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Stock版 - 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE"
相关主题
感觉抄股票象赌博股大帅是最有common sense的
OMER,还有比你更强悍的吗?炒股最重要的是 common sense
SNTS - 奔跑着歌颂longlaoshiBond
哈哈,我又有一个可以重仓的 pick大家为啥认为版务是股神
罗妹妹卖pick老贴摘录我再说两句common sense吧
我记得当年怎么辨别虚假信息
发一个common sense.用common sense看FB
炒股也罢,做人也罢,最重要的是什么?研究显示:美国年薪7.5万美元的人“才能买到快乐”
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: common话题: sense话题: 70%话题: here话题: those
进入Stock版参与讨论
1 (共1页)
p**********e
发帖数: 703
1
>>>>>> Tonight I read such a post:
" 同主题阅读:感觉抄股票象赌博", link: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/35358213.html
>>>>>> In responding to Harrypotter's comments"炒股人群,高智商不如卖白菜的
,不信你问村口的大叔大婶", I replied as:
引用LUOWEI大牛的话之一, 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE" (which I totally agree)...(
I think) 高智商的"SENSE" 往往不"COMMON"...村口的大叔大婶最接近生活了, 就是有
点儿目光短浅, 急功近利...
>>>>>>> watertown86 responded:
炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE",
then why the popular saying is on stock market
70% takes loss, 20% makes even 10% gets profit?
......
>>>>>>> Here I'd like to respond with some of my thinking, hopefully useful
to some one here, even if one of you benefit from my words, I am not wasting
my time tonight (I have not even completely read one book on stocks from
beginning to end, but I am sure my thought are in some of them, nothing new
except the IDRA case reported below):
Assume "炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE"" is right (ASSUME == ASS + U + ME),
then the explanation will be:
ONCE involved in the stock market, 70% of the people have lost their "common
sense", and only 10% functions normally concerning their "common sense"...
No body would like to think himself with the majority of 70% at this time :)
Here we can assume in a case like this: Out of randomly selected 100 people
in the stock market, if 70 say FB is a buy tomorrow, what will you do? I
will follow them (the majority) but remember to get out before them (it will
be really hard for greedy personalities to execute it even if they knew it)
, since the money for the 10% come from those 70%, so everyone want to be
away from the majority of 70% now...so as everybody keep saying--timing to
be with and to be away with the 70%!!!
As simple as that, but why so many people keep complaining that they got
stuck in a stock or have to execute the 10% cut but some others were making
money??...one of the explanation is they lost their "common sense" in the
fast-paced stock market from the beginning to the end....
Here is another example from recent IDRA case, due to incoming new dilution,
LONGLAOSHI suggested the range of IDRA would be $3-6http://www.mitbbs.com/clubarticle_t/xiaoyaogu/31111651.html, for those 70% who trust Longlaosi, they tried to wait till $3 or 3.10 to buy in to get the most profits (what is called greedy??), but those 10% started to buy right below $4 and the price never down even close to $3. One day later, the stock up over 5, and the 10% started to sell without waiting to be $6 (they may not get full profit as expected, what is greedy again???), but some of those 70% were regret for not buying low in time and thought the top is 6, which still have room to make money and started to step in (what is greedy???)...this might be where the 70%, 20% and 10% come from, I guess. I am sorry for making money from those 70% today, the key is you got to have your "common sense" when opportunity comes---it comes every day at every moment, such as if you used to be one of those 70% and read my post here, and "see" something which would help you to get out from those 70%, it will be a big reward for my spending time typing here in such a lovely Friday night---I have to say I have been learning a lot from here from many people, including someone I don't like, but I still believe: 要学好抄股, 先学好做人", it is the key of the "common sense" for any long term winner. So I would like to feed back 股版 as much as I could.
Good luck!!@
m****r
发帖数: 5435
2

.(
说,你真正的想法是不是bso? :)

