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全部话题 - 话题: fed
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p********r
发帖数: 1980
1
来自主题: Investment版 - Documents show how Fed missed housing bust
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER
AP Economics Writer
Ben Bernanke presided over his first meeting as Federal Reserve chairman in
March 2006 believing the nation's economy could pull off a "soft landing"
from falling home prices. Three months later, Bernanke had begun to grasp
that he and others had underestimated the risk housing posed to the economy.
Newly released transcripts of Fed meetings during Bernanke's first year as
chairman show that, among Fed officials, he often expressed the most concern
about ... 阅读全帖
p********r
发帖数: 1980
2
The Fed announced $400 billion in Operation Twist through the end of June 12
. The idea is that lower long-term rates might lead to more borrowing and
economic activity.
But for bankers, who are already struggling with low interest rates on loans
and tepid loan demand, the twist option could further dent already-weakened
profits. That is because lower long-term interest rates would result in
contracting net interest margins for banks—essentially, the profit margin
in the lending business—at a ti... 阅读全帖
d******8
发帖数: 1972
3
“The most important thing was the dissents,” says strategic investor
Dennis Gartman. "That was a huge change.”
Gartman is referring to the latest Fed statement and the fact that after
past Fed meetings dissenters have been hawkish, but this time the dissenter
said the Fed was not easing enough.
“That’s a huge change in my opinion,” Gartman says.
And that one aspect of the Fed statement was enough to influence the way
Gartman trades. Here's his takeaway:
“If you thought QE3 was on the table it’s ... 阅读全帖
d******8
发帖数: 1972
4
“The most important thing was the dissents,” says strategic investor
Dennis Gartman. "That was a huge change.”
Gartman is referring to the latest Fed statement and the fact that after
past Fed meetings dissenters have been hawkish, but this time the dissenter
said the Fed was not easing enough.
“That’s a huge change in my opinion,” Gartman says.
And that one aspect of the Fed statement was enough to influence the way
Gartman trades. Here's his takeaway:
“If you thought QE3 was on the table it’s ... 阅读全帖
B*******n
发帖数: 20645
5
• *FOMC SEES `SUFFICIENT UNDERLYING STRENGTH' IN ECONOMY
• *FOMC SAYS IT WILL LIKELY REDUCE QE IN `FURTHER MEASURED STEPS'
• *FED: LOW TARGET RATE APPROPRIATE FOR CONSIDERABLE TIME POST-QE
• *MORE FED OFFICIALS SEE AT LEAST 1% FED FUNDS RATE END OF 2015
• *FED DROPS 6.5% JOBLESS THRESHOLD FOR RAISING FED FUNDS RATE
• *FOMC TO WEIGH `WIDE RANGE OF INFORMATION' ON JOBS, INFLATION
• *FED: 2014 GDP GROWTH OF 2.8%-3.0% VS 2.8%-3.2% IN DEC... 阅读全帖
g****t
发帖数: 31659
6
WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday continued its slow march
toward higher interest rates, signaling that it remains on track to raise
its benchmark interest in December for the first time this year but holding
off on an increase this month.
After a two-day meeting of its policy-making committee, the Fed delivered
the expected news that it would not adjust rates during the final days of a
contentious presidential election. But the Fed’s post-meeting statement
reinforced expectations th... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
7
来自主题: Stock版 - 关于Fed和金融股说两句
银行界的寡头们其实早就期盼着耶伦大妈加息了,可是fed一直打嘴炮,整个2016都快
完了,还没见到加息的影子,银行在低利率的环境下,利润很微薄,日子很难过,股票
也一直不振...都盼着加息呢。很多CEO在去年年底加息后,都盼着今年至少有2-3次的
持续加息,并且也把公司的战略调整了以迎合这一趋势,可惜Fed让他们一次次的失望
,我们不排除阴谋论的可能,接着川普当选,抛债来给自己加息,现在的局势是对银行
最有利的,只涨贷款利息,不涨存款利率,这比等Fed加息来的快和划算,也可以推高
自己的股票,年底拿到高额的bonus。现在问题是Fed会眼巴巴的看着自己被”废武功“
,听凭银行家自己说了算?贷款的利息涨太快了也会减缓经济活动、扼杀刚复苏的经济
,绝对是Fed不乐见的,你想想,Fed一年都不敢加0.25,生怕slow down 复苏,可是花
街的MM在一个月内尽然给贷款利息加了0.75,三倍于Fed,耶伦大妈会高兴吗?
c*w
发帖数: 4736
8
财政部会把tax revenue存在Fed,
-are you sure about this?
