a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 1 Since the discovery of oil in 1860, there has been more time when oil is
over supplied. Even though people has been worried about the supply for most
of the time, the price has been suppressed before the Arab oil embargo in
1973. Since then, OPEC has been controlling the price relatively effective
and the oil market has been seller's market.
However even with the oil price spiked since 1973, there has always been
spare capacity of between 5-10% of world demand with OPEC being the swing
player.
Today's oversupply of 2% is nothing if you think of spare capacity of near 0
%. The current oversupply of 2% is low in historical perspective and 0%
spare capacity is very dangerous. Anything can tip over the market in a flip
of a finger. |
w**********k
发帖数: 6250 | 2 就是这个道理
以前油价140的时候，都是oversupply 5%+的
怎么现在2% oversupply反而油价就必须要下来呢
这点oversupply中国一家就给包了了
most
0
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Since the discovery of oil in 1860, there has been more time when oil is
: over supplied. Even though people has been worried about the supply for most
: of the time, the price has been suppressed before the Arab oil embargo in
: 1973. Since then, OPEC has been controlling the price relatively effective
: and the oil market has been seller's market.
: However even with the oil price spiked since 1973, there has always been
: spare capacity of between 5-10% of world demand with OPEC being the swing
: player.
: Today's oversupply of 2% is nothing if you think of spare capacity of near 0
: %. The current oversupply of 2% is low in historical perspective and 0%
|
S*******n
发帖数: 10009 | 3 你来定个合理价格。
你再来讲讲为什么商品都跌成这样呢？也是2%？
most
0
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: Since the discovery of oil in 1860, there has been more time when oil is
: over supplied. Even though people has been worried about the supply for most
: of the time, the price has been suppressed before the Arab oil embargo in
: 1973. Since then, OPEC has been controlling the price relatively effective
: and the oil market has been seller's market.
: However even with the oil price spiked since 1973, there has always been
: spare capacity of between 5-10% of world demand with OPEC being the swing
: player.
: Today's oversupply of 2% is nothing if you think of spare capacity of near 0
: %. The current oversupply of 2% is low in historical perspective and 0%
|
a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 4 60-80
【在 S*******n 的大作中提到】
: 你来定个合理价格。
: 你再来讲讲为什么商品都跌成这样呢？也是2%？
:
: most
: 0
|
S*******n
发帖数: 10009 | 5 你再来讲讲为什么商品都跌成这样呢？也是2%？为什么铜就应该那么低？
【在 a*****1 的大作中提到】
: 60-80
|
v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | |
a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 7 Spare capacity and oversupply are two different things.
Copper's spare capacity is not 2%.
【在 S*******n 的大作中提到】
: 你再来讲讲为什么商品都跌成这样呢？也是2%？为什么铜就应该那么低？
|
