x**********g
发帖数: 327 | |
z*******n
发帖数: 16 | |
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 3 It's gonna fail.
【在 z*******n 的大作中提到】
: 您给展开说说
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c*****e
发帖数: 1538 | |
s*********0
发帖数: 742 | |
s*********0
发帖数: 742 | 6
引诱青蛙接盘？
【在 c*****e 的大作中提到】
: 先解释一下，之前那天暴涨是为啥？
|
c*****e
发帖数: 1538 | 7 那具体是怎么操作的呢？
【在 s*********0 的大作中提到】
:
: 引诱青蛙接盘？
|
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 8 是千老的科学，不是内幕。
【在 s*********0 的大作中提到】
: 老大， 我刚刚进场你就来这个？有内幕？
|
s******1
发帖数: 4987 | |
E*********r
发帖数: 4984 | 10 千老就没有几个搞过药物报批，我以前也提到过一个药物被批准不是说要治愈某个疾病
，只有有部分病人有反应就算是大的发现了。 记得UCB以前认识的一个教授一个药物10
%的皮肤癌病人在转移过程中有反应就算是重大发现，FDA批准了。 这让千老看来10%简
直是Insulting。 CLDN需要证明的是45%的病人有反应提高就行了。 没有人要他们的药
物治愈这个疾病。
【在 x**********g 的大作中提到】
: 是千老的科学，不是内幕。
|
|
|
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 11 我们拭目以待。
10
【在 E*********r 的大作中提到】
: 千老就没有几个搞过药物报批，我以前也提到过一个药物被批准不是说要治愈某个疾病
: ，只有有部分病人有反应就算是大的发现了。 记得UCB以前认识的一个教授一个药物10
: %的皮肤癌病人在转移过程中有反应就算是重大发现，FDA批准了。 这让千老看来10%简
: 直是Insulting。 CLDN需要证明的是45%的病人有反应提高就行了。 没有人要他们的药
: 物治愈这个疾病。
|
E*********r
发帖数: 4984 | 12 行， 如果CLDN的2期结果到不了45%， 股价活该暴跌，我打算亏1万块。
【在 x**********g 的大作中提到】
: 我们拭目以待。
:
: 10
|
s*********0
发帖数: 742 | 13
大手笔， 我现在只有1000股了。 希望只亏3000刀
【在 E*********r 的大作中提到】
: 行， 如果CLDN的2期结果到不了45%， 股价活该暴跌，我打算亏1万块。
|
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 14 兄台很牛。佩服。
他们也许会用统计 tricks 让数据好看些，股票还有可能涨，到时请兄弟吃包子。
【在 E*********r 的大作中提到】
: 行， 如果CLDN的2期结果到不了45%， 股价活该暴跌，我打算亏1万块。
|
s********0
发帖数: 2625 | 15 主要的统计方法在数据出来前就必须定死了，没有什么trick，这个和看到数据再去分
析得出结果有本质区别。
[在 xiaohongxing (土豆猫) 的大作中提到：]
：兄台很牛。佩服。
：他们也许会用统计 tricks 让数据好看些，股票还有可能涨，到时请兄弟吃包子。
：........... |
w**k
发帖数: 6722 | 16 这个显得外行了
谁也耍不了统计手段
【在 x**********g 的大作中提到】
: 兄台很牛。佩服。
: 他们也许会用统计 tricks 让数据好看些，股票还有可能涨，到时请兄弟吃包子。
|
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 17 ITT changed to mITT.
【在 s********0 的大作中提到】
: 主要的统计方法在数据出来前就必须定死了，没有什么trick，这个和看到数据再去分
: 析得出结果有本质区别。
: [在 xiaohongxing (土豆猫) 的大作中提到：]
: ：兄台很牛。佩服。
: ：他们也许会用统计 tricks 让数据好看些，股票还有可能涨，到时请兄弟吃包子。
: ：...........
