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Stock版 - Candidate of put options - once in a life time!
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话题: put话题: puts话题: bought话题: buy话题: options
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1 (共1页)
s****r
发帖数: 180
1
Your money your decision. 4/17/2020 is more expensive but safer; 3/20/2020
is cheapest but much more risky. If you make money, sell half or 2/3 to lock
in profit, and wait for further crash.
- Airline
I haven't bought any. They have extremely high volatility, and actually a
good future after virus. For 200% volatility, a put option with $13.5 strike
price this Friday for a $15 stock will cost you about $1.5, which means you
roughly need a 20% decline to breakeven, or you lost 100% in a week.
- Booking
I lost a huge bet on TCOM $30 puts last month, so I don't want to touch that
either. Other booking firms are EXPE/BKNG, high volatility as expected.
- Cruise
RCL & CCL - insane volatility. I bought CCL 2/21/2020 put at $44. It expired
and I lost 100%. The stupid stock is $17.58 yesterday after a 20% increase.
- Restaurant
I bought 200 DRI 3/20/2020 $95 put at $0.44 on 2/24/2020 and sold on 2/27/
2020 at $2.95. After a 10% increase, DRI closed at $65 yesterday.
Same thing on CAKE.
CBRL/CMG/TXRH are other candidates.
Although CMG is fast food, I bought a few anyway. I didn't touch other fast
food after losing 100% on YUMC put options. CMG offered free delivery for
this month.
- Themepark
I shouldn't have sold SEAS for a few bucks, but I didn't realize it can
continue to crater from $20 to $12. I regret I didn't buy SIX puts. Those
puts have a huge bid-ask spread, such as $1.50 vs. $4.50. Every time you buy
, you lost 66% on the spot. When you sell, you lose again.
- Department store
WMT/TGT are a bit special. I have some puts on TGT but lose money now. I am
not planning to add.
ROST financial is too good. I didn't touch that. I did buy TJX
KSS/M/JWN are pretty good candidates. KSS has partnered with Amazon on
return, so I don't want to keep that put. M is too cheap to play options. I
own JWN now, and will double down this Monday at opening. JWN bond is junk
rating now. If it gets downgraded, I will double down again.
- Auto parts store
All auto part stores have huge bid-ask spread: AZO, AAP, ORLY. I bought a
few AZO anyway and hope it will have liquidity problem
- Other brick and mortar stores
I bought a few SHW, hoping for its liquidity problem. Same for LOW. I didn't
buy HD puts.
I sold out ULTA Thursday before Friday earning, and may buy it back tomorrow.
LB is an interesting case, which got $550M cash lately. I cleared position
earlier this week, and plan to buy back.
- Financials
It seems very risky and costly to buy financial stocks. I still own some COF
, but didn't buy DFS. TFC options are very expensive, otherwise I would buy
some too.
I bought some ITUB puts Friday and they are under water.
- Others
I bought 1K TWNK March 20 $10 put options at $0.02 and 1.2K ZNGA March 20 $6
put at $0.19 on Fridy. lol, extremely speculative bets. I ended up with a
big pile of gold mine puts, like AEM/AU/Gold/NEM, just because they are
cheap. That is how my gigantic put position didn't lose much money on Friday
for a 9% increase - pure luck.
Let us see whether we can get a 7% meltdown on Monday. Roughly estimating, a
basket of put positions increases 50-100% for a 7% stock crash, and +200%
after the 2nd.
E******k
发帖数: 389
2
跌无可跌啊
s****r
发帖数: 180
3
Bump.

lock
strike
you
that

【在 s****r 的大作中提到】
: Your money your decision. 4/17/2020 is more expensive but safer; 3/20/2020
: is cheapest but much more risky. If you make money, sell half or 2/3 to lock
: in profit, and wait for further crash.
: - Airline
: I haven't bought any. They have extremely high volatility, and actually a
: good future after virus. For 200% volatility, a put option with $13.5 strike
: price this Friday for a $15 stock will cost you about $1.5, which means you
: roughly need a 20% decline to breakeven, or you lost 100% in a week.
: - Booking
: I lost a huge bet on TCOM $30 puts last month, so I don't want to touch that

1 (共1页)
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: put话题: puts话题: bought话题: buy话题: options