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EB23版 - 2005-2010 PERM data analysis
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: perm话题: china话题: indian话题: demand话题: month
进入EB23版参与讨论
1 (共1页)
A****S
发帖数: 978
1
Year --2010---2009------ 2008 ---------2007------------2006------------2005
India--21000---16000------23420---------24573-----------22298-----------1350
China--2300-----2200-------4100---------6846------------6779-------------868
You can see the Indian PERM level kept around 20k from 2006-2008. Indian PERM is stunning 10 times of China PERM!!!
1. Indian 2006/2007 PERM was 3.5 times of China PERM.
2. Indian 2008 PERM was 6 times of China PERM.
3. Indian 2009 PERM was 8 times of China PERM.
4. Indian 2010 PERM was 10 times of China PERM.
You can see the Indian people are growing and growing.........China PERM is becoming smaller and smaller.
I don't think Indian demand will go lower and the demand will be around 1500
per month.Our China PERM went down in 2008, so our demand will go lower, only half of current demand, so after 2008 our demand will be around 400/month.
My estimation of monthly demand:
1. 2008: Indian 1600/month, China 400-500/month
2. 2009: Indian 1200/month, China 200-300/month
3. 2010: Indian 1600/month, China 200-300/month
Conclusion:
We have to rely on our own quota after 2007, but at the same time our own demand will not be too high. We will move PD one year ahead per fiscal year.
A****S
发帖数: 978
2
This is a very important finding.
Indian people are going to be the dominant species in USA job market!

2005
1350
868
PERM is stunning 10 times of China PERM!!!
is becoming smaller and smaller.
1500

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: Year --2010---2009------ 2008 ---------2007------------2006------------2005
: India--21000---16000------23420---------24573-----------22298-----------1350
: China--2300-----2200-------4100---------6846------------6779-------------868
: You can see the Indian PERM level kept around 20k from 2006-2008. Indian PERM is stunning 10 times of China PERM!!!
: 1. Indian 2006/2007 PERM was 3.5 times of China PERM.
: 2. Indian 2008 PERM was 6 times of China PERM.
: 3. Indian 2009 PERM was 8 times of China PERM.
: 4. Indian 2010 PERM was 10 times of China PERM.
: You can see the Indian people are growing and growing.........China PERM is becoming smaller and smaller.
: I don't think Indian demand will go lower and the demand will be around 1500

c**s
发帖数: 3796
3
能不能把库存的485一起列,会反映出比例
c**s
发帖数: 3796
4
Year --2010---2009------ 2008 ---------2007------------2006------------2005
India--21000---16000------23420---------24573-----------22298-----------1350
China--2300-----2200-------4100---------6846------------6779-------------868
pending eb2 485 -----2007(half year)-----2006-----2005
India -----10467-----18240-----10791
China------6325-----8581------4084(11month)
a***x
发帖数: 26368
5
这,这还用find吗。。。

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: This is a very important finding.
: Indian people are going to be the dominant species in USA job market!
:
: 2005
: 1350
: 868
: PERM is stunning 10 times of China PERM!!!
: is becoming smaller and smaller.
: 1500

c**s
发帖数: 3796
6
戈壁别吵了,看这里列的,基本是正确的。

2005
1350
868

【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: Year --2010---2009------ 2008 ---------2007------------2006------------2005
: India--21000---16000------23420---------24573-----------22298-----------1350
: China--2300-----2200-------4100---------6846------------6779-------------868
: pending eb2 485 -----2007(half year)-----2006-----2005
: India -----10467-----18240-----10791
: China------6325-----8581------4084(11month)

A****S
发帖数: 978
7
My analysis was trying to prove that China's yearly demand can be satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move ahead 1 month per month.
India's demand will keep high, much higher than China.

【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: 戈壁别吵了,看这里列的,基本是正确的。
:
: 2005
: 1350
: 868

p***e
发帖数: 29053
8
yes, we need to rely on our own quota, but how can we make sure we can
use all of them?

-2005

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: Year --2010---2009------ 2008 ---------2007------------2006------------2005
: India--21000---16000------23420---------24573-----------22298-----------1350
: China--2300-----2200-------4100---------6846------------6779-------------868
: You can see the Indian PERM level kept around 20k from 2006-2008. Indian PERM is stunning 10 times of China PERM!!!
: 1. Indian 2006/2007 PERM was 3.5 times of China PERM.
: 2. Indian 2008 PERM was 6 times of China PERM.
: 3. Indian 2009 PERM was 8 times of China PERM.
: 4. Indian 2010 PERM was 10 times of China PERM.
: You can see the Indian people are growing and growing.........China PERM is becoming smaller and smaller.
: I don't think Indian demand will go lower and the demand will be around 1500

c**s
发帖数: 3796
9
I agree

satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move
ahead 1 month per month.

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: My analysis was trying to prove that China's yearly demand can be satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move ahead 1 month per month.
: India's demand will keep high, much higher than China.

H**E
发帖数: 620
10
I am confused here.
let's look at year of 2008 for China; PERM approved is 4.1k, assume 80%
EB2, including NIW and family, the demand for EB2C with PD 2008 will be at
least 6.5k.
but the quota for EB2C is only 3k/year... less than 1/2 of the demand...
which means PD will only move 1~2 week every month after clearing 2007 PDs.
did I miss anything ?

satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move
ahead 1 month per month.

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: My analysis was trying to prove that China's yearly demand can be satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move ahead 1 month per month.
: India's demand will keep high, much higher than China.

A****S
发帖数: 978
11
Yes, I agree with you on this.
2008 our China demand is higher than our quota.
But after 2009, the demand will be close to our quota.

【在 H**E 的大作中提到】
: I am confused here.
: let's look at year of 2008 for China; PERM approved is 4.1k, assume 80%
: EB2, including NIW and family, the demand for EB2C with PD 2008 will be at
: least 6.5k.
: but the quota for EB2C is only 3k/year... less than 1/2 of the demand...
: which means PD will only move 1~2 week every month after clearing 2007 PDs.
: did I miss anything ?
:
: satisfied by our own quota after 2008. In another word, our PD will move
: ahead 1 month per month.

f***i
发帖数: 185
12
I cautiously agree with your point.
I also cautiously estimate that 09PD might be able to submit 485 one year
after 07PDs are cleared.

【在 A****S 的大作中提到】
: Yes, I agree with you on this.
: 2008 our China demand is higher than our quota.
: But after 2009, the demand will be close to our quota.

p***e
发帖数: 29053
13
ding
a******g
发帖数: 725
14
ICC不死,美国失业率不会下降
1 (共1页)
进入EB23版参与讨论
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我的预言不是梦:下月排期突飞猛进!!!!!2010-11财政年度名额用完时的排期
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火箭大仙之前eb2排期到2010年5月,就是说pd在5月前的都进去了?
这么看岂不是09年头的PD明年肯定能交485乐?demand data is out
2008年9月的PD,得等到啥时候啊?!Demand Data
Demand Data is Out!好消息:奥本已修改demand data以反映应增加的18000 EB名额
Too many Indians!EB3-China VB movement的历史
按照这么个速度(看图),2010年的岂不是还要等至少三年?今年summer以后,EB2排期预计在什么时候,谢谢
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: perm话题: china话题: indian话题: demand话题: month