l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 1 10:05 AM, Jul 15, 2014 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON
In March 2010, Obamacare was about to be voted upon by the House of
Representatives, and the Democrats were in the process of deciding whether
to ignore public opinion at their peril. At that time, the Congressional
Budget Office (CBO) projected that Obamacare would cost $938 billion over a
decade and would reduce the number of uninsured people by 19 million as of
2014 (with a reduction of 1 million prior to 2014 and 18 million in 2014
alone). Unimpressed, the American people overwhelmingly opposed the
intrusive overhaul — with 20 of 21 polls taken that month showing it to be
unpopular, most of them by double digits. The Democrats willfully passed
Obamacare anyway and lost 63 House seats that November.
Two years later, the Supreme Court declared Obamacare’s coercive Medicaid
expansion to be unconstitutional as written, and the CBO adjusted its
projection for the number of uninsured accordingly. It projected that
Obamacare would reduce the number of uninsured by 14 million as of 2014 (2
million before 2014 and 12 million in 2014 alone), at a 10-year cost of $1.
677 trillion — or $739 billion more than the 2010 projection. (This
February, the CBO projected that Obamacare’s 10-year cost would eclipse $2
trillion.)
In February of this year, the CBO projected that Obamacare would reduce the
number of uninsured by 13 million as of 2014. In April, the CBO had seen
enough of the Obama administration’s skillful rollout of Obamacare to
reduce that estimate to 12 million.
Now the Urban Institute finds that Obamacare has actually reduced the number
of uninsured adults by 8 million since the rollout began last fall. (
Gallup shows a similar number.) That’s far short of the number of newly
insured that the CBO projected in April of this year, in February of this
year, or in 2012 — and it’s less than half the tally the American people
were told Obamacare would hit when they opposed it in 2010.
Yet Paul Krugman says that “health reform is — gasp! — working.” Only
in Washington could something that fails to hit even half of its original
target be considered a gasp-inducing success. No wonder Obamacare is every
bit as unpopular now as it was before the party that passed it took its
initial Obamacare-induced “shellacking” four years ago.
It’s time for a well-conceived conservative alternative that will fix what
the government had broken even before Obamacare was passed, shift things in
a conservative direction from the pre-Obamacare status quo, and lead to the
full repeal of perhaps the worst legislation in American history. | t*c
发帖数: 8291 | 2 美国作为一个非常diversify的民主社会，已经到了太大太臃肿，什么事情都办不好的
阶段了。doomed.
换谁当总统也没法变好了。
差别只是烂得快一点还是慢一点。
选romney会烂得慢一点，
选obama会烂得快很多。
还是集权好，朝令可以夕改，让谁滚蛋谁就滚，怎么折腾都行，虽然社会代价挺大，但
是比长时间内耗的代价小多了。
a
be
【在 l****z 的大作中提到】
: 10:05 AM, Jul 15, 2014 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON
: In March 2010, Obamacare was about to be voted upon by the House of
: Representatives, and the Democrats were in the process of deciding whether
: to ignore public opinion at their peril. At that time, the Congressional
: Budget Office (CBO) projected that Obamacare would cost $938 billion over a
: decade and would reduce the number of uninsured people by 19 million as of
: 2014 (with a reduction of 1 million prior to 2014 and 18 million in 2014
: alone). Unimpressed, the American people overwhelmingly opposed the
: intrusive overhaul — with 20 of 21 polls taken that month showing it to be
: unpopular, most of them by double digits. The Democrats willfully passed
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