l********l 发帖数: 130 | 1 至少某些key function如pricing? |
v**n 发帖数: 130 | 2 unlikely.
predictive modeling deals with what the theoretical answer should be.
Actuaries have to use their business judgement and figure out what the best
solution for the real life business problem is.
I don't see actuarial capabilties be replaced by modeling completely... we
are a long way away from using statistical models to predict the real world
accurately....
however, predictive modeling is a skill that newer actuaries should master.
it will be very hard to have a secure career going forward without
predictive modeling skills. |
l*****g 发帖数: 304 | 3 mark
best
world
.
【在 v**n 的大作中提到】 : unlikely. : predictive modeling deals with what the theoretical answer should be. : Actuaries have to use their business judgement and figure out what the best : solution for the real life business problem is. : I don't see actuarial capabilties be replaced by modeling completely... we : are a long way away from using statistical models to predict the real world : accurately.... : however, predictive modeling is a skill that newer actuaries should master. : it will be very hard to have a secure career going forward without : predictive modeling skills.
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l********l 发帖数: 130 | 4 Very good point. Thanks!
best
world
.
【在 v**n 的大作中提到】 : unlikely. : predictive modeling deals with what the theoretical answer should be. : Actuaries have to use their business judgement and figure out what the best : solution for the real life business problem is. : I don't see actuarial capabilties be replaced by modeling completely... we : are a long way away from using statistical models to predict the real world : accurately.... : however, predictive modeling is a skill that newer actuaries should master. : it will be very hard to have a secure career going forward without : predictive modeling skills.
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