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: >>>>>> Tonight I read such a post:
: " 同主题阅读:感觉抄股票象赌博", link: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/35358213.html
: >>>>>> In responding to Harrypotter's comments"炒股人群,高智商不如卖白菜的
: ,不信你问村口的大叔大婶", I replied as:
: 引用LUOWEI大牛的话之一, 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE" (which I totally agree)...(
: I think) 高智商的"SENSE" 往往不"COMMON"...村口的大叔大婶最接近生活了, 就是有
: 点儿目光短浅, 急功近利...
: >>>>>>> watertown86 responded:
: 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE",
: then why the popular saying is on stock market

p**********e
发帖数: 703
3
谈股论股不卖P股, 不奔帐户, 怎能算BSO????
BSO with such details will turn myself into those 70% as I would not get
IDRA at below $4 next time....who would like to do that if they still want
to make money????
Why don't I worry? as long as I keep my integrity and common sense, I will
be fine...就如同在生活中与人交往, 紧记"只要别想占便宜, 你就不会吃大亏"...and
I know, easy say than done, I mean even if those greedy
understand what I said, in the market, they may still fall into those 70%
due to greedy, am I right? :)

【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
:
: .(
: 说,你真正的想法是不是bso? :)

j*******7
发帖数: 349
4
Totally agree. 其实mm也是利用大众的irrationality 赚钱。 if people always
make rational decisions,mm 基本上很难投机。
其实行为经济学和这个很相关,有一个诺贝尔奖的得主Daniel_Kahneman是做这个方面
。他的展望理论在商家上用的很广泛,比方说大众会觉得$9.99 比$10便宜很多。
http://zh.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/展望理论
另一个例子:摘录:一个人展望(预期)能得到奖金 500 元,當他的決策讓他得到奖
金 500 元,他会觉得没什么;即使他有另一個比較安全,但讓他少得100元獎金的辦法
(決策),那多數人會寧可冒較大風險,以獲取展望(预期)回報。

will
and

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: 谈股论股不卖P股, 不奔帐户, 怎能算BSO????
: BSO with such details will turn myself into those 70% as I would not get
: IDRA at below $4 next time....who would like to do that if they still want
: to make money????
: Why don't I worry? as long as I keep my integrity and common sense, I will
: be fine...就如同在生活中与人交往, 紧记"只要别想占便宜, 你就不会吃大亏"...and
: I know, easy say than done, I mean even if those greedy
: understand what I said, in the market, they may still fall into those 70%
: due to greedy, am I right? :)

m****r
发帖数: 5435
5

will
and
Let us wait for five or ten years and see if you still think you are the 30
%. Young man.

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: 谈股论股不卖P股, 不奔帐户, 怎能算BSO????
: BSO with such details will turn myself into those 70% as I would not get
: IDRA at below $4 next time....who would like to do that if they still want
: to make money????
: Why don't I worry? as long as I keep my integrity and common sense, I will
: be fine...就如同在生活中与人交往, 紧记"只要别想占便宜, 你就不会吃大亏"...and
: I know, easy say than done, I mean even if those greedy
: understand what I said, in the market, they may still fall into those 70%
: due to greedy, am I right? :)

h***a
发帖数: 290
6
谢谢,把你加到我的每日关注名单上
E**********r
发帖数: 2743
7
agreed. don't try to catch the lowest and highest point, just in between
would be sufficient
if the above can be accomplished often, in the end, big reward

.(

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: >>>>>> Tonight I read such a post:
: " 同主题阅读:感觉抄股票象赌博", link: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/35358213.html
: >>>>>> In responding to Harrypotter's comments"炒股人群,高智商不如卖白菜的
: ,不信你问村口的大叔大婶", I replied as:
: 引用LUOWEI大牛的话之一, 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE" (which I totally agree)...(
: I think) 高智商的"SENSE" 往往不"COMMON"...村口的大叔大婶最接近生活了, 就是有
: 点儿目光短浅, 急功近利...
: >>>>>>> watertown86 responded:
: 炒股靠的是"COMMON SENSE",
: then why the popular saying is on stock market

p**********e
发帖数: 703
8
同意! 我最喜欢看大牛如LUOWEI, 教授,大夫,牛刀等分析股票,大盘及实战分析总
结,我只是讲讲自己目前的体会,满脑子一堆草股的问题,哪敢BSO? 刚学TA和奥谱神
,能否坚持到5年都不好说。。。
发贴子逗人开心也好啊,可惜太多言之无物的吃货,骂人货把股版搅的乌烟瘴气,把真
正谈股论股的好帖都淹了。。。言如其人啊。。。

