lived beyond three years) and
then you study the all the differences: how do they sleep differently, how
do they eat differently, what drugs they take and how much they exe |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 6 If SPX goes to 26, it does not qualify the "cyclical" I mentioned.
Your method fear high VIX pig market, an example would be biotech
during 2003-2007.
I think as long as the frequency is near 13 weeks but far away
from 34 weeks, your method gets defeated. I don't have a tool
to simulate though, that's just my engineer's intuition, hehe.
Basically in that case I would imaging EMA13 to go up and down
very sensitively, while EMA34 keeps comparably flat, thus making
EMA13 cross EMA34 quite often. |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 7 So what does this max drawdown value indicate in real life?
For a B&Her, having -60% in the middle doesn't matter much
as long as he/she doesn't retire at that time. Same thing for
EMA'er. Why are you afraid to see -30%? |
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d*****z
发帖数: 114 | 8 I agree with what you said. It looks to me that bug's strategy does have a
not-so-simple implied assumption about how trending pattern works.
time
long
existence
years |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 9 I don't care what WB does. His time frame is too long for me.
But I do think that BNI is a very good move for him. |
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h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 10 Agree on 1. Not agree on 2. Berkshire does not have a lot of businesses that
need rail road to transfer (rail road is generally good for bulky
commodities).
But on 1, completely agree. In fact, Buffett is late for the party. Bill
Gates' private investment firm Cascade owns 7% of Canadian National Railway
, making it the company's largest shareholder. (The Bill and Melinda Gates
Foundation owns another 1.67%). It is estimated that Gates has netted $1.8
billion since he first invested in CNI in 1 |
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s****8
发帖数: 38 | 11 I found one job through the recruiter (猎头) and sent my resume to her.
She asked me to revise my resume and send it back to her.
But later on, I found this job on the company's website.
Should I submit my resume to the company directly?
Does going through the recruiter help in terms of landing an interview? |
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m*****g
发帖数: 776 | 12 HI,
Does anyone know some consulting firms in IT in New York, New Jersey area?
Thanks
Min |
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d**a
发帖数: 109 | 13 yeah it does seem like a lot of openings. do you just drop your resume on
their website or get referral in order to get an interview? |
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t*******n
发帖数: 66 | 14 I got this reply from my thank you letter after my onsite interview with
them last week. Does it mean that I am out of loop since it has "Thanks for
your interest in xxx"?
Dear XXX,
Thanks for your very positive feedback. I also enjoyed meeting you and
hearing your presentation. I believe that my colleagues will be giving you
some indication within the next few weeks.
Thanks for your interest in XXX!
Best regards,
XXX |
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s*****l
发帖数: 68 | 15 my OPT is pending(initial review), it is too slow.... If I file H1B
application right now, does it affect my OPT application? (uscis cancel OPT
application, or reject it?)
Please more information. |
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s*****l
发帖数: 68 | 16 does anyone get OPT approved recently in NSC?
please give some more information. Thanks. |
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q****i
发帖数: 237 | 17 what does it mean by "approval"? |
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L*******e
发帖数: 114 | 18 I was asked this question during on-site. My answer was pre-increment
because of temp var used in post-increment. However, rethink the question,
there is no definite yes or no answer.
Another similar question is "does inline make program faster?" I was asked
too (just different interviewer) |
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c*****1
发帖数: 1826 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 Living 讨论区 】
发信人: credit1 (gc,coupon wiki3c.com ,bbs rtchannel.com), 信区: Living
标 题: Does H1B have an EAD?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Sep 30 16:28:27 2010, 美东)
The lender requires to have an EAD. I never heard of. Anyone know how do it? |
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t******o
发帖数: 6493 | 20 I have submitted two months, but still in Initial Review, how long does the
process take? Do I need to file PP? My opt expired in December.
Thanks |
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s**a
发帖数: 968 | 21 一个job description中看到的。
DOE是啥意思？
W-2是不是表示必须有EAD？
谢谢！ |
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h*****9
发帖数: 6643 | 22 DOE = Depend On Experiences;
注明 W-2 （指税表），是说明不接受 1099 之类的，跟 WorkPermit无关。 |
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d*****n
发帖数: 1956 | 23 Does that mean it still takes one month for the Dept of Labor to process my
application? Why I saw in other people's case, it takes 10 days for the LCA? |
|
t***u
发帖数: 284 | 24 A friend of mine is trying to file for employment before get the greencard.
Is the form called -765. how long does it take to process the form? Thanks
in advance... |
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G**7
发帖数: 391 | 25 When I searched jobs, some job ad have this: "US resident only". Does that
mean that only US citizen or permanent resident?
Thanks. |
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r******e
发帖数: 80 | 26 how long does Amazon background check take? 2 or 3 days or weeks? |
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l******n
发帖数: 697 | 27 Hi Guys
Can anyone give some resource if the pre-OPT unemployment time count into
the 90 days unemployment time?
For post OPT, you have 90 days umemployment time, if you apply pre-OPT and
have some unemployment time, does this time count into 90 days unemployment
time? An official link is appreciated.
