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全部话题 - 话题: likelihood
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e*******l
发帖数: 1269
1
来自主题: Military2版 - 叙利亚:中国对外宣传该怎么做
看看这家伙的文章,欧洲的左派,人才阿。
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/feb/07/syria-inter
**********************************************
Intervention in Syria will escalate not stop the killing
Seumas Milne
Russia and China blocked a bid to force regime change. But a negotiated
settlement is the only way out of civil war
There is no limit, it seems, to the blood price Arabs have to pay for their
"spring". After the carnage in Egypt, Yemen, Bahrain and Libya, Syria's 11-
month-old uprising grows ever m... 阅读全帖
s*****n
发帖数: 839
2
来自主题: Military2版 - 钓鱼岛solution suggestion
I can't use Chinese at work. Sorry.
But what's going on now is only worse than my suggestion.
And, if, though the likelihood is pretty low, a war begins, all other
countries will be very happy actually. They would love to see a weaker China
and a weaker Japan.
When there is a conflict, if one side is much stronger than then the other.
A
war is unavoidable.
When they can compete, a war is only damaging both. What they can get from a
war sometimes doesn't worth the war at all.
If the problem is no... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
3
抢占上风口(续)。上一篇才贴出不久就有河友鹦鹉提出,抢占上风口就相当于让老天
爷当了督战队长。对头!就是这么回事。我们先看看法国佬在海战中怎么做,对比一下
找差距。法国海军特喜欢抢下风口,开炮特喜欢打桅杆和横杆而不是船体。这是啥意思
?举个例子。要是张飞战马超时专朝马帅哥的玉花骢下手,你是观众你怎么想?古人云
,射人先射马,不是砍人先砍马。这下你明白了吧?法国人这是怕打不过人家,先废了
对方的交通工具,关键时候好开溜呢。高卢海公鸡一开战就存了畏死怯战打退堂鼓之心
,焉能不败?
英国海军怎么做?整个舰队一心一意抢占上风口。结果呢?你想脱离一条线来彰显自己
的特殊性?你就会一直漂呀漂,漂去挨千刀。这样,在上风口排成一条线后,老天爷在
后面鼓着嘴巴吹风督战,舰长们想不接敌(engagement)都不行。既然知道自己跑不掉
,不若大伙儿放手奋死一搏。对手们既然随时都能扯呼,和英国海军相比这觉悟和主观
能动性也就相去道里计了。进一步说,既然知道每次战斗都要毫无悬念的被置之于死地
的,英国海军舰长们平时就会严格要求下级军官和水手认真训练战斗技巧,以求在战斗
中先手打垮敌人。长期以往,战斗力就这么给... 阅读全帖
D**S
发帖数: 24887
4
This is typical media frenzy. Phelps is from a blue collar family. 1%-
likelihood for this marriage, even if both sides are attracted to each other.
j******i
发帖数: 244
5
'Shamelessness profiling' could help to dispel uncertainties.
At the Olympics, trying how hard is hard enough? That question has dogged
British cyclist Philip Hindes after the 19-year-old won the three-lap race
against the French with his two teammates on Friday by crashing at the first
bend and securing a restart. In the aftermath of that race, Hindes
reportedly said that the strategy in the team sprint final was "if we have a
bad start, we need to crash to get a restart." However British Cycli... 阅读全帖
T********r
发帖数: 6210
6
Why great Olympic feats raise suspicions
‘Nationality profiling’ could help to catch cheaters
The New Voice
At the Olympics, how great is too great? That question has dogged American
swimmer Michael Phelps after the 27-year-old shattered the world record of
the most decorated Olympian of on Friday. In the wake of that race, some
swimming experts wondered whether Phelps’s win was aided by performance-
enhancing drugs. He has never tested positive for a banned substance and the
International Olymp... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
7
来自主题: QueerNews版 - 今天听新闻
他们在放屁。
Sexual orientation does not affect the likelihood that people will abuse
children
Bellamy, C. (In press). A national study of male involvement among families
in contact
with the child welfare system. Child Maltreatment, 14.
Belsky, J. (1993). Etiology of child maltreatment: A developmental-
ecological analysis.
Psychological Bulletin, 114, 413-434.
Berger, L. M., Paxson, C., & Waldfogel, J. (In press). Mothers, men, and
child protective
services involvement. Child Maltreatment, 14.
