i**t 发帖数: 209 | 1 综合7月排期奥傻的预测,NIU说还剩余10000名额,加上新的demand data,
看起来8月排期到2006/1-2,9月排期到2006/3-4是比较可能的。
没有出处,仅供参考 |
B********i 发帖数: 371 | 2 Who has the data for last month, so we can compare with.
It seems the number of india-eb2 has been reduced a lot. |
s***3 发帖数: 742 | 3 EB2C不变, EB2 A3少了6825左右
EB3C CY2004 少了475, EB3I CY2004 少了150
【在 i**t 的大作中提到】 : 综合7月排期奥傻的预测,NIU说还剩余10000名额,加上新的demand data, : 看起来8月排期到2006/1-2,9月排期到2006/3-4是比较可能的。 : 没有出处,仅供参考
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T****k 发帖数: 1374 | 4 好啊!我觉得加上EB5的spillover,9月排期不止3-4。
【在 i**t 的大作中提到】 : 综合7月排期奥傻的预测,NIU说还剩余10000名额,加上新的demand data, : 看起来8月排期到2006/1-2,9月排期到2006/3-4是比较可能的。 : 没有出处,仅供参考
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 5 上月数据见附件
【在 B********i 的大作中提到】 : Who has the data for last month, so we can compare with. : It seems the number of india-eb2 has been reduced a lot.
|
s****r 发帖数: 126 | 6 The data is as of June 02 and shows only 525 EB2C demanding before 2006.
The inventory data as of May27 shows ~1900 demanding for EB2C for same period. Does
it mean there are about 1400 EB2C approved between May27 & June 2?! OR 525 are just those approved in that period?
【在 j*e 的大作中提到】 : 上月数据见附件
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 7 对比本月数据http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf和上月数据
中国EB2
PD是2006的自然减员(8300-525)-(8275-525) = 25
PD是2007的自然减员(13750-8300)-(13675-8275) = 5450-5400 = 50
印度EB2
PD是2006的自然增员(21600-3175)-(28375-10000)=18425-18375 = 50
PD是2007的自然增员(30500-21600)-(37250-28375)=8900-8875 = 25
结论,中国EB3转EB2小于EB2转EB1,处于自然减员状态,印度EB3转EB2大于EB2转EB1,处于自然增员状态。不过量都不大,自然减员或自然增员人数都在100以内。 |
j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 8 同质疑!
上个月的中国EB2 demand data绝对有问题,奥傻在玩trick,他故意把6月待批的人数
从demand data里减掉了。上个月的中国EB2所有数据应该都加1300~1400左右。
6月是EB2C排期有较大跃进的一个月,怎么可能整个6月一个人都没批(照两个月的
demand data相同(都是525)的逻辑,就是6月中国EB2一个都没批)?
are just those approved in that period?
【在 s****r 的大作中提到】 : The data is as of June 02 and shows only 525 EB2C demanding before 2006. : The inventory data as of May27 shows ~1900 demanding for EB2C for same period. Does : it mean there are about 1400 EB2C approved between May27 & June 2?! OR 525 are just those approved in that period?
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s****r 发帖数: 126 | 9 A3 took almost 7000 in one month! nainaid....
My guess is in Augues A3's and Chinese cutoff date will be at the end of 2005.
【在 s***3 的大作中提到】 : EB2C不变, EB2 A3少了6825左右 : EB3C CY2004 少了475, EB3I CY2004 少了150
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t*****n 发帖数: 703 | 10 Demand Data Used in the Determination
of the August 2010
Employment Preference Cut-Off Dates
Employment Second Preference
Cumulative
Demand
Prior To China India
All Other
Countries Grand Total
CY-2006 525 3,175 0 3,700
CY-2007 8,275 21,600 25 29,900
CY-2008 13,675 30,500 75 44,250
CY-2010 13,775 30,600 200
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf
【在 i**t 的大作中提到】 : 综合7月排期奥傻的预测,NIU说还剩余10000名额,加上新的demand data, : 看起来8月排期到2006/1-2,9月排期到2006/3-4是比较可能的。 : 没有出处,仅供参考
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k*******0 发帖数: 256 | 11 我的解是奥计算11/22/2005 到12/31/2005 的EB2C is 525 (which is reasonable).
the data is for Aug bulletin of course he can assume all PD before 11/22/
2005 shall have been assigned visa number by end of July.
at the bottom of the file it says "as of July 8", where comes June 2.
by the way if pre-2005 total is 3700, then ~6300 AC21 is left for 2006 PDers
. what that date would be? end of March! --- all depend on: after using 7000
for EB2I in July still have 10000 for Aug/Sept EB2I and EB2C.
will know tomorr |