d*****s
发帖数: 5610 | 1 http://www.270towin.com/historical-presidential-elections/
New Deal以后，民主党占据上风，全国一般都是一片蓝，尤其是南方各州，民主党最基
本盘，共和党基本一败涂地。
1960年肯尼迪获胜，后来遇刺，Lyndon Johnson上台，1964年大胜，选举人票拿了486
，共和党的Goldwater才拿了52票。但是这也标志共和党南方战略的开始，52票基本都
是南方州的，这个是New Deal后的美国政治的realignment。因为民主党大获全胜的同
时，开始接受民权运动。
在Forest Gump的电影里面，Alabama大学开始接受第一个黑人学生，就是Lyndon
Johnson时代，National Guard护送黑人上学，南方州对民主党一夜之间翻脸。
1964年Lyndon Johnson签署黑白同权法案后，民主党就基本把南方州放弃，共和党为了
赢得总统大选，以Nixon为代表，开始以南方为基础，先赢南方，再扩充，结果在1972
年终于南方战略成功。
南方战略是利用南方州的种族意思，来巩固共和党选举人票，当然明面上是不能说的。
说的是暗语，比如减税，州的权利等等，因为这些对黑人的坏处更大。看下面这个共和
党大佬的说法：
Republican strategist Lee Atwater discussed the Southern strategy in a 1981
interview later published in Southern Politics in the 1990s by Alexander P.
Lamis.[54][55][56][57]
Atwater: As to the whole Southern strategy that Harry Dent and others
put together in 1968, opposition to the Voting Rights Act would have been a
central part of keeping the South. Now [Reagan] doesn't have to do that. All
you have to do to keep the South is for Reagan to run in place on the
issues he's campaigned on since 1964 . . . and that's fiscal conservatism,
balancing the budget, cut taxes, you know, the whole cluster...
Atwater: You start out in 1954 by saying, "Nigger, nigger, nigger." By
1968 you can't say "nigger" — that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff
like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so
abstract now [that] you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things
you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is
[that] blacks get hurt worse than whites. And subconsciously maybe that is
part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that
abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one
way or the other. You follow me — because obviously sitting around saying,
"We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing,
and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger." |