Brown,
g********d
发帖数: 4174
8
http://www.stopthedeportations.com/
This tremendous news comes after months of advocacy by national immigration
law and policy groups, LGBT organizations and advocates including The DOMA
Project. While The DOMA Project has focused primarily on stopping
deportations, we have also engaged in wide-ranging advocacy and provided
legal representation in related cases where couples are fighting separation
or exile.
As readers of this site know, since July 2010 we have filed more than a
dozen alien rela... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
9
Results
Top of page
Abstract
Introduction
Materials and methods
Results
Discussion
Conclusion
Acknowledgements
References
Review of epidemiological data from donors and other sources
The prevalence of anti-HIV in blood donors is very low. Both the number and
the proportion of anti-HIV-positive donors, reported as MSM, have fallen
over the years (Fig. 1). However, this route of infection still constituted
approximately 27% of anti-HIV-positive donations during 1998–2000. Sexual
intercourse betwee... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
10
Huntsman would 'respect' NY gay marriage law
By MAGGIE HABERMAN | 6/21/11 6:00 PM EDT Updated: 6/21/11 6:51 PM EDT
Jon Huntsman told reporters on his flyaround that he would not try use
federal powers to block a law legalizing gay marriage in New York, which may
pass as soon as this week:
Former Utah governor and current presidential candidate Jon Huntsman
said on Tuesday that as president he would respect the decision of states
that legalized same-sex marriage and not seek to override those... 阅读全帖
m******1
发帖数: 19713
11
DECISION TIME All Eyes on Senate in New York
By Julie Bolcer
RAINBOW FLAG ON POLE IN NEW YORK (GETTY) ADVOCATE.COM
Pride flag hangs in New York on Tuesday.
The New York state legislature could adjourn as early as Wednesday, but it
remains unclear whether the state senate will bring the marriage equality
bill to a vote.
Republican state senators, in whose power the decision rests, are scheduled
to meet Wednesday morning in Albany, where they could decide whether to
bring the marriage equality bil... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
12
来自主题: QueerNews版 - 德州“奇迹”
Rick Perry's "Texas Miracle" Con Job
Posted: 8/12/11 03:51 PM ET React Important
Texas governor and reported GOP presidential candidate Rick Perry is the
nation's greatest political con artist. His so called "Texas Miracle" has
been totally debunked as a fraud. Yet Perry, with generous help from
conservative business leaders, tea party acolytes, and suddenly revved up
evangelicals will keep the con very much alive. The so-called miracle that
Perry and his backers peddle is of course that Texas i... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
13
http://www.scotusblog.com/
摘要:今年或NEXT TERM(明年?)最高法院会以5:4承认同性婚姻, JUSTICE
KENNEDY会站在历史正确的一边。(这有点太乐观了,而且讲的不具体)
Erwin Chemerinsky
Posted Friday, August 19th, 2011 11:35 am
The time for marriage equality has finally arrived
Ewrin Chemerinsky, Dean and Professor of Law at University of California,
Irvine, predicts a narrow same-sex victory at the Court.
The following contribution to our same-sex marriage symposium is by Erwin
Chemerinsky, Dean and Distinguished Professor of Law, University of
Californ... 阅读全帖
g********d
发帖数: 4174
14
【 以下文字转载自 SanDiego 讨论区 】
发信人: globalized (麻球), 信区: SanDiego
标 题: 回答某网友关于SB48的两个问题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 30 14:52:19 2011, 美东)
回答某网友关于SB48的两个问题:
本来不不屑于他的问题,因为没有尊重就没有对话的基础。第一个问题已经讨论多很多
次,但是其他的人可能对第二个问题有兴趣。
1。同性恋正常不正常取决于正常的定义是什么和用什么眼光来看,正如你看同性恋游
行,和kathylucy看到的是不一样的。但是,美国精神病学会在上个世纪70年代中国
在90年代就已经把同性恋从Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental
Disorders去掉了。为什么生活中认识同性恋的人更倾向于支持平权,因为他们看到同
性恋除了性取向不一样外,和异性恋是一样的人。
2。很多研究表明同性恋家庭的小孩和其他家庭的小孩在各方面包括性取向没有什么不
同。这在学术界是个共识,以至于主要学术组织包括the American Academy of
Pe... 阅读全帖
l*******y
发帖数: 222
15
【 以下文字转载自 SanDiego 讨论区 】
发信人: lightgrey (greylight), 信区: SanDiego
标 题: Re: 回答某网友关于SB48的两个问题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 30 22:39:44 2011, 美东)
没学过统计就不要出来现了。假设伯努利实验,82个sample, 10%的95%正态分布置信区
间是1.96*sqrt(0.1*0.9/82)=6.5%. 也就是说这个真正的概率在3.5%到16.5%之间都有
可能。
学术界对同性恋比例的估计是3%到6%,所以这个论文的结论没有任何问题。你还是歇歇
吧,不懂学术偏要装懂,找来了原始文献不懂装懂。
http://psychology.ucdavis.edu/rainbow/html/facts_mental_health.
