d*****u 发帖数: 17243 | 1 You can see for yourself how different variables affect likelihood of
supporting Trump. In the sample, taken from July 2015 through August 2016,
35% of respondents had a favorable view of Trump. The probability of any
person supporting Trump went up or down when factoring in these variables:
Male: +14 percentage points
White: +9
Installation and repair workers: +9
Transportation workers: +7
Asian: +6
Veteran family: +6
Self-employed: +6
Manufacturing worker: +5
Sales worker: +4
Unemployed +4
High school diploma (max): +3
Less diverse area: +3
Less educated area: +3
Farmer: +3
Business owner: +3
Older: +3
Married: +2
Parent: +2
Richer: +2
Area with worse white health: +2
Area with fewer non-profits: +1
Area with less manufacturing: +1
Area with lower voting rate: +1
Less urban area: +1
Farther from Mexico: +1
Whiter area: +1
Less white area: -1
Closer to Mexico: -1
More urban area: -1
Area with higher voting rate: -1
Area with more manufacturing: -1
Area with more non-profits: -1
Catholic: -1
Part-time worker: -1
Area with better white health: -2
Poorer: -2
Clerical worker: -2
Professional: -2
Younger: -3
No high school diploma: -3
More diverse area: -3
More educated area: -3
Union: -4
Mormon: -7
Bachelor’s degree (max): -9
Jewish: -9
LGBTQ: -10
Atheist: -11
Female: -14
Post-grad degree: -16
Muslim: -16
Black: -19
Hispanic -20 |
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