w***t
发帖数: 404 | 1 下面这篇文章很有意思，其实大多数选民都是非理性的。里面提到的这本书有谁看过？
The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies
是个经济学家写的。
It’s an Election, Not a Revolution
By TYLER COWEN
Published: February 17, 2008
IT has become common wisdom that the battle for the presidency is all about
the economy. Voters are being told that the country’s economic health
depends on pulling the right lever in the polling booth.
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David G. Klein
This election is certainly important. B | t******h
发帖数: 519 | 2 I agree. most Americans vote for party identification，not for issue proximity。
Still, Economic evaluation is important for presidential voting。Looking at the record of 2000 and 2004 record, you will find that economic evaluation， especially, the retrospetive evaluation， is a universally important predictor in all the major models of prediction。
But Retrospetive is more important than prospective。 | a******o
发帖数: 1197 | 3 有没有可能good-looking的容易当总统？
proximity。
at the record of 2000 and 2004 record, you will find that economic
evaluation， especially, the retrospetive evaluation， is a universally
important predictor in all the major models of prediction。
【在 t******h 的大作中提到】
: I agree. most Americans vote for party identification，not for issue proximity。
: Still, Economic evaluation is important for presidential voting。Looking at the record of 2000 and 2004 record, you will find that economic evaluation， especially, the retrospetive evaluation， is a universally important predictor in all the major models of prediction。
: But Retrospetive is more important than prospective。
| t******h
发帖数: 519 | 4 hehe， I once wondered about this too。 |
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