Thanks |
|
G**7
发帖数: 391 | 28 I checked USCIS website a moment ago and found this:
"Some petitions are exempt from the cap under the advanced degree
exemption provided to the first 20,000 petitions filed for a beneficiary who
has obtained a U.S. master’s degree or higher."
Does this mean that our petitions (with master degree or higher) are
exempt from the cap if the first 20,000 petitions have been used up? |
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a********r
发帖数: 218 | 29 If the boss did not see you in Microsoft onsite, does it mean you are
automatically rejected? |
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h*******a
发帖数: 99 | 30 Hi, sorry I cannot type Chinese here. Just wanna ask does San Disk sponsor
H1B visa? |
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c**********e
发帖数: 2007 | 31 Why does the following code cause a memory leak?
char* c = new char[30];
c = new char[60];
delete [] c; |
|
x********o
发帖数: 519 | 32 my lawyer filed my case on Aug. 30,
he does not contact me since then.
I even do not know how to check my status.
so do the lawyers usually give receipt numbers?
thanks. |
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x********o
发帖数: 519 | 33 sigh~, my lawyer does not do anything so far |
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h******3
发帖数: 351 | 34 I did their one-hour online technical evaluation.
Did not receive any feedback after more than one week.
Sent follow up email and Recruiter told me she is also waiting for results.
Does the company reject applicants silently? |
|
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G**7
发帖数: 391 | 36 One university called and said they were going to give me an offer. That is
without onsite. I agreed. Then they told me that they were discussing next
year's budget. During this time, another university reached me and issued an
official letter. I accepted.
A few days later, the first university called again and said about their
budget approved. Today, their HR called. I think that is about offer. I am
going to turn it down.
Does this hurt my RP?
Thanks for your feedback. |
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c**z
发帖数: 669 | 37 My h1b status changes to "Post Decision Activity"
saying I129 is approved. Does this mean my h1b gets approved?
Thanks |
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x*****3
发帖数: 65 | 38 I applied google a few months ago on line, and today I got email from them
asking for:
transcript, graduation date and complete a location perference form.
what does this mean? Will I get an interview soon for sure? or this is
common for every applicant? |
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q*a
发帖数: 518 | 39 Does someone can update their Export license application timing? Thanks.
Such as:
Submitted: MM/DD/YYYY
Approved: MM/DD/YYYY
My case submitted on 11/10/2011 |
|
q*a
发帖数: 518 | 40 Thanks. So smooth. Does the Export license application seperate into
different service center like H1B application? Thanks again. |
|
q*a
发帖数: 518 | 41 Does someone can update their Export license application timing? Thanks.
Such as:
Submitted: MM/DD/YYYY
Approved: MM/DD/YYYY
My case submitted on 11/10/2011 |
|
q*a
发帖数: 518 | 42 Thanks. So smooth. Does the Export license application seperate into
different service center like H1B application? Thanks again. |
|
S*****A
发帖数: 44 | 43 If I have a stem OPT which will expire on may 2012, and I got an offer from
company A who will file H1-B on April 1st 2012 for me.
So, does stem OPT matter the H1-B Cap-gap extension in a way like whether A
is E-verified or not?? Or Stem extended OPT cannot extended anymore, sth
like that?
Am I still qualify for cap-gap extension?
I am employed for company B until next year the new company A file h1-B for
me.
Please help me!!
Thanks a lot! |
|
w******t
发帖数: 37 | 44 Is this company does works or just cheating? |
|
w****f
发帖数: 684 | 45 朋友帮忙推荐了一个 “Business Intelligence Analyst” job description listed
： data mining， SQL。。。
But also “ Excel wizardry is a requirement”。
Does anyone know how to use Excel for data analysis? Any quick learning
material?
Thanks in advance! |
|
r******o
发帖数: 81 | 46 LCA was approved about 2 days ago and then it is saying LCA sent to employer
for signature. Today it is showing Received signed LCA, so what does that
mean? I guess they have NOT yet file the H1B for me? but it is all ready to
file H1B for me now? BTW, if they file the H1B for me today, how long I
would be able to get the receipt?
Thanks! |
|
r******o
发帖数: 81 | 47 btw, when ur saying it was delivered 2 days ago, does that mean at least u
get the Fedex Receipt?
Thanks! |
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c**2
发帖数: 8496 | 48 Received signed LCA -->Does that mean h1b filed?
Ans: No.
I think the company is using Premium Process, and I heard the receipt will
be arriving within 2 weeks?
Ans: case by case, 2 weeks to months are all possible. Some people using PP
and receive H1 approval even before the paper receipt. |
|
w****f
发帖数: 684 | 49 Does anyone have interview questions for data mining and analyst positions?
Or where to find some? |
|
F***G
发帖数: 103 | 50 Q2:
Given an outcome y and a million predict variables x=(x1...x_m) for 50k
observations, which algo will you use to predict the outcome for another
random vector x? why the algo beat others? How does it incorporate the
dependency among the prediction variables? |
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