T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 1 Oct 10-16， likely voters： O8 46%， Romney 51%。
These results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems
most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking
about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past
voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone
interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2
percentage points.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-t |
k*****r
发帖数: 474 | 2 so many polls out there which one do you really believe? |
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 3
RCP 的polling average 历史上（2004，2008，以及无数小的选举） 是很准的。
如果只看单个poll， gallup样本2700，rasmussen 样本1500，而且是独立polling 单
位，尤其是gallup有比较长的历史，相对最靠谱。
【在 k*****r 的大作中提到】
: so many polls out there which one do you really believe?
|
i*****g
发帖数: 11893 | 4 奥巴马好萎靡啊，这家伙使劲出口中国一些产品，马上就业率就好了
结果他在那里一动不动，听任美国右翼势力和希拉里在那里JJWW，然后他快乐地看着
SPX上涨，涨，涨，
最后他出局了，真是杯具 |
K**m
发帖数: 180 | 5 元方，此事你怎么看？
asking
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
: Oct 10-16， likely voters： O8 46%， Romney 51%。
: These results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems
: most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking
: about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past
: voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone
: interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2
: percentage points.
: http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-t
|
x*****u
发帖数: 6559 | 6
haha
【在 K**m 的大作中提到】
: 元方，此事你怎么看？
:
: asking
|
D********n
发帖数: 1595 | 7 怎么这么多人白话得口吐白沫就没有人意识到这个是第二场辩论之前的poll？
asking
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
: Oct 10-16， likely voters： O8 46%， Romney 51%。
: These results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems
: most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking
: about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past
: voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone
: interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2
: percentage points.
: http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-t
|
k*****r
发帖数: 474 | |