Before the subprime problem, Almost all the asset of Fed is T-bill/bond. So it's almost the other way round - Fed lends money to Treasury.
同时政府财政支出也会由财政部经Fed发出。
-what exactly do you mean by this? Did you mean that if US builds a warship,
for example, the contracting defense company will be paid by the Fed,
instead of the Treasury?

revenue
Fed
Fed
z*******n
发帖数: 1034
9
July 10, 2014 10:45 AM
Richard Byrne Reilly
The Feds are going after Amazon.
The Federal Trade Commission said Thursday morning that the online retail
kingpin unlawfully billed parents for millions of dollars in unauthorized
app purchases made by children. And now the feds want Amazon to return the
money.
The FTC filed suit in federal court this morning, alleging that no parental
consent or passwords were required for kids to buy apps from Amazon’s app
store. That’s a violation of federal law. D... 阅读全帖
y*****l
发帖数: 5997
10
报导日期:2010/02/19 08:42
盘前动态 -- FED调高贴现率,美股期指下跌

美国股市连续3天上涨後,美股期指周五盘前下跌,因美国联准会(FED)周四盘後突然宣
布调高对金融机构的重贴现率1码(0.25个百分点),带动美元指数上涨,原物料价格疲
弱。
道琼工业指数期货盘前下跌47点,为10,328点;史坦普500指数期货下跌7.5点,为1,
098.10点,Nasdaq 100指数期货下跌7.5点,为1,813.25点。
美国股市周四收盘上涨,因费城制造业指数高昂,抵销Wal-Mart Stores (WMT: 报价,
研究资料) 财报的负面影响,道琼工业指数收盘上扬83.66点或0.8%,为10,392.9点;
史坦普500指数上涨7.24点或0.7%,为1,106.75点;Nasdaq上扬15.42点或0.7%,为2,
241.71点。
美国股市周四收盘後,美国联准会(FED)宣布重贴现率调高0.25个百分点(1码),成为0.
75%,2月19日起生效,为3年多来首次调高重贴现率,比分析师预期来得快,这是央行
退出救市机制的明显举措。FED发表声明指出,此举不... 阅读全帖
B**W
发帖数: 2273
11
来自主题: USANews版 - Fed Proposes New Capital Rules for Banks
WASHINGTON (Reuters) — The Federal Reserve on Tuesday proposed new capital
and liquidity rules for the largest American banks that would be rolled out
in two phases and would probably not go further than international standards.
The Fed said that both the capital and liquidity requirements required by
last year’s Dodd-Frank financial oversight law would be carried out in two
phases.
The first phase would rely on policies already issued by the Fed, like the
capital stress-test plan it released in... 阅读全帖
x*******1
发帖数: 28835
12
来自主题: Stock版 - Fed不妨和对冲基金联手
money is just symbol for fed. Money is no meaning to fed. Fed create
currency. Fed create paper money to increase fluid of market. give all u.s
dollar to fed, fed even can't support u.s economic.
g8
发帖数: 3784
13
来自主题: Stock版 - FED Reverse Repo 21.8亿美元
FYI
* The Fed uses repurchase agreements, also called "RPs" or "repos", to
make collateralized loans to primary dealers. In a reverse repo or “RRP”,
the Fed borrows money from primary dealers. The typical term of these
operations is overnight, but the Fed can conduct these operations with terms
out to 65 business days.
* The Fed uses these two types of transactions to offset temporary
swings in bank reserves; a repo temporarily adds reserve balances to the
banking system, while reverse ... 阅读全帖
G*******1
发帖数: 6411
14
The Federal Reserve is likely to deliver another round of monetary stimulus
"fairly soon" unless the economy improves considerably, minutes from the
central bank's August meeting show.
Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve headquarters
While the meeting was held before a recent improvement in the economic data,
including a stronger-than-expected July reading for U.S. employment,
policymakers were pretty categorical about their dissatisfaction with the
current outlook.