|
x**********g
发帖数: 327 | 18 just Google cldn ITT mITT
【在 w**k 的大作中提到】
: 这个显得外行了
: 谁也耍不了统计手段
|
E*********r
发帖数: 4984 | 19 也没啥好牛的，愿赌服输，这支股票要是数据不好的话，很可能是腰斩，我现在1000股
， 17.8的均价，如果暴跌就是输1万块，当然要数据好，过50块可能就2-3天。
【在 x**********g 的大作中提到】
: 兄台很牛。佩服。
: 他们也许会用统计 tricks 让数据好看些，股票还有可能涨，到时请兄弟吃包子。
|
O**********e
发帖数: 539 | |
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c******n
发帖数: 104 | 21 You think u only lose 10k if fail? Price action should be as follow
If Don't meet $3
If barely miss or meet but require phase 3 for sure $10
If beat modestly but not sure if phase 3 required may open high but get
dumped to
Around 15
If beat a lot for sure don't require another trial like icpt then 50-70 May
get bought around 100
I think it will be either condition one or two based on how shorts are doing
You go ask Adam F he will say same thing
【在 E*********r 的大作中提到】
: 也没啥好牛的，愿赌服输，这支股票要是数据不好的话，很可能是腰斩，我现在1000股
: ， 17.8的均价，如果暴跌就是输1万块，当然要数据好，过50块可能就2-3天。
|
E*********r
发帖数: 4984 | 22 Interesting! Not quite sure who authorized you to use the words "Should be"
? Under what type of circumstances did you list those price targets? Why do
I need to talk to Adam F? Who is he?
I am also perplexed by your hypothesis based on how shorts are doing. Does
this kind of pattern exist, in which a down-trend before a clinical trial
coincides with a failure hint? I don't get it. Shorts can capitalize the
most profits if they push the prices higher and then set the shorting point
right before the news is announced. Well, this is based on the assumption
that shorts have already known the result. I am not saying it is impossible
but definitely illegal. I guarantee you that
diverse patterns can be found for many drug stocks before their clinical
results are released. Therefore, your prediction does not make too much
sense to me. As I mentioned earlier, the phase 2 clinical trial may very
likely fail. Question is do you dare to short this stock now? If you do, I
will pay a lot of respect to your bravery. Good luck!
May
doing
【在 c******n 的大作中提到】
: You think u only lose 10k if fail? Price action should be as follow
: If Don't meet $3
: If barely miss or meet but require phase 3 for sure $10
: If beat modestly but not sure if phase 3 required may open high but get
: dumped to
: Around 15
: If beat a lot for sure don't require another trial like icpt then 50-70 May
: get bought around 100
: I think it will be either condition one or two based on how shorts are doing
: You go ask Adam F he will say same thing
|
E*********r
发帖数: 4984 | 23 "If beat a lot for sure don't require another trial like icpt then 50-70
May
get bought around 100"
I don't quire understand your coherence while talking about the target price
after good clinical data and get bought around 100??? What is the
connection? Do you mean if the phase 2 is successful, there are big pharmas
which would like to acquire CLDN at $100 per share? If so, that would be
great but I don't see anything can happen in the imminent future. Any new
technology or application may be validated thoroughly before a concrete
acquisition dialogue can take place.
The bar for this stage of clinical trial is not set high so I feel the
chance to pass it is still quite big. Either way, this is a gamble so I am
prepared for the worst. |
y********r
发帖数: 273 | 24 完了 爱丁堡强力推荐 让我有点虚…找个高点跑了算了
Interesting!
【在 E*********r 的大作中提到】
: Interesting! Not quite sure who authorized you to use the words "Should be"
: ? Under what type of circumstances did you list those price targets? Why do
: I need to talk to Adam F? Who is he?
: I am also perplexed by your hypothesis based on how shorts are doing. Does
: this kind of pattern exist, in which a down-trend before a clinical trial
: coincides with a failure hint? I don't get it. Shorts can capitalize the
: most profits if they push the prices higher and then set the shorting point
: right before the news is announced. Well, this is based on the assumption
: that shorts have already known the result. I am not saying it is impossible
: but definitely illegal. I guarantee you that
|
f******1
发帖数: 727 | 25 用我的系统跑了一下
属于pass 之类的股票 就是还不错
但是细看分类 属于momentum 股
就是潮退人散的那种
兄弟们珍重 |
