p*****l 发帖数: 399 | 1 I read about a formula in a book today, which calculates the probablity of
going broke.
Pr(Going broke)=e的[(-2BW)/(V)]次方=EXP((-2BW)/(V))
B is the bankroll
W is the win rate
V is the variance which is equal to the standard deviation squared
For example, for a good player in a good live game, a typical win rate is 1
big bet per hour and a typical standard deviation is 10 big bets per hour,
based on the assmuption, we can calculate the risk of ruin for various size
bankrolls as follows:
Bankroll (B | k******t 发帖数: 257 | 2 Is the book written by David sklansky?
This guy likes to put tons of formulas and prensted as statistics paper.
1
size
【在 p*****l 的大作中提到】 : I read about a formula in a book today, which calculates the probablity of : going broke. : Pr(Going broke)=e的[(-2BW)/(V)]次方=EXP((-2BW)/(V)) : B is the bankroll : W is the win rate : V is the variance which is equal to the standard deviation squared : For example, for a good player in a good live game, a typical win rate is 1 : big bet per hour and a typical standard deviation is 10 big bets per hour, : based on the assmuption, we can calculate the risk of ruin for various size : bankrolls as follows:
| p*****l 发帖数: 399 | 3 No, not his book, it's a book called Winning in Tough Hold ‘em Games. I've
only read a few pages so far though.
【在 k******t 的大作中提到】 : Is the book written by David sklansky? : This guy likes to put tons of formulas and prensted as statistics paper. : : 1 : size
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