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USANews版 - News Poll: New high for Trump new low for Clinton
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: percent话题: trump话题: voters话题: gov话题: gop
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l****z
发帖数: 29846
1
Businessman Donald Trump continues to gain ground in the race for the
Republican nomination. What’s more, the number of GOP primary voters
saying they would at least consider backing Trump has more than doubled in
the last two months. Meanwhile, support for Democratic frontrunner former
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remains high, despite sliding to its
lowest yet.
These are some of the findings from the latest Fox News national poll on the
2016 presidential race.
Trump receives the backing of 26 percent of self-identified Republican
primary voters -- up from 18 percent in mid-July and 11 percent a month ago.
That’s not only the highest level of support for Trump, but it’s also the
highest any GOP candidate has received since the Fox poll began asking the
question in December 2013.
Trump’s rise hasn’t hurt former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who garners 15
percent and is the only other Republican in double-digits. He was at 14
percent in mid-July and 15 percent in June.
Behind Trump and Bush, it’s Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 9 percent,
retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 7 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and former
Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 6 percent each, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and
Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 5 percent a piece, and New Jersey Gov. Chris
Christie and Ohio Gov. John Kasich get 3 percent each.
That group is followed by businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former
Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum tied at 2 percent, former Texas Gov. Rick
Perry and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal tied at 1 percent and former New York
Gov. George Pataki, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham and former Virginia
Gov. Jim Gilmore receive less than 1 percent support.
Two Republicans threw their hat in the ring in the last two weeks. Kasich
formally announced July 21 and his support went from two percent in mid-July
to three percent in the new poll. Gilmore made his candidacy official July
30.
Men (29 percent) are a bit more likely than women (24 percent) to back Trump
-- yet he’s the top vote-getter for both.
Another example of GOP primary voters increasingly liking what they hear
from Trump: 34 percent say they would “definitely” vote for him, which is
more than four times what it was two months ago (8 percent).
And the number who would “never” support Trump dropped 26 percentage
points: it was 59 percent in June and 33 percent now. Graham (40 percent),
Christie (34 percent) and Pataki (34 percent) now have more voters than the
Donald saying they would never vote for them.
Only nine percent would “never” vote for Walker. That gives him the best
rating among GOP candidates on that measure, although he’s also one of the
least well-known candidates: 47 percent say they “want more information”
about him before deciding their vote.
Winning isn’t everything -- or at least electability isn’t foremost in the
minds of GOP primary voters right now. When asked what they want in their
party’s nominee, they say being a strong leader (29 percent) matters more
than having true conservative values (20 percent), beating the Democrat (13
percent), having the right experience (13 percent) and shaking things up in
Washington (13 percent).
Those who prioritize strong leadership are most likely to back Trump (29
percent), Bush (19 percent), Walker (10 percent), Rubio (7 percent), Kasich
(5 percent) and Paul (5 percent).
While 40 percent of GOP primary voters say economic issues will be most
important in deciding their vote for the party’s nomination, some 31
percent say national security will matter most. Another 12 percent say
immigration issues will be most important and 7 percent say social issues.
Trump is ahead among some sought-after GOP constituencies. For example, the
current favorites among the Tea Party movement are Trump (33 percent),
Walker (15 percent), Cruz (13 percent) and Carson (10 percent). The top
picks among white evangelical Christians include Trump (22 percent), Bush (
17 percent), Carson (10 percent), Huckabee (10 percent) and Walker (10
percent).
What if Trump were out of the picture? Republican primary voters were also
asked about their second choice candidate, which allows a look at the state
of the race if a current candidate were to drop out. Here’s how things
stand without Trump: Bush gets 20 percent, followed by Walker at 13 percent,
Carson and Cruz at 9 percent, Huckabee at 8 percent, Paul, Rubio and
Christie tie at 6 percent, Kasich at 4 percent, and Perry, Fiorina and
Santorum get 2 percent each.
Switching to the Democratic side, Clinton is still the favorite among self-
identified Democratic primary voters. She receives 51 percent while Vermont
Sen. Bernie Sanders comes in at 22 percent. Yet that is Clinton’s worst
showing -- and Sanders’ best. Support for Clinton was 59 percent two weeks
ago, 61 percent a month ago -- and has been as high as 63 percent in the
months since Sanders entered the race. Vice President Joe Biden, who is
said to be considering a run, sits at 13 percent support.
By an 18-point margin, Republican primary voters (74 percent) are more
likely than their Democratic counterparts (56 percent) to be extremely or
very interested in the 2016 election.
Overall, voters say the economy is the most important issue facing the
country (30 percent). Next it’s terrorism and health care (11 percent each
). Less than one voter in 10 says the top problem is immigration (7 percent)
, foreign policy (7 percent), the federal deficit (7 percent), race
relations (5 percent), climate change (5 percent), gay marriage (3 percent),
taxes (3 percent) and abortion (2 percent).
The economy is the top concern for both Democrats and Republicans. Health
care comes in second for Democrats, while for Republicans it is terrorism.
Voters split on the job Barack Obama is doing as president: 46 percent
approve and 46 percent disapprove. Two weeks ago it was 47-48 percent (July
13-15, 2015). A year ago, 42 percent of voters approved and 49 percent
disapproved (August 2014).
Eighty-two percent of Democrats approve of Obama’s performance, while 85
percent of Republicans disapprove. Among independents, it is 37 percent
approve and 49 percent disapprove.
The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 1,306
randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the
joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research
(R) from July 30-August 2, 2015. The poll has a margin of sampling error of
plus or minus three percentage points for all registered voters, and four
points for both Democratic and Republican primary voters.
a*******1
发帖数: 1554
2
Meanwhile, support for Democratic frontrunner former
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remains high, despite sliding to its
lowest yet.
所以说小右真是搞笑。
比如一个学霸,每次考试100分,这次失手99,就是new low;
比如一个学渣,每次考试0分,这次超常发挥1分,就是new high;
小右标题党太无聊了。学过统计的都知道,这是正常的误差范围内的波动。
我建议小右们回去读读书吧,不要像威斯康辛那个州长,GPA 2.5。这种靠销售出身的
人,社会活动能力确实很强,但分析问题解决问题的能力往往很弱。
d*******p
发帖数: 2525
3
楼上左逼不妨把侯赛因的gpa拿出来比比?
p.s.用gpa来讨论政客,呵呵,楼上那位是还没毕业的?
1 (共1页)
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Bring it on!new poll
Homedepot创始人支持Trump了俺也来晒晒俺的两分钱
目前几个TRUMP的新poll现在越来越觉得trump不会是GOP nominee,GOP内的人都反他
左逼在Poll Number 统计数字上做弊,真恶心!!SC GOP voters prefer Trump, Carson
新的Iowa poll简评,除了已经决定的,未定的NH voter不好选
我来给辩论打个分这次辩论的印象,trump is a tough dude
TRUMP在三个摇摆州领头trump 昨天赢了200 多delegates
共和党第三次辩论谁留下深刻印象?再说trump没赢过50% GOP voter,去看92大选
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: percent话题: trump话题: voters话题: gov话题: gop