"Many members judged that additio... 阅读全帖
r***l
发帖数: 9084
15
deflation vs inflation哪个更糟,的确有不同看法。deflation或者超低的inflation
fed当然不喜欢,但fed绝对是不允许真正的通膨出现的。
恶性通膨是所有国家经济的噩梦,钱在不停的贬值,老百姓怨声载道,后果是灾难性的
。我说的通膨不是说2.x%,3.x%的概念,2.x%根本不是通膨,是健康的经济发展,通膨
起码是以上7%,卡特时代的利率17-18%, 经济股市债市全部一塌糊涂。这个是fed永远
的教训,所以卡特时代以来,fed的第一任务是防止再次出现高通膨,美国再来一次15%
的利率时代,国家就完蛋了。deflation或者低inflation很多年了,美国仍然好好的,
股市债市高歌猛进,来个15%通膨大家看看,会是灾难的。
QE了这么多次,外面的钱很多,一旦经济真正"起飞",fed如果加息晚了,或者加息不
够,通膨一旦上了加速轨道,再控制就很难了,经济也就载了。这么多人关心利率都是
因为害怕通膨,否则"2.4%过了就加息 不到就减息"这么容易操控自如,fed这么紧张干
吗?
a**u
发帖数: 8107
16
Fed To Hold Unexpected Meeting Under "Expedited Procedures" On Monday To
Discuss Rates
From zerohedge.com
Read Full Story at zerohedge.com
With everyone's focus sharply attuned on anything to do with the Fed's rate
hike policy, many will probably wonder why yesterday the Fed announced that
this coming Monday, April 11, the Fed will hold a closed meeting "under
expedited procedures" during which the Board of Governors will review and
determine advance and discount rates charged by the Fed banks. ... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
17
来自主题: Stock版 - 关于Fed和金融股说两句
有没有注意到,现在的avg 30 yr fix mortgage rate 已经从一个多月前的3.25% 猛飙
到了4.1%, 为何?MM集体抛售债,推高了所有bond 和Treasury的yield,变相的推高了
贷款利率,已经相当于Fed加息0.75-1的效果了,贷款利息涨了,但存款利率并没有提
高,银行margin利润空间高了,当然金融股狂飙,花街的MM不是白痴,不会因为川普几
句不靠谱的嘴炮就大买金融股,这才是实际的原因。GS已经接近金融海啸前的历史最高
点,
可是扪心自问,就算共和党放开regulation,可能回到2007年前”放野马“的年代吗?
金融界已经荣景不再。这是花街一个巨大的阴谋,把Fed放到了一个很尴尬的境界,难
怪最近放出了废除Fed的呼声,看似疯狂,但细思极恐,花街MM在向当权者展示,有没
有Fed,他们都能随时
通过”市场“调整银行的借贷利率。耶伦下周再加息0.25-0.5的话,势必又要继续推高
银行利率了,可能借个30年的mortgage 要4.5% 以上了,这对Fed来说太快了些,会伤
害缓慢复苏的经济,所以Fed必须想到打击MM这种借抛债自己加息的势... 阅读全帖
w**********y
发帖数: 1691
18
小弟来美国两年,还是F1在读书。
今年半年(6-12)在一个公司用CPT作intern
今天收了工资之后吓了一跳,有30%那么多阿。。
然后发现有7项组成:
1. Fed Withholding
2. Fed MED/EE
3. Fed OASDI/EE
4. PA Unempl EE
5. PA withholding
6. “城市A” CITY
7. “城市B” LS
我有几个问题:
1. Fed MED 和 Fed OASDI(Federal Old Age Disability Insurance Employee
Employment )我是不是不应该交的阿?那么我应该跟HR的人argue,让他们以后不再扣
了呢,还是必须等到下次退税的时候填税表去要回来?
2. 我读书的时候在“城市A”,现在“城市B”工作,那么我都不住那了,第6项还要收
取阿?
3.其它有啥税我不该交的却被扣了阿?
请专家帮忙解答一下,小弟先谢过了
S***e
发帖数: 4426
19
我觉得本质上你没apprieciate delpo的努力。
比赛又不是fed一个人打,所谓此消彼长,delpo打的好了,fed自然显得差。
你说fed领先时懈怠保守,估计主要指那个drop shot吧?
那个就是当时下意识的决定,我觉得。没成功而已。
为啥fed必须成功才叫不懈怠保守呢?
他要是不“保守”,球都打出界了,不是更糟?