All surveys are likely to underestimate the actual prevalence of
homosexuality because, fearing discrimination and stigma, m... 阅读全帖
m******1
发帖数: 19713
16
来自主题: QueerNews版 - Study: Gay Men Offered Less Job Interviews
By Winston Gieseke
OFFICE THUMBS DOWN JOB X390 (PHOTOS) | ADVOCATE.COM
According to a study published today in the American Journal of Sociology,
men whose resumes indicate that they’re gay are 40% less likely to be
called in for job interviews, especially in the south or Midwest.
Pink News reports that Harvard University researcher Andras Tilcsik
submitted two “realistic but fictitious” resumes to 1,700 white collar job
openings. One indicated that the applicant had served as a treasurer of his... 阅读全帖
m******1
发帖数: 19713
17
Washington Gay Marriage Bill Clears Senate Committee
By Julie Bolcer
OLYMPIA CAPITOL BUILDING WASHINGTON X390 (FAIR) | ADVOCATE.COM
The marriage equality bill in Washington state moved one step closer to
becoming law on Thursday when a senate committee advanced the measure to the
floor for a vote.
According to the Associated Press, “The Government Operations, Tribal
Relations & Elections Committee approved the measure with a 4-3 voice vote
split on party lines. The bill is expected to head to a ... 阅读全帖
D**S
发帖数: 24887
18
来自主题: QueerNews版 - 中国为何没有仇恨犯罪?
Maybe the likelihood of "歧视言论" being turned into violent act targeting
specific groups of people in China is not substantial enough to warrant the
creation of hate crime category even though the legislature in China is
almost surely behind the time on this subject?
k*****e
发帖数: 1235
19
http://www.lonestarq.com/judge-sets-hearing-february-lawsuit-ch
Dec. 11, 2013
A federal district judge has set a hearing for February in the lawsuit
challenging Texas’ bans on same-sex marriage.
Federal District Judge Orlando Garcia will hear arguments on the plaintiffs
’ motion seeking a preliminary injunction that would bar the state from
enforcing the bans pending a trial.
The plaintiffs — gay couple Mark Phariss and Victor Holmes of Plano, and
lesbian couple Cleopatra DeLeon and Nicole Dimet... 阅读全帖
D**S
发帖数: 24887
20
http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local/article/Texas-ban-on-gay
SAN ANTONIO — A federal judge in San Antonio on Wednesday declared Texas'
ban on gay marriage unconstitutional. The Lone Star state's refusal to
recognize out-of-state same-sex marriages is also unconstitutional, he ruled.
U.S. District Judge Orlando Garcia, however, also issued a stay, meaning the
bans remain in effect for the time being.
“Regulation of marriage has traditionally been the province of the states
and remains so today... 阅读全帖
t*********e
发帖数: 630
21
来自主题: RuralChina版 - 借人气紧急求助下 (转载)
To get back audio, you can try:
1. Click "start", in the little search box, type "services" or "services.msc"
2. In the right panel of the popup window, scroll down till you find "
Windows Audio". In the 'status' column, it's supposed to be "started";
otherwise, right click that line and click "start". Then it will be 'started
'.
If this fixes your audio problem, you would have to do some similar re-
setup to get back network connection.
This happens typically due to overwriting of some system o... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
22
(1) Dexter Roberts, Mania on the Mainland; Think the U.S. real estate bubble
was bad? China's could be
worse. BusinessWeek, Dec. 30, 2010.
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_02/b4162030091917.htm
("One difficulty in handicapping the likelihood of a nasty pullback is the
opacity of the data.")
