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Military版 - North Korea is not a paper tiger, US official said.
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l********u
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Yeonpyeong Island, South Korea (CNN) -- The Obama administration on
Wednesday slammed North Korea's pugnacious rants toward South Korea and the
West and a U.S. intelligence official called the strident remarks worrisome.
"The ratcheting up of rhetoric is of concern to us," the official said.
The question is whether this is "just rhetoric," he said. Or, "are things
happening behind the scenes indicating the blustering has something to it."
Another U.S. official said there is a lot of uncertainty about North Korea's
intentions.
North Korea: Nuclear war is 'simmering' N. Korea unleashes new threats on U
.S. Leighton: It will only take one shot North Korea declares it's 'combat
ready'
"North Korea is not a paper tiger so it wouldn't be smart to dismiss its
provocative behavior as pure bluster," that official said.
"What's not clear right now is how much risk (North Korean leader) Kim Jong
Un is willing to run, to show the world and domestic elites that he's a
tough guy. His inexperience is certain -- his wisdom is still very much in
question."
North Korea earlier said it was cutting off a key military hotline with
South Korea amid high tensions between the two sides.
"Under the situation where a war may break out any moment, there is no need
to keep north-south military communications," the head of a North Korean
delegation told the South by telephone Wednesday, according to the North's
state-run Korean Central News Agency.
There are several hotlines between North and South Korea. Earlier this month
, Pyongyang disconnected a Red Cross hotline that ran through the border
village of Panmunjom and was used by officials on both sides, according to
the South Korean Unification Ministry.
And senior U.S. officials do not believe the cutting off of some
communication by North Korea in itself is indicative of more dramatic action
or is conclusive. The officials note that North Korea has cut these links
before, some of them multiple times.
"It's part of the current threat-of-the-day pattern. I wouldn't extrapolate
it to anything more conclusive," one official said.
"They want attention and they want to scare people both inside and outside
their country."
Officials see steps such as cutting off communication are more substitutes
for doing other more dangerous things rather than precursors to more
dangerous things.
"That is certainly our fervent hope," the official said.
At the same time, there is concern about a North Korean miscalculation
during this time. The officials said the lack of communication could
complicate and hamper the ability of all nations involved (including North
Korea, South Korea and the United States) to control and moderate any action
-- and cycle of reaction should one begin as the result of a North Korean
miscalculation.
The North linked its move to annual joint military exercises by South Korea
and the United States, which it has cited in a string of threats against the
two countries in recent weeks. Tougher sanctions approved by the U.N.
Security Council also may have fueled its anger.
"It is important the U.S. send a message. In terms of the military side, the
U.S. has clearly sent a message," the intelligence official said. "When
people engage in this sort of rhetoric, you can't appear as if you are not
responding," the official said.
The intelligence community has been providing the Obama administration with
assessments of Kim Jung Un's control of the regime, but the official would
not provide any details of that assessment.
Administration officials also regretted the tough talk from Pyongyang. State
Department spokesman Patrick Ventrell cited "more bellicose rhetoric and
threats (that) follow a pattern designed to raise tensions and intimidate
others."
Josh Earnest, White House principal deputy press secretary, said the United
States is committed to ensuring the security of its allies, such as South
Korea.
"The North Koreans are not going to achieve anything through these threats
and provocations. They're only going to further isolate the North Koreans
and undermine international efforts to bring peace and stability to
northeast Asia," Earnest said.
Pentagon spokesman George Little spoke on the government's nuclear threats
to the United States and "its more achievable threats to attack South Korean
military units and shell border islands."
"We take their rhetoric seriously, whether it's outside the norm which it
sometimes is, or seems to suggest a more direct threat. And if you look at
what they've said recently, it's been extremely provocative, threatening and
bellicose. And it's a complete mystery to me why they would deem it in
their own interest to launch this type of rhetoric at us and our allies,"
Little said.
Korean nightmare: Experts ponder potential conflict
The North's announcement Wednesday appeared likely to affect the movement of
people in and out of the Kaesong Industrial Complex, a joint economic
cooperation zone between the two Koreas situated on the North's side of the
border.
"The measure taken by North Korea is not beneficial for the stable operation
of the Kaesong Industrial Complex, and we urge them to withdraw the measure
," the Unification Ministry said.
On Thursday morning, the day after the North said it was severing the line,
South Korean workers were able to cross the border and enter the industrial
zone, the semiofficial South Korean news agency Yonhap reported, citing the
Immigration and Quarantine office in Paju, near the border.
An initial group of 197 workers went over the border at 8:30 a.m. local time
(7:30 p.m. Wednesday ET) after North Korea gave the regular approval for
their movement by phone through the industrial district's management
committee, Yonhap said.
A total of 530 South Koreans were due to enter the Kaesong complex on
Thursday, and 511 are scheduled to come back into South Korea, according to
Yonhap.
North Korea's threats: Five things to know
A symbol of North-South cooperation, the Kaesong complex is also seen as an
important source of hard currency for the regime in Pyongyang.
The North previously cut off the Kaesong military hotline in March 2009 --
also during annual U.S.-South Korean military exercises -- but later
reinstated it, according to Yonhap.
The slew of recent fiery rhetoric from Pyongyang has included threats of pre
-emptive nuclear strikes against the United States and South Korea, as well
as the declaration that the armistice that stopped the Korean War in 1953 is
no longer valid.
Behind the veil: A rare look at life in North Korea
On Tuesday, the North said it planned to place military units tasked with
targeting U.S. bases under combat-ready status.
Most observers say North Korea is still years away from having the
technology to deliver a nuclear warhead on a missile, but it does have
plenty of conventional military firepower, including medium-range ballistic
missiles that can carry high explosives for hundreds of miles.
The heightened tensions on the Korean Peninsula came after the North carried
out a long-range rocket launch in December and an underground nuclear test
last month, prompting the U.N. Security Council to step up sanctions on the
secretive regime.
P**C
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这个美国官员回去要写检查了,居然用了老毛那个广为传颂的“纸老虎”。
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