r******g 发帖数: 4002 | 1 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用
计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。
另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。 |
h****g 发帖数: 2216 | 2 我觉得300票明显不靠谱。Romney就算把那些obama+2的都拿到手,也不太可能超过285
票。
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用 : 计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。 : 另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。
|
r******g 发帖数: 4002 | 3 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫
吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。
285
【在 h****g 的大作中提到】 : 我觉得300票明显不靠谱。Romney就算把那些obama+2的都拿到手,也不太可能超过285 : 票。
|
j********1 发帖数: 628 | 4 哪个维加斯赌盘?给个link?
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用 : 计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。 : 另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。
|
r****a 发帖数: 3249 | 5 agree, that is what I see around me...
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫 : 吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。 : : 285
|
b*****d 发帖数: 61690 | 6 close election.别想了,美国民调一般都很准的。
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫 : 吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。 : : 285
|
l**********1 发帖数: 2980 | 7 O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言:
They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few
Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a
few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That
was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there
is 10 Romney signs. |
w******8 发帖数: 977 | 8 这没什么说服力,我昨天注意了一下路上,看到3个Romney sign,没有Obama sign,但我
们这是毫无疑问的blue city,not even close.
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
h****g 发帖数: 2216 | 9 看网民留言,跟Biden和Ryan辩论后声称Biden在social media万人投票中大胜的文科生
一样,都是bias的。最后的选举总是一人一票选出来的。你是精英,也是一票,他是票
族,也是一票。
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
m********e 发帖数: 148 | 10 不过要当心冥猪党在swing states一人多票舞弊。在蓝卅他们一黑十票我也不care.
【在 h****g 的大作中提到】 : 看网民留言,跟Biden和Ryan辩论后声称Biden在social media万人投票中大胜的文科生 : 一样,都是bias的。最后的选举总是一人一票选出来的。你是精英,也是一票,他是票 : 族,也是一票。 : : few
|
|
|
P*****s 发帖数: 2619 | 11 老黑家没有地方插sign~~~
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
m********e 发帖数: 148 | 12 应在发obamaphone的时候再搭十面ObamaBiden小旗!
【在 P*****s 的大作中提到】 : 老黑家没有地方插sign~~~ : : few
|
f*********g 发帖数: 1637 | 13 lz, regardless your partisanship, you need to respect basic fact: the main
author was just a high schooler in 1980. Or maybe you just cant understand
English; this is only newly developed computer model that uses regression
testing of all early elections by fitting the model with PAST data. I dont
necessarily say it's wrong model, but to say it "predicted" past elections
is simply untrue. |
b****y 发帖数: 1010 | 14 LZ不会明白这个道理的。9个点的回测算啥啊?
我写的炒股model, 回测20年, 结果非常好,能挣大钱。
但真用起来, 跟抛硬币差不多。
【在 f*********g 的大作中提到】 : lz, regardless your partisanship, you need to respect basic fact: the main : author was just a high schooler in 1980. Or maybe you just cant understand : English; this is only newly developed computer model that uses regression : testing of all early elections by fitting the model with PAST data. I dont : necessarily say it's wrong model, but to say it "predicted" past elections : is simply untrue.
|
r******g 发帖数: 4002 | 15 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用
计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。
另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。 |
h****g 发帖数: 2216 | 16 我觉得300票明显不靠谱。Romney就算把那些obama+2的都拿到手,也不太可能超过285
票。
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用 : 计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。 : 另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。
|
r******g 发帖数: 4002 | 17 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫
吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。
285
【在 h****g 的大作中提到】 : 我觉得300票明显不靠谱。Romney就算把那些obama+2的都拿到手,也不太可能超过285 : 票。
|
j********1 发帖数: 628 | 18 哪个维加斯赌盘?给个link?
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 从1980年起用自行开发的计算机模式准确预测过去8次大选结果的科罗拉多大学,利用 : 计算机模式再作出大胆预测,Romney将会取得超过300张选举人票大胜O8。 : 另外,Las Vegas赌盘也是开出Romney可以赢得超过300张选举人票。
|
r****a 发帖数: 3249 | 19 agree, that is what I see around me...
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫 : 吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。 : : 285
|
b*****d 发帖数: 61690 | 20 close election.别想了,美国民调一般都很准的。
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫 : 吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。 : : 285
|
|
|
l**********1 发帖数: 2980 | 21 O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言:
They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few
Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a
few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That
was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there
is 10 Romney signs. |
w******8 发帖数: 977 | 22 这没什么说服力,我昨天注意了一下路上,看到3个Romney sign,没有Obama sign,但我
们这是毫无疑问的blue city,not even close.
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
h****g 发帖数: 2216 | 23 看网民留言,跟Biden和Ryan辩论后声称Biden在social media万人投票中大胜的文科生
一样,都是bias的。最后的选举总是一人一票选出来的。你是精英,也是一票,他是票
族,也是一票。
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
m********e 发帖数: 148 | 24 不过要当心冥猪党在swing states一人多票舞弊。在蓝卅他们一黑十票我也不care.
【在 h****g 的大作中提到】 : 看网民留言,跟Biden和Ryan辩论后声称Biden在social media万人投票中大胜的文科生 : 一样,都是bias的。最后的选举总是一人一票选出来的。你是精英,也是一票,他是票 : 族,也是一票。 : : few
|
P*****s 发帖数: 2619 | 25 老黑家没有地方插sign~~~
few
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : O8对OHIO真有把握吗?请看一位YAHOO网民的留言: : They keep saying that Ohio is a crucial swing state but I have seen very few : Obama signs or stickers anywhere and heaps of Romney/Ryan signs. There a : few Obama signs in the cleveland area but people keep stealing them. That : was a report in the Cleveland Herald yesterday. For every Obama sign there : is 10 Romney signs.
|
m********e 发帖数: 148 | 26 应在发obamaphone的时候再搭十面ObamaBiden小旗!
【在 P*****s 的大作中提到】 : 老黑家没有地方插sign~~~ : : few
|
f*********g 发帖数: 1637 | 27 lz, regardless your partisanship, you need to respect basic fact: the main
author was just a high schooler in 1980. Or maybe you just cant understand
English; this is only newly developed computer model that uses regression
testing of all early elections by fitting the model with PAST data. I dont
necessarily say it's wrong model, but to say it "predicted" past elections
is simply untrue. |
b****y 发帖数: 1010 | 28 LZ不会明白这个道理的。9个点的回测算啥啊?
我写的炒股model, 回测20年, 结果非常好,能挣大钱。
但真用起来, 跟抛硬币差不多。
【在 f*********g 的大作中提到】 : lz, regardless your partisanship, you need to respect basic fact: the main : author was just a high schooler in 1980. Or maybe you just cant understand : English; this is only newly developed computer model that uses regression : testing of all early elections by fitting the model with PAST data. I dont : necessarily say it's wrong model, but to say it "predicted" past elections : is simply untrue.
|
l**********1 发帖数: 2980 | |
u***n 发帖数: 21026 | 30 同意,就是一个黑人,拿了黑人的同情票,民主党太不要脸了
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】 : 静等O8滚蛋!
|
|
|
h*****w 发帖数: 8561 | 31 做什么预测也得有理智,04年愤怒的选民也不少,还有anybody but Bush的口号和网站
,结果如何?
【在 r******g 的大作中提到】 : 我曾经说过,选举结果会让人很震撼。你知道今年会有多少愤怒的选民要把O8赶出白宫 : 吗?你如果在老美圈子里混,就会了解更多。不要太相信民调。 : : 285
|