Excerpt in the window of the print: Chinese who has the moneyare desperately
snapping up partments
for fear prices will rise further
Note:
(a) swing (vt): "to succeed in doing, making, or havin
l****z
发帖数: 29846
23
美国16-24岁年轻人失业率是52.2%,达到二战后最高
http://www.nypost.com/p/news/business/the_dead_end_kids_AnwaWNOGqsXMuIlGONNX1K
The dead end kids
Young, unemployed and facing tough future
By RICHARD WILNER
Last Updated: 10:02 AM, September 28, 2009
The unemployment rate for young Americans has exploded to 52.2 percent -- a
post-World War II high, according to the Labor Dept. -- meaning millions of
Americans are staring at the likelihood that their lifetime earning
potential will be diminished and, combined with the
a***o
发帖数: 3734
24
you can tell the likelihood of success without trying it. Just look like his
tory, how many government programs end up with being efficient and successfu
l?

.
know
l****z
发帖数: 29846
25
来自主题: USANews版 - THE REPUBLICAN SENATE By DICK MORRIS
Published on TheHill.com on December 7, 2010
Republicans gnashed their teeth in frustration as the national tide of GOP
resurgence washed up against the massive Democratic fortresses in Nevada,
Washington state, Colorado and California. When they neither toppled nor
faltered, most conservatives resigned themselves to a divided Congress with
the Republican House and the Democratic Senate forever at war.
Not so. The vote on the extension of the Bush tax cuts reveals that the
Republican Party has, ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
26
来自主题: USANews版 - Texas好样的
Mexican Citizen Executed After Court Declines to Intervene
Texas executed a Mexican national whose prosecution violated U.S. treaty
obligations soon after the Supreme Court refused to intervene Thursday.
U.S. high court clears the way for Mexican man, convicted of rape, to be
executed in Texas. Video Courtesy of Reuters.
Humberto Leal Garcia, 38 years old, was convicted of the 1994 rape and
murder of a 16-year-old girl. He had asked the court to stay his execution
while Congress considered legis... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
27
雷曼兄弟破产时,风险与资产比是31:1,而今天德国主要银行的风险与资产比是32:1
,这些银行目前持有大量希腊债务
Sovereign Debt Crisis Won't End Until Global Financial Collapse
In the past, there certainly have been governments that have gotten into
trouble with debt, but what we are experiencing now is the first truly
global sovereign debt crisis. There has never been a time in recorded
history when virtually all of the governments of the world were drowning in
debt all at the same time. This sovereign debt crisis is never going to end
until there ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
28
by Steven Ertelt | London, England | LifeNews.com | 9/1/11 10:13 AM
A new study published in the British Journal of Psychiatry by leading
American researcher Dr. Priscilla Coleman of Bowling Green State University
finds women who have an abortion face almost double the risk of mental
health problems as women who have their baby.
Coleman’s study is based on an analysis of 22 separate studies which, in
total, examine the pregnancy experiences of 877,000 women, with 163,831
women having an abortion... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
29
(CNSNews.com) – Textbooks used in Pakistani public schools and religious
madrassas promote intolerant views of non-Muslim minorities, extol jihad,
and portray non-Muslims not at citizens with rights but as infidels, pagans,
apostates or subservient dhimmis, according to an unprecedented new study.
Interviews with teachers and students, carried out as part of the
investigation, found that negative views of non-Muslims contained in the
books are widely held by teachers and transmitted to children... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
30
By Peter W. Dunn
Buried in an ostensible jobs bill signed by President Obama last year is a
little-noticed job-destroying government regulation that threatens to
trigger a massive outflow of capital from the American economy.
The U.S. economy is in bad shape. Many want the federal government to fix
it -- to end the deficits, create jobs, and get America back onto the track
of growth and stability. President Obama came to Washington with great
promises: to restore international respect for the ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
31
来自主题: USANews版 - The Sinking of the West
Abe Greenwald of Commentary magazine tweets:
Is there any chance that Mark Steyn won’t use the Italian captain
fleeing the sinking ship as the lead metaphor in a column on EU collapse?
Oh, dear. You’ve got to get up early in the morning to beat me to
civilizational-collapse metaphors. Been there, done that. See page 185 of my
most recent book, where I contrast the orderly, dignified, and moving
behavior of those on the Titanic (the ship, not the mendacious Hollywood
blockbuster) with that ma... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
32
来自主题: USANews版 - 奥巴马的裙带资本主义
奥巴马的裙带资本主义:和奥巴马政府有关系的21家“清洁能源”公司,得到联邦政府
$39亿美元资助
Federal funds flow to clean-energy firms with Obama administration ties
By Carol D. Leonnig and Joe Stephens, Published: February 14
Sanjay Wagle was a venture capitalist and Barack Obama fundraiser in 2008,
rallying support through a group he headed known as Clean Tech for Obama.