说他落后时急躁,貌似他第四局先被破,然后又反破回来了吧。。。
只不过最后第五局回天乏术而已。
做粉丝的,好好欣赏比赛就好了,老想着给fed提意见,出主意,
fed自己都说了,那些意见就没什么对的。。。
c**a
发帖数: 316
20
牛人,这里果然藏龙卧虎。
另外两个问题:
1. 为什么说 Fed 控制 政府无限制的 发行货币是其 私有银行的职能体现,
我觉得 只是 Fed 不直接向administration 负责 所以 可以控制器发行货币。
2. Fed 的balance sheet 的扩大 受什么 限制, 以什么为依据。
总不能是说 Fed chairman 想扩大就扩大, 想扩大多少就扩大多少?

revenue
Fed
Fed
w*******y
发帖数: 60932
21
I realize this will just further bug non-govt workers, but local DC-area
eateries are offering (some starting tonight) special deals for furloughed
government employees.
Z Burger ( Link:
http://www.zburger.com/
) offers one free veggie/turkey/beef burger to any fed govt employee (w/
govt ID) starting Monday if the furlough's still going. Link:
http://wusa9.com/news/article/145645/373/Z-Burger-To-Offer-Feds
Beginning Monday, April 11, Dangerously Delicious Pies ( Link:
http://www.dangerouspiesdc.... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
22
来自主题: USANews版 - All Eyes On Fed Next Week
http://20smoney.com/2010/10/25/all-eyes-on-fed-next-week/
25 October 2010
If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed. Or consider
checking out my online income reports or discussion forums. Thanks for
visiting!
The Federal Reserve looks to be announcing the plans for their next phase of
quantitative easing next week. The announcement will come on Wednesday,
November 3rd. Interestingly, this comes a day after the elections. Whether
or not the timing means anything is up for ... 阅读全帖
c******i
发帖数: 4091
23
我很理解你和其他支持弱木尼的人的心情,这也是我当初面对小布什和侯赛因的比较时
的情绪。
但是,经历了这么多教训之后,面对事实,我们要仔细分析,不能让表面的情绪和恐惧
欺骗了我们,让我们再次陷入两党的共同陷阱。
你所列举的种种危险,根源在哪里?根源不是简单的民主党或共和党,而是FED和华尔
街。
不解决FED这个终极boss,支持两党中的任何一个傀儡,对于现实问题没有任何实质帮
助。而事实表明,弱木尼和侯赛因没有区别,都是FED的傀儡,那么选弱木尼如何解决
你列举的种种你认为是侯赛因造成的问题?其实侯赛因也是听FED干这些事的。
如果没有其他选择也就闭眼算了,但是现在ron paul指出了解决这些问题并消除恐惧的
办法,audit FED,那么我们可以支持ron paul,而非缘木求鱼负薪救火选侯赛因第二-
-弱木尼。
这个基本逻辑一定要搞明白。就好比两个流氓打架争夺洗劫你的权力,你选哪个胜出,
对你自己的利益有什么好处?

impossible
down
congress
fulfill
c******i
发帖数: 4091
24
a republican president这种泛指,不能证明什么。ron paul和弱木尼侯赛因的区别太
大了。
我的观点就是,如果不能audit FED,那么弱木尼和侯赛因在failure scale上相同的概
率远远大于不同的概率。你的假设弱木尼的3-7没有任何事实可以给出信心区间。弱木
尼的哪些政策能够切实让被残酷剥削的中产从FED的惩罚性货币政策磨盘里解放出来?
我目前没有看到。
因为目前所有fail的项目,bubble/debt/unemployment/healthcare/tax互相纠缠,寻
根究底,要从audit FED开始才能理清症结祛除沉疴。
如果有牺牲和折衷可以换来好处,那么请具体摆明有哪些好处是可以被监督实现而不是
lip service?弱木尼在这方面没有比侯赛因有任何不同。
现实已如此清晰,而ron paul已经指出了正确的道路来医治沉疴让大家重获自由,那么
有什么理由让大家再度自欺欺人地陷入两党的陷阱呢?
