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发帖数: 8042 | 1 关键还是这句话 Mr. Oppenheim cautioned, however, that if there is high
demand (number of filings) in the EB-2 category, he may hold or even
retrogress towards the summer of 2012.
Visa Bulletin Predictions and Updates from Charles Oppenheim (October 26,
2011)
Our office just came back from a discussion session here in Washington, DC
with Charles Oppenheim.
We are asked on a daily basis by our clients to provide visa bulletin
predictions and when a particular priority date may become current. As a
result, on behalf of our clients, we appreciate the opportunity Mr.
Oppenheim has afforded us to get some advance sense of the movement of the
priority dates and also on short- and long-term immigrant visa trends.
Summary of Mr. Oppenheim’s Key Points
EB-2 China and India will advance significantly over the next few visa
bulletins. A possible slowdown (or retrogression) may come in the summer of
2012. EB-3 China and, specifically, India, will move very slowly and this
category is “ridiculously” oversubscribed — very long times to be
expected. Family-based dates will advance gradually.
EB-2 China and EB-2 India.
These two categories are where the most action is going to be over the next
few months. Mr. Oppenheim indicated that he expects to be able to advance
EB-2 China and India significantly over the next few visa bulletins. It is
possible that the December 2011 Visa Bulletin would advance EB-2 India and
China to at least March 1, 2008 or even further. Similar forward movement
may be expected in the January 2012 and February 2012 Visa Bulletins. Mr
. Oppenheim cautioned, however, that if there is high demand (number of
filings) in the EB-2 category, he may hold or even retrogress towards the
summer of 2012. He noted that there is usually a 4-6 month gap between
filing of an I-485 adjustment application and when a visa number is actually
requested and allocated — this means that EB-2 India and China I-485
applications filed in the fall will be need visa numbers in spring/summer of
2012 and this is when retrogression may happen. |
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