Shortly after Obama’s election, he left his California firm to join the
Energy Department, just as the administration embarked on a massive program
to stimulate the econ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
33
By Sahar Issa | McClatchy Newspapers
BAGHDAD — The departure of al Qaida-affiliated fighters from Iraq to join
the rebellion against Syrian President Bashar Assad in Syria has had one
benefit, Iraqi officials say: Violence has dropped in this country, in some
areas by as much as 50 percent in just a few months.
Iraqi officials declined to provide precise figures for the drop-off or to
estimate how many al Qaida-affiliated fighters have left the country for
Syria. But the impact of the departure,... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
34
来自主题: USANews版 - If Only We All Had (Liberal) Brains,
If Only We All Had (Liberal) Brains, We'd All Believe In Man-Made Global
Warming
By Marc Morano
March 30, 2012
A whole slew of new “research” on conservatives’ and global warming
skeptics’ “brains” has hit the academic circuit.
First off, environment and sociology Prof. Kari Norgaard’s new study claims
skeptics of man-made global warming fears should be “treated” for their
skepticism. The study compares skepticism to man-made climate fears to the
struggle against racism and slavery.
Prof. Norgaa... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
35
来自主题: USANews版 - Send Out the Punter
Democratic Senate budget chairman reverses course, will not offer budget
this year
BY: Andrew Stiles - April 17, 2012 6:08 pm
Senate Budget Committee chairman Kent Conrad (D., N.D.) will not draft a
Democratic budget before the 2012 election, he announced Tuesday.
Instead of going through the traditional markup process in the committee,
Conrad said he would introduce the 2010 report drafted by the Bowles-Simpson
fiscal commission, and then indefinitely delay a vote in order to allow
time for ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
36
May 7, 2012   by Michael Laprarie
One year after the killing of Osama Bin Laden by US Special Forces, the
President is eager to take credit for what many consider the high point of
his first term. But many questions about the mission still remain.
In an op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal last week, former Attorney
General Michael Mukasey revealed several embarrassing details about the
executive operations of the mission:
A recently disclosed memorandum from then-CIA Director Leon Pa... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
37
来自主题: USANews版 - Liberals Are In Disarray
June 9, 2012 by TWB
To say that liberals, and more specifically democrats, are in a state of
disorder over the upcoming Presidential election would be a major
understatement. Liberal pundits and politicians are throwing every possible
excuse up against the proverbial wall hoping that something will stick;
hoping that something, anything, will turn the tide for their guy, who by
all previous estimations, should be running away with this election without
the slightest worry that he’ll not gain t... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
38
Top doctor's chilling claim: The NHS kills off 130,000 elderly patients
every year
By Steve Doughty
PUBLISHED: 18:08 EST, 19 June 2012 | UPDATED: 08:20 EST, 21 June 2012
Worrying claim: Professor Patrick Pullicino said doctors had turned the use
of a controversial ¿death pathway¿ into the equivalent of
euthanasia of the elderly
Worrying claim: Professor Patrick Pullicino said doctors had turned the use
of a controversial 'death pathway' into the equivalent of euthanasia of the
elderly
... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
39
Democrat’s Newest Attack on Free Political Speech With Willing Assistance
by Media
June 22, 2012 | by Warner Todd Huston
What would you say if a Koch Brothers, right-wing effort was pushed on
Americans with the knowing assistance of National Public Radio — and big
money was paid to NPR for the effort? Would you say that this is an outrage,
that NPR’s use of public airwaves to push a right-wing policy idea is a
misuse of the journalist’s charge as well as our national airwaves? Well,
that is exac... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
40
来自主题: USANews版 - Mitt Romney's Time to Choose
By Steve McCann
Throughout the history of the United States, whenever the dark clouds of
apprehension, fear, and adversity cast a long shadow over the nation, a
leader has emerged to successfully guide America into even greater
prosperity and achievement. Men such as George Washington, Abraham Lincoln,
and Ronald Reagan understood that among the many duties of the president of
the United States, the most important was to instill faith and an unbridled
confidence -- not only in their leadership ... 阅读全帖
m******n
发帖数: 6327
41
ZT:
PSU President and prominent Democrat Graham Spanier was on the short list to
become Obama’s Education Secretary. There’s a very high likelihood that
he was vetted by the Office of the President-Elect® before Arnie Duncan
was appointed.