什么是两党陷阱呢?大家都知道朝三暮四的寓言吧?耍猴儿的先推出侯赛因就是朝三,
等选民有意见了,再推出弱木尼就是暮四。猴儿们觉得前后顺序换了一下就以为自... 阅读全帖
t*****e
发帖数: 3544
25
来自主题: Food版 - grass fed beef vs corn fed beef
Grass fed 没有corn fed的嫩。
我们这疙瘩grass fed 不比corn fed 的贵。
L****a
发帖数: 572
26
来自主题: Stock版 - FED raises discount rate
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-hikes-discount-rate-says-not-tightening-2010-02-18
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Federal Reserve announced late Thursday that
it was raising its discount rate in order to push banks to borrow from the
private market for short-term credit. In a statement, the Fed said it would
raise its discount, or primary credit rate, to 0.75% from 0.50% effective on
Friday. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke signaled last week that the Fed was
mulling the move. Fed watchers had ex
c******n
发帖数: 5697
27
来自主题: Stock版 - FED今天的表态其实有点问题
没问题
其实是fed已经对市场失去了控制力
以前市场钱流动率是跟着fed走的
现在不论fed怎么印,fed管的银行们都不肯借钱
银行死活不借钱,通胀不可能,fed对interest rate怎么讲也没用
k********8
发帖数: 7948
28
来自主题: Stock版 - Fed's Fisher: No need for QE3
http://money.cnn.com/2012/06/01/news/economy/Fed-Fisher/
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The elephant in the room - QE3 - is stomping around
again thanks to that deeply disappointing jobs report. So, will the Federal
Reserve open the floodgates and throw more stimulus into the market? Or will
it remain on the side lines, jawboning that "policy options are available .
.. should it be necessary."
Sometimes words are enough to calm the markets, sort of like a lullaby.
Other times, you need action - as we've... 阅读全帖
t******y
发帖数: 6206
29
12:45 pm Effect on the Next 55 Daysby Sudeep ReddyAdd a Comment
The Fed action could keep the stock market propped up in the coming weeks.
Just with the new purchases and Operation Twist, the Fed will be buying $85
billion a month of bonds through the end of the year.
So 55 days before the presidential election, the Fed just launched two
printing presses: its own, to expand its balance sheet even further. And the
GOP's, to fire off press releases attacking the Fed for taking action.
For the Fed... 阅读全帖
s******s
发帖数: 1793
30
Fed minutes show some concerns on bond purchases
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal Reserve policymakers expressed broad support last
month for the Fed's plan to buy bonds to support the U.S. economy. But they
differed over how long to keep buying bonds to drive down long-term
interest rates.
Minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting show that some of the 12 voting
members thought the bond purchases would be warranted through the end of
this year.
Others felt the purchases should be slowed or stopped... 阅读全帖
s********i
发帖数: 17328
31
来自主题: Stock版 - 如果FED不cut spending
FED的QE和政府有没有钱是两回是。政府没钱了,如果没达到debt ceiling,可以借钱
,可以管FED借也可以管中国借。不管政府有没有钱,FED都可以通过buy or sell
bonds来提高或减少流动性(QE)。
后序政策可能有很多种:
1。政府没钱了,ok,那就别花了-spending cut。
2。政府没钱了,还想继续花钱,就得找人借。
2.1 FED说我不借给你了,怕你还不上,你找别人借把,结果国债利率上升。
2.2 FED继续印,直到美元变废纸。
b*****p
发帖数: 9649
32
来自主题: Stock版 - 尼玛,FED这帮人太坏了
It's also another busy day for Fed speakers, with Richmond Fed President
Jeffrey Lacker, Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto, San Francisco Fed
President John Williams, and Fed Governor Jeremy Stein all with scheduled
speakers.
