d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 1 http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/02/prediction-for-eb
Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date movement for Fiscal Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below. This data is further used to calculate spillover that would be available for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on visa allotment available each year for each country and total spillover that is expected in FY 2011. In each case, Optimistic, Realistic and Worst-Case scenario is predicted.
here are good chances that the dates for EB2-India and China would progress
to 1st January 2007 as long as we will see EB-1 demand to be reasonable (
around 34,000) and EB3-EB2 porting could stick to assumptions made in the
calculations below. Any lower demand for EB-1 (around 30,000) in FY 2011
would take predictions to optimistic level (22nd March, 2007) as long as EB3
-EB2 porting could hold it's ground.
In any case, dates are less likely to progress beyond 22nd March, 2007.
Reason behind this assumpion is that any EB-1 demand below 30,000 would be
offset by equal surge in EB2-ROW demand. We would notice worst-case scenario
(8th November 2006) only if EB-1 demand would remain similar or about 38,
000 as seen in CY 2010.
The 'unknown' that would pour cold water on each scenario is EB3-EB2 porting
. If EB3-EB2 porting for individuals with PD between 2003 to 2007 will
exceed 10,000, we might see dates not progressing beyond September 2006 in
FY 2011.
We do not expect to achieve any spillover from Family-Based category.
Detailed analysis on Visa Demand data for each category could be seen below
in the calculations.
You can enter porting and visa demand for each category in 'User ENTERED'
box for your Priority date and see if your PD will be current with those
assumptions.
This Prediction will be updated as an when more data is published - Last
Updated 03 Feb 2011 | b*w
发帖数: 14917 | 2 看来是介于September 2006 -- Jan 2007之间了 | s******0
发帖数: 1340 | 3 现在怎么是"秋高马肥，正好作战消遣"?
应该是"天寒人困,只能龟缩免战"吧
【在 b*w 的大作中提到】
: 看来是介于September 2006 -- Jan 2007之间了
| b*w
发帖数: 14917 | 4 大军阀张传芳的话，没想到丫还这么有文采，就拿过来作签名档了
【在 s******0 的大作中提到】
: 现在怎么是"秋高马肥，正好作战消遣"?
: 应该是"天寒人困,只能龟缩免战"吧
| T****k
发帖数: 1374 | |
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