Let me guess... the journolisters didn’t bother to ask if such a vetting
ever occurred and if so, what it turned up.That would require some interest
in finding the truth.
l****z
发帖数: 29846
42
来自主题: USANews版 - Debate Questions Obama Won't Be Asked
By Daren Jonescu
If you could submit just one question to be asked of President Obama during
a televised presidential debate, what would it be? Once you have formulated
your best idea, ask yourself this: do you think any of this year's line-up
of debate hosts and moderators would ever actually ask your question, as you
framed it? Your answer, I am sure, is almost as self-evident as is the
importance of your imaginary debate question. The questions that matter
most are precisely the ones that ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
43
Fed Pulls Trigger, to Buy Mortgages in Effort to Lower Rates
Published: Thursday, 13 Sep 2012 | 3:35 PM ET

The Federal Reserve fulfilled expectations of more stimulus for the
faltering economy, taking aim now at driving down mortgage rates until an
improvement in unemployment that the central bank says will be a problem for
several years.
The Fed said it will buy $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities per month
in an attempt to foster a nascent recovery in the real estate market.
The p... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
44
By Ashby Jones
Throughout the years, we’ve heard a lot of reasons for why a state should
not go through with a planned execution. But never before have we heard this
one.
An Ohio death-row inmate wants his upcoming execution delayed because his
obesity could lead to, in his lawyer’s words, a “torturous and lingering
death.”
The AP story about the inmate, who reportedly weighs almost 500 pounds,
continues:
Ronald Post, who shot and killed a hotel clerk in northern Ohio almost
30 years ago, sa... 阅读全帖
d****i
发帖数: 4354
45
来自主题: USANews版 - Some interesting story about Romney
In the comment section of this article:
http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/romney-gets-emotional-in-fl
Dan Maloy · Top Commenter
Russell Schaffer -
Are you brave? Do you have courage? Are you willing to admit to us that
perhaps you may not know everything you think you know? Well, if you're
brave, like you claim, read this below. If you're a coward, you'd better
stop reading here.
Here is the question that was asked that generated the Romney "47%"
statement plus the ENTIRE Romney quote, not som... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
46
来自主题: USANews版 - Morning Jay: Why Romney Is Likely to Win
Jay Cost
November 2, 2012 6:00 AM
When I started making election predictions eight years ago, I had a very
different perspective than I do today. I knew relatively little about the
history of presidential elections or the geography of American politics. I
had a good background in political science and statistics. So,
unsurprisingly in retrospect, I focused on drawing confidence intervals from
poll averages.
Since then, I have learned substantially more history, soured somewhat on
political scien... 阅读全帖
c*******7
发帖数: 17225
47
Investors Rush to Beat Threat of Higher Taxes
By NATHANIEL POPPER and NELSON D. SCHWARTZ
Business owners and investors are rapidly maneuvering to shield themselves
from the prospect of higher taxes next year, a strategy that is sending
ripples across Wall Street and broad areas of the economy.
Daniel Rosenbaum for The New York Times
Kristina Collins, a chiropractor, is monitoring her business income.
Related
Business Chiefs Step Gingerly Into a Thorny Budget Fight (November 12, 2012)
Enlarge Thi... 阅读全帖
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发帖数: 29846
48
Gun and ammo sales predicted to skyrocket in wake of Obama’s re-election
OKLAHOMA CITY – The morning after President Barack Obama was re-elected,
business appeared to be pretty normal at the very popular and successful H&H
Shooting Sports, with customers looking at handguns and folks getting
something to eat at H&H’s 4U Cafe.But after talking to H&H owner Miles Hall
(he has operated H&H with his wife Jayne for more than 30 years), that
normal mood will likely change to exceedingly busy as people... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
49
Leftwing Domestic Terrorist Pleads Guilty in Family Research Council
Shooting;
Update: Corkins Used SPLC ‘Hate Map’
by Jammie
Floyd Corkins would be a household name by now if he attacked a liberal
group. But since he was going after the Family Research Council (and Chick-
Fil-a at the same time) last summer his name quickly disappeared from the
headlines. This story won’t even merit a mention on the evening news, in
all likelihood.
A man accused of shooting a security guard inside the downt... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
50
Governments across the eurozone have again been left counting the human cost
of the financial crisis after news that unemployment in the currency bloc
reached a record high, driven by soaring youth joblessness.
Eurozone unemployment rose to 12.1% for March, an all-time high, according
to Eurostat, the statistics office of the European Union. In the wider EU
area of 27 countries, unemployment stood at 10.9%, as the rate increased in
all but eight countries compared with a year earlier.
Economists... 阅读全帖
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