30

【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
:
: will
: and
: Let us wait for five or ten years and see if you still think you are the 30
: %. Young man.

m****r
发帖数: 5435
9

曾轻狂过,的确也不应轻初学。谢谢你的分享。

【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: 同意! 我最喜欢看大牛如LUOWEI, 教授,大夫,牛刀等分析股票,大盘及实战分析总
: 结,我只是讲讲自己目前的体会,满脑子一堆草股的问题,哪敢BSO? 刚学TA和奥谱神
: ,能否坚持到5年都不好说。。。
: 发贴子逗人开心也好啊,可惜太多言之无物的吃货,骂人货把股版搅的乌烟瘴气,把真
: 正谈股论股的好帖都淹了。。。言如其人啊。。。
:
: 30

E**********r
发帖数: 2743
10
很简单的,我也说过多次,就是实事求是,就事论事
p**********e
发帖数: 703
11
Thanks, joyce2007, it is great to know Daniel_Kahneman's story, I did a
brief search, very interesting, highly suggest everyone here take a look....
Here I'd like to borrow a sentence from <炒股的智慧> to further answer
watertown86 why 70% loss, and only 10% making money:
如果要我用一句话来解释何以一般股民败多胜少,那就是:人性使然!说的全面些,就
是这些永远不变的人性--讨厌风险、急着发财、自以为是、赶潮跟风、因循守旧和耿于
报复- -使股民难于避开股市的陷阱。说得简单些,就是好贪小偏宜、吃不得小亏的心
态使一般股民几乎必然地成了输家。
By the way, I am just a 一般股民, trying very hard to squeeze into those 10%
, like you...Please don't fight with what I said or borrowed and pasted here
, just fight with yourself and conquer yourself as suggested by the <炒股的
智慧>...
Good luck to us all!

【在 j*******7 的大作中提到】
: Totally agree. 其实mm也是利用大众的irrationality 赚钱。 if people always
: make rational decisions,mm 基本上很难投机。
: 其实行为经济学和这个很相关,有一个诺贝尔奖的得主Daniel_Kahneman是做这个方面
: 。他的展望理论在商家上用的很广泛,比方说大众会觉得$9.99 比$10便宜很多。
: http://zh.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/展望理论
: 另一个例子:摘录:一个人展望(预期)能得到奖金 500 元,當他的決策讓他得到奖
: 金 500 元,他会觉得没什么;即使他有另一個比較安全,但讓他少得100元獎金的辦法
: (決策),那多數人會寧可冒較大風險,以獲取展望(预期)回報。
:
: will

j**l
发帖数: 486
12
任何决策是否是 rational decisions, 只有在事后才能确认。
马后炮才是确定正确的炮。

【在 j*******7 的大作中提到】
: Totally agree. 其实mm也是利用大众的irrationality 赚钱。 if people always
: make rational decisions,mm 基本上很难投机。
: 其实行为经济学和这个很相关,有一个诺贝尔奖的得主Daniel_Kahneman是做这个方面
: 。他的展望理论在商家上用的很广泛,比方说大众会觉得$9.99 比$10便宜很多。
: http://zh.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/展望理论
: 另一个例子:摘录:一个人展望(预期)能得到奖金 500 元,當他的決策讓他得到奖
: 金 500 元,他会觉得没什么;即使他有另一個比較安全,但讓他少得100元獎金的辦法
: (決策),那多數人會寧可冒較大風險,以獲取展望(预期)回報。
:
: will

1 (共1页)
进入Stock版参与讨论
相关主题
研究显示:美国年薪7.5万美元的人“才能买到快乐”罗妹妹卖pick老贴摘录
嘿!现在很多股都是电脑自动炒的。真没劲,烦!我记得当年
大千都看跌了。。。发一个common sense.
说说为什么支持紫金:关于股票市场的prediction炒股也罢,做人也罢,最重要的是什么?
感觉抄股票象赌博股大帅是最有common sense的
OMER,还有比你更强悍的吗?炒股最重要的是 common sense
SNTS - 奔跑着歌颂longlaoshiBond
哈哈,我又有一个可以重仓的 pick大家为啥认为版务是股神
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: common话题: sense话题: 70%话题: here话题: those