还有三波?LOL
E******w
发帖数: 2616
33
Fed能干的就两件事。第一是配合华尔街搞突然袭击,把大家的钱赚走。(这是Fed主动
出击的情况)。第二是按照经济数据做出保守的政策反应。(这是Fed被动应对的情况
)。
你指望Fed主动出击加息预防通胀?万一通胀没来通缩来了呢?谁负责?这些银行家本
来就热爱通胀,谁会那么爱国为了国家的前途冒这种风险?所以,最终虽然有加息的声
音,但是通胀不出现,Fed是不会主动加息的。紧张归紧张,谁都知道通胀来了再加已
经晚了。但是没有人能下这个决心。
Q*0
发帖数: 30
34
来自主题: GunsAndGears版 - FED 9MM 子弹还是赶不上WIN 9MM
今天下班早,到靶场消费了300发子弹。其中WIN250发,FED50发。记录是WIN250发没一
枪卡壳,FED基本上是每十发来一下子。本来是带了100发FED,实在扫兴,打了50发了
事。幸亏上次FED没买太多。看来WIN多出2刀是有原因的。不过也有可能是我先连续打
了250发WIN,再打FED有一定影响。不过也有可能是枪的原因。反正我是以后不会买FED
了,要是关键时候卡壳,那可是要以生命为代价的。
L***6
发帖数: 8307
35
【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: LR106 (最爱小TayTay), 信区: Stock
标 题: Fed向来是个金融家/私有资本控制的机构?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Sep 28 14:32:45 2014, 美东)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IJeemTQ7Vk
周五爆出的被炒的前Fed纽约银行雇员,放了46小时Fed和高盛的秘密谈话,向公众展示
Fed作为“regulator”和投行狼狈为奸。这个纪录片讲了下美联储历史,提到一开始就
是罗斯柴尔德,洛克菲勒,摩根这些大家族在一个岛上秘密起草“央行”的模板,完全
山寨了最早的央行bank of england,获取了印发纸币并贷款给政府的权力,美国政府
长期负债成为基本国策,可以“刺激经济”。。。
也就是说,现在叶大妈的停止印钱,加息,不是Congress说了算,和华盛顿政客没关系
,只和“操纵”美联储的花街资本家有关系,花街金融巨头想要股市继续牛,就可以操
作Fed推迟加息。
这样理解正确么?
q*********u
发帖数: 9501
36
来自主题: _Stockcafeteria版 - Fed若續寬鬆 美股再漲一成
知名對沖基金經理人畢格斯(Barton Biggs)上周五接受彭博電視台訪問時表示,倘若
美國聯準會(Fed)本周宣布新一波量化寬鬆計畫,美股很可能再大漲10%。
本報訊
現年77歲的Traxis Partners操盤手畢格斯指出,傳統的看法是美股恐將殺出大量賣
單,但圈內人士認為,美股其實很有可能會大出投資人意料地再漲1成。
Fed訂於本周二和周三召開政策會議,研議提振美國景氣之道。美國景氣復甦速度過
慢,無法有效壓低持續在26年來高點盤旋的失業率。Fed為衡量第2回合量化寬鬆對刺激
美國經濟成長的影響,已請債券交易商和投資人預估Fed在今後半年間收購資產的規模
以行量化寬鬆的效果。
標準普爾500指數從7月所創今年最低點起,至今最大漲幅達16%,主因之一是逾7成
成分股季度淨利連續第6季超越平均獲利預測,為彭博社自1993年追蹤至今最長紀錄,
另一主因是市場臆測Fed將會買進債券以刺激美國經濟。
追蹤21國股市的MSCI新興市場指數自5月低點至今已漲29%,較2008年10月的低點相
比,則大漲143%。上海綜合指數從7月5日低點至今已漲26%,巴西Bovespa指數從5月
20日... 阅读全帖
l********k
发帖数: 14844
37
米国整天嚷嚷free market好,并且给别的国家施压说你们不是free market,你们的货
币不是自由浮动的云云。但是米国自己也不是free market呀。为什么?最重要的商品
是什么?货币。目前最重要的货币,美元的价格是谁定的?fed!有人说fed也是个bank
,而且还是private bank,fed的动作是依据市场,因此美元的浮动依然不违背free
market的精神。但fed之所以能为所欲为同时又不降低米圆的地位,是米国政府用军事
和政治手段所保证的。这是最大的政府干预,怎么能说是free market呢?
看看前两天的OT,股市、大宗商品、贵金属,都是近几年来跌得最惨的一次,来源不过
是普林教授的一个最高指示。这是哪门子的free market...
当然了,米国嚷嚷着让别人free market,让别人货币自由浮动,他有这个拳头,所以
可以。它双重标准又不是一天两天了。
c********e
发帖数: 4283
38
来自主题: Military版 - 川普为什么对fed升息那么不满?
Fed其实是两条腿走路,一个是加息,另一个是unwind balance sheet(量化紧缩,缩表
,Fed将一部分持有的国债到期后不再自动rollover了)
低利率的好处是(1)银行利润空前的高,(2)大企业贷款容易成本很低,(3)联邦政府
service国债的成本低 (4)民间贷款的利率也低
(1) 造成金融也股价涨
(2) 大企业上市公司拿到钱 不干正事 却去做stock buy back, look at the post
child of stock buy back: GE!
