b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 1 https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-15/why-the-one-china-policy-
works
In questioning the “One China” policy that’s governed U.S.-China
relations for nearly four decades, President-elect Donald Trump seems to
believe he’s wielding powerful leverage to persuade leaders in Beijing to
give the U.S. a better deal on trade. In fact, he’s setting himself up to
fail -- and ignoring the more effective tools at his disposal. | b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 2 And the truth is, Chinese President Xi Jinping won’t be offering any trade-
offs in response to Trump’s bluster. No Chinese leader -- especially not Xi
, who has staked his reputation on restoring China’s greatness and avenging
a “century of humiliation” at the hands of Western powers, and who faces
a critical leadership transition next year -- can afford to be seen
negotiating over Taiwan’s status. China has limited room to retaliate
economically against the U.S., so Xi is likely to respond strategically --
by undermining the sanctions regime against North Korea, say, or by ramping
up the militarization of islands in the South China Sea. At a minimum, Xi
might stage military exercises near Taiwan to test U.S. resolve. |
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