c****o
发帖数: 2071 | 1 美国历史上有十次incumbent被unseated
Thomas Jefferson unseated John Adams (1800)
Andrew Jackson unseated JQ Adams (1828)
WH Harrison unseated Van Buren (1840)
Benjamin Harrison unseated Grover Cleveland (1888)
Grover Cleveland unseated B Harrison (1892)
Woodrow Wilson unseated WH Taft (1912)
FD Roosevelt unseated Hoover (1932)
Jimmy Carter unseated Gerald Ford (1976)
Ronald Reagan unseated J Carter (1980)
Bill Clinton unseated GHW Bush (1992)
从上两次来看,里根和克林顿都是在美国陷入最严重经济衰退的时候赢的. 奥巴马还没
背到卡特和老布什的地步.
这个debate奥巴马只要还开口说话,大选应该不输了. 共和党的机会是4年后. 大家还是
多想想local election吧。 |
k**o
发帖数: 15334 | 2 1/3 chance = 不可能？
【在 c****o 的大作中提到】
: 美国历史上有十次incumbent被unseated
: Thomas Jefferson unseated John Adams (1800)
: Andrew Jackson unseated JQ Adams (1828)
: WH Harrison unseated Van Buren (1840)
: Benjamin Harrison unseated Grover Cleveland (1888)
: Grover Cleveland unseated B Harrison (1892)
: Woodrow Wilson unseated WH Taft (1912)
: FD Roosevelt unseated Hoover (1932)
: Jimmy Carter unseated Gerald Ford (1976)
: Ronald Reagan unseated J Carter (1980)
|
u*********r
发帖数: 7835 | 3 克林顿那次要不是佩里出来捣乱，老布什输不了。
【在 c****o 的大作中提到】
: 美国历史上有十次incumbent被unseated
: Thomas Jefferson unseated John Adams (1800)
: Andrew Jackson unseated JQ Adams (1828)
: WH Harrison unseated Van Buren (1840)
: Benjamin Harrison unseated Grover Cleveland (1888)
: Grover Cleveland unseated B Harrison (1892)
: Woodrow Wilson unseated WH Taft (1912)
: FD Roosevelt unseated Hoover (1932)
: Jimmy Carter unseated Gerald Ford (1976)
: Ronald Reagan unseated J Carter (1980)
|