(3) 美国一年预算的6%是用来支付国债利息的
(4) 车贷,房贷利率低 有利于刺激消费 - (美国的民间贷款年底应噶到4T了)维持房
市,车市
Obama统治的8年基本全是实际负利率的(nominal 利率 - 通货膨胀)
Trump觉得现在Fed一直在(1)升息, (2)量化紧缩,使得他和Obama不在一个level
playing field里,所以他在叫屈,这个他是有一定道理的
但是他不明白(或者假装不明白)的是Fed在Obama期间的所作所为本来就是错误的,零
利率也好,QE也好,本来都... 阅读全帖
ik
发帖数: 167
39
来自主题: Military版 - Fed应该快宣布降息了
"Clearly a rate cut will do little to mitigate a global supply chain
disruption due to the coronavirus," Bianco wrote in a note to clients. "In
this sense, the Fed is at the mercy of the coronavirus or a potential
vaccine."
Or as Scott Minerd, the chief investment officer for Guggenheim Partners,
put it: "The Fed is fairly impotent in this environment."
... or it could make things worse
While the Fed may be impotent against a supply-side shock like the
coronavirus, there is also a chance that a ... 阅读全帖
C*I
发帖数: 4736
40
是,它会天天时时刻刻都在变的,但你要逮住机会,差不多就把它锁了。
不过,virus time 期间,商业银行从fed拿的钱利息低,贷款出去的利率也肯定会低。
何况,房屋贷款一般是商业银行担保,从Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 拿的钱, 利息
一般都是是按照fed利率为基准的 + 货币市场的market index 每天时刻进行调整。 不
过,fed同时宣布,拿了7000亿美元来调整货币市场资金/规模不足以满足降低利息但没
有钱的问题。所以,短缺内,应当利息会降到历史最低水平。
但问题是,这是人一生中的最低利息水平,估计很多人都想refi,人太多,商业银行会
不会设计很多条件附加利息,point, fee 啥的就不知道了。
here is what fed said:
The central bank also announced a series of steps to boost lending,
including by lowering the rate charged to banks for short-term emergency
loans from... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
41
By Terence P. Jeffrey
June 7, 2012
(CNSNews.com) - Since President Barack Obama was inaugurated in January
2009, the Federal Reserve’s holdings of U.S. government debt have
quintupled, according to the Fed’s official monthly balance sheet.
On Jan. 28, 2009, a week after Obama’s nomination, the Fed owned $302
billion in U.S. Treasury securities. On April 25, 2012, the latest date
reported, the Fed owned five and a half time that much in U.S. Treasury
securities--$1.668 trillion.
That is an incre... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
42
Last week we saw the Q1 GDP get revised from 2.2% to 1.9% and with inflation
running above 2% we are already in economic decline. Q2 GPD is likely to
be lower than Q1.
We also saw the May jobs numbers come in at 69,000 jobs, which is far lower
than the 150,000 that many economists were hoping for.
What is going on?
We conclude that, contrary to Bernanke, his loose policies didn't save the
US economy from anything. The FED only delayed the massive recession that
is still on the horizon.
The rea... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
43
川普与鲍尔。路透
总统川普多次批评联准会(Fed)主席鲍尔的升息计画将拖累该国经济成长,而彭博15
日报导指出,川普之所以不断抨击升息,是因为这将使他跟德意志银行所借的约3.4亿
美元浮动利率房贷利息变多。
根据彭博对川普财务揭露与财产纪录分析,自川普去年元月就职以来,Fed升息恐已令
他偿债成本累积增加510万美元,而若是Fed下周又一如市场预期决定升息1码,此数字
将变为一年600万美元。Fed将在12月18-19日召开货币决策会议,料将做出今年第4次升
息决定。
川普是在2012-2015年期间从德意志银行借来在佛州开发高球场,并在华府与芝加哥开
设饭店,而当时利率接近于零。

发帖数: 1
44
来自主题: USANews版 - fed fund target rate 历史数据
自己Google! Fed vs mint,stock vs Bond
Fed 的职能是储备银行,不是独立央行。所以,Fed不是货币发行机构,无法进行货币
供应量的调控。没有asset backed,他不能买入或卖出Bond。Fed没能力掌控政府买什
么股份。是股份,不是股票。这是政府tarp fund要干的
The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) 看见名字里面有asset了吗
你这白丁帖,属于没什么常识还行挺横。自己search会死吗。


: 你啥都不懂,又在这里丢名词,前言不达后语,LOL

: abracadabra关于印钞那点不对,你就直接指出来嘛,呵呵

m**********w
发帖数: 4161
45
wiki上看来的。没太看明白。
In the United States, as of 2006 the Fed sets an interest rate target for
the Fed funds (overnight bank reserves) market. When the actual Fed funds
rate is higher than the target, the New York Reserve Bank will usually
increase the money supply via a repo (effectively lending). When the actual
Fed funds rate is less than the target, the Bank will usually decrease the
money supply via a reverse repo (effectively borrowing).
