h*****g 发帖数: 21 | 1 There are infinite cards numbered 1-5. You construct a deck. Someone guesses
a value and draws a card. If they guessed correctly, they get the value.
What composition of the deck minimizes their expected value?
题目没看懂, 一个deck是5张还是不限张数还是infinite的全部。5张的话是随便取五
张还是要一到五俱全?
要是把题目改为: here are five cards numbered 1-5. You construct a deck.
Someone guesses a value and draws a card. If they guessed correctly, they
get the value. What composition of the deck minimizes their expected value?
就简单了。 |
K*V 发帖数: 192 | 2 no matter how many numbers of cards in a deck, the answer is always the same.
only have 1 in your deck
guesses
【在 h*****g 的大作中提到】 : There are infinite cards numbered 1-5. You construct a deck. Someone guesses : a value and draws a card. If they guessed correctly, they get the value. : What composition of the deck minimizes their expected value? : 题目没看懂, 一个deck是5张还是不限张数还是infinite的全部。5张的话是随便取五 : 张还是要一到五俱全? : 要是把题目改为: here are five cards numbered 1-5. You construct a deck. : Someone guesses a value and draws a card. If they guessed correctly, they : get the value. What composition of the deck minimizes their expected value? : 就简单了。
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C**V 发帖数: 2198 | 3 a different question: what if you have to tell the other person the deck
composition before he starts guessing?
same.
【在 K*V 的大作中提到】 : no matter how many numbers of cards in a deck, the answer is always the same. : only have 1 in your deck : : guesses
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C**V 发帖数: 2198 | 4 a different question:
what if you have to tell the other person the deck composition before he
starts guessing?
same.
【在 K*V 的大作中提到】 : no matter how many numbers of cards in a deck, the answer is always the same. : only have 1 in your deck : : guesses
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s*********y 发帖数: 284 | 5 The probability of number k (k=1-5) should be proportional to 1/k.
So 1/k/(1+1/2+1/3+1/4+1/5) for number k. |
h*****g 发帖数: 21 | 6 Yeap, That's exactly the condition that simplify the question. with the
composition known, and assuming that the counterparty is allowed to see the
card after he/she guessed , we can play with the sequence to find the
minimum using the conditional probability.
【在 C**V 的大作中提到】 : a different question: : what if you have to tell the other person the deck composition before he : starts guessing? : : same.
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k*****n 发帖数: 117 | 7 This condition is guaranteed if you see this is a "game" with both you and
player are rational and have complete information, which are
infinite number of cards for 1 - 5
his objective: maximize his expected gain
your objective: minimize his expected gain
the
【在 h*****g 的大作中提到】 : Yeap, That's exactly the condition that simplify the question. with the : composition known, and assuming that the counterparty is allowed to see the : card after he/she guessed , we can play with the sequence to find the : minimum using the conditional probability.
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