USANews版 - Rasmussen调查：35%美国人对即将到来的一年表示乐观，是7年来低点 |
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发帖数: 29846 | 1 Optimism About the Upcoming Year Hits A Seven-Year Low
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Americans expected the current year to be better than it turned out but are
more hopeful about the year to come. This is similar to findings in previous
years. Still, adults are less optimistic about the upcoming year than they
’ve been in the previous seven years of surveying.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that just 35%
of Adults expect 2011 to be a good year or better, the lowest level of
optimism found since the end of 2003. Nineteen percent (19%) say 2011 will
be a poor year. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Optimism about the next year has hovered in this range in late December
surveys for the past three years. But in late 2007, 68% expected the
following year to be a good, if not better, one. In late December 2006, 57%
said the same of 2007.
Only 22% of Adults rate 2010 as a good year or better. That includes four
percent (4%) who say it was an excellent year and two percent (2%) who think
it was the best year ever. Thirty-one percent (31%) classify 2010 as a poor
year overall.
The number giving this year positive ratings is identical to the number who
felt that way about 2009 last year at this time. Forty-one percent (41%)
gave 2009 a poor rating at the end of last year.
However, 37% of Americans predicted 2010 would be at least a good year,
while 23% thought it would be a poor one.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).
Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on December 28-29, 2010
by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage
points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports
surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Americans are also a bit less optimistic about their personal health. Twenty
-five percent (25%) believe their health will be better at the end of 2011,
down three points from a year ago and seven points from late 2008. Only six
percent (6%) expect their health to get worse next year. Most adults (61%)
believe their health will be about the same at year's end.
Forty-six percent (46%) of adults believe the U.S. economy will still be in
a recession at the end of 2011, down from 50% the previous two years. Only
19% say the economy will not be in a recession by the end of next year.
Thirty-five percent (35%) are undecided.
Men gave 2010 a slightly better rating than women did, and also hold a more
optimistic outlook for 2011. But fewer women than men believe the economy
will still be in a recession by the end of next year.
Investors are more likely than non-investors to believe the U.S. economy
will remain in recession.
Earlier this month, only 36% of adults said the U.S. economy will be
stronger a year from now. Just as many (36%) predicted the economy will
grow even weaker. Americans also don’t hold much optimism about the housing
and stock markets in the next year.
Thirty-one percent (31%) of Likely U.S. Voters say the country is heading in
the right direction.
In late October, 74% said it’s likely there will be another terrorist
attack in the United States in the next year, including 35% who see this as
Very Likely.
Just nine percent (9%) of Likely Voters believe that U.S.-Muslim relations
will be better a year from now. Thirty-seven percent (37%) disagree and say
the relationship will be worse.
On the political front, 54% of voters believe Washington, DC will become
more partisan over the next year.
As 2010 turns to 2011 on Friday night, most adults plan to be home and wide
awake.
As for how they will celebrate, most Americans don’t plan on attending a
party or even a dinner, but a sizable number intend to enjoy a drink. Even
more will offer up a prayer as 2010 becomes 2011. |
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