l********g
发帖数: 8819
46
牛,
我个人会觉得fed比较好,自己没经验,只是凭感觉
我一个美国同学也告诉我,在fed作几年,可以跳到商行去,这样薪水会比较高了,
还有,fed的收入肯能不需要交税吧,理论上fed是non profit亚,
l********g
发帖数: 8819
47
牛,
我个人会觉得fed比较好,自己没经验,只是凭感觉
我一个美国同学也告诉我,在fed作几年,可以跳到商行去,这样薪水会比较高了,
还有,fed的收入肯能不需要交税吧,理论上fed是non profit亚,
j*e
发帖数: 1987
48
从这个报道看,信用卡rebate可能马上要大降了,rewards checking利息可能也要大降
了。
对普通消费者是好消息,因为购物成本可能下降。对Money版上广大钻研信用卡返点,钱包里放N张,按返点多少不同类别专卡专用的可能不是好消息。因为大家赚的返点都是从只用一张卡的普通消费者那里剥削来的。
http://udn.com/NEWS/WORLD/WOR6/6041560.shtml
【經濟日報╱編譯莊雅婷/綜合外電】 2010.12.18 02:24 am
美國聯準會宣布對簽帳卡交易費設限,恐導致威士卡和萬事達卡損失數十億美元營收,
兩者股價應聲重挫。
(美聯社)
美國聯準會(Fed)16日宣布對簽帳卡(debit card)交易費設限,未來銀行對商家的
收費最多將下降九成,零售商和消費者可望因此受益。但此規定恐導致威士卡(Visa)
和萬事達卡(Mastercard)等公司損失數十億美元營收,消息公布後,兩者股價16日重
挫逾10%。
簽帳卡交易費就是刷卡費,當顧客使用簽帳卡消費時,銀行會向零售業者收取交易金額
1%至2%的手續費,而信用卡再向銀行收取網絡服務費。據估計,這塊... 阅读全帖
r*m
发帖数: 16380
49
来自主题: Stock版 - 我听说fed进场买股票了
fed的钱,买债卷也是买,买股票也是买,买股票其实刺激效果可能还更好更直接。
就买权重股,比如dow指那些个,一来可以直接拉高指数,二来捂着这些股票其实也安
全,亏不到哪里去。在市场关键点位,眼看着要往下突破时,fed出手猛买一票,拉绿
,直接把熊熊吓跑,挤短,多来几次,引发大家逢低买入并持有的信心,完全可以起到
四两拨千斤之效。
而股票涨起,两大好处。第一是财富效应,刺激消费。第二可以给那些行将退休的一个
不算太差的离场机会,政治上也和谐。至于fed手里这些股票,反正fed不会被margin
call,捂着好了,早晚能出水赚钱。
a********t
发帖数: 4508
50
来自主题: Stock版 - Aegeanboat:FED Follows BOJ?
今天BOJ减息的消息,刺激了美国股市。其实想一想,BOJ的举措也没什么大不了。本来
也没什么息可以降了。$50B对于日本这样规模的经济来说也不是什么大事。
但是,世界股市跟着瞎涨。原因就是,大家预期FED也会近期出QE2。QE2的预期很久了
,只是时间上不好讲。这回日本一动,大家预期FED也会跟着动。
问题就来了。FED会不会跟着日本动?
我的判断是近期不会。原因有四:
(1)美国经济缓慢恢复中。今天的Service Index就是一例。
(2)近期Bernanke评论Government发债多。似乎没有给QE2造成很好的舆论环境。
(3)BOJ举动很小,似乎不是和世界各大经济体联合行动,不值得FED对此产生反应。
(4)日本情况比较特殊,实在是日元升值厉害,政治上又有些困难,不刺激刺激不行啊。实际上这是日本最近一直刺激经济的一系列步骤之一。
如果今天下来成交量没有出现,很有可能只是个noise罢了。
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