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TexasHoldem版 - Probablity of going broke
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1 (共1页)
p*****l
发帖数: 399
1
I read about a formula in a book today, which calculates the probablity of
going broke.
Pr(Going broke)=e的[(-2BW)/(V)]次方=EXP((-2BW)/(V))
B is the bankroll
W is the win rate
V is the variance which is equal to the standard deviation squared
For example, for a good player in a good live game, a typical win rate is 1
big bet per hour and a typical standard deviation is 10 big bets per hour,
based on the assmuption, we can calculate the risk of ruin for various size
bankrolls as follows:
Bankroll (B
k******t
发帖数: 257
2
Is the book written by David sklansky?
This guy likes to put tons of formulas and prensted as statistics paper.

1
size

【在 p*****l 的大作中提到】
: I read about a formula in a book today, which calculates the probablity of
: going broke.
: Pr(Going broke)=e的[(-2BW)/(V)]次方=EXP((-2BW)/(V))
: B is the bankroll
: W is the win rate
: V is the variance which is equal to the standard deviation squared
: For example, for a good player in a good live game, a typical win rate is 1
: big bet per hour and a typical standard deviation is 10 big bets per hour,
: based on the assmuption, we can calculate the risk of ruin for various size
: bankrolls as follows:

p*****l
发帖数: 399
3
No, not his book, it's a book called Winning in Tough Hold ‘em Games. I've
only read a few pages so far though.

【在 k******t 的大作中提到】
: Is the book written by David sklansky?
: This guy likes to put tons of formulas and prensted as statistics paper.
:
: 1
: size

1 (共1页)
进入TexasHoldem版参与讨论
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: probablity话题: broke话题: going话题: 2bw话题: bankroll