t***s
发帖数: 1877 | | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 2 Murray broke 3 times out of 12, while being broken 3 times out of
4. Continued lousy performance from the 1st match.
【在 t***s 的大作中提到】
: 7:6,4:6,6:4
| F**********e
发帖数: 199 | 3 可怜的孩子
还没从打击中走出来
kennyD不愧一代衰神，跟谁谁衰 | g*y
发帖数: 2354 | 4 眼镜男隔三岔五的发一次飙，这次穆雷撞上了。
kennyD，你follow穆雷这么久，statistics一大堆，究竟有没有个关于他拿首个大满贯
的预测啊？只要你说，我就信你权威哈，呵呵。 | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 5 Well, statistically speaking only 5 guys made 2 finals but never
won 1 GS. I am not aware of anyone who made 3 finals but never
won 1 GS. So if Murray gets into another final, it's likely
he will eventually win a slam. Lendl won his first GS after he
lost 4 times in the finals.
However, the chance of him stopping here (2 finals) is also
considerable. He will then join Miloslav Mecir, Mark
Philippoussis, Cedric Pioline and Todd Martin.
So my personal estimate is as follows:
The chance of Murray w
【在 g*y 的大作中提到】
: 眼镜男隔三岔五的发一次飙，这次穆雷撞上了。
: kennyD，你follow穆雷这么久，statistics一大堆，究竟有没有个关于他拿首个大满贯
: 的预测啊？只要你说，我就信你权威哈，呵呵。
| s*********d
发帖数: 2406 | 6 just wonder, how is 60% come from
I think murray may be get one in 2 years. | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 7 I meant "there does not exist (at least not I am aware of) a
player who lost 3 or more times in finals but did not win a
single GS by the end of career."
In another word, if Murray goes into final again, statistically
speaking he is quite likely to win at least 1 GS at some point.
1) If he wins the 3rd final, he immediately wins 1 GS;
2) If he loses the 3rd final, there does not exist any player
in history in the same situation who didn't win a GS eventually. | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 8 60% is out of complete speculation.
【在 s*********d 的大作中提到】
: just wonder, how is 60% come from
: I think murray may be get one in 2 years.
| g*y
发帖数: 2354 | 9 so noted!
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Well, statistically speaking only 5 guys made 2 finals but never
: won 1 GS. I am not aware of anyone who made 3 finals but never
: won 1 GS. So if Murray gets into another final, it's likely
: he will eventually win a slam. Lendl won his first GS after he
: lost 4 times in the finals.
: However, the chance of him stopping here (2 finals) is also
: considerable. He will then join Miloslav Mecir, Mark
: Philippoussis, Cedric Pioline and Todd Martin.
: So my personal estimate is as follows:
: The chance of Murray w
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