p******e
发帖数: 897 | 1 Quinnipiac University just released four polls this afternoon, all post-
Comey “bombshell,” and the results should give hand-wringing Democrats a
reason to breath a tad easier.
FLORIDA: Clinton 46 - Trump 45, Johnson 2
NORTH CAROLINA: Clinton 47 - Trump 44, Johnson 3
OHIO: Trump 46 - Clinton 41, Johnson 5
PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 48 - Trump 43, Johnson 3
More to come as we delve into the numbers further ….
From the release:
Florida
Hillary Clinton is ahead 48 - 42 percent among Florida voters who already
have cast ballots. Florida likely voters don't like either candidate, giving
Clinton a negative 44 - 54 percent favorability rating and giving Trump a
negative 40 - 57 percent favorability.
The gender gap is small as women likely voters back Clinton 49 - 43 percent,
while men go 47 percent for Trump and 44 percent for Clinton. White voters
back Trump 58 - 34 percent while non-white voters back Clinton 72 - 21
percent.
Trump leads 88 - 7 percent among Republican voters and 46 - 40 percent among
independent voters. Clinton takes Democrats 86 - 8 percent.
"Racial patterns are clearly evident in the Florida voting. Hillary Clinton
is getting about a third of whites in Florida, to Trump's 58 percent. Non-
whites, however, break strongly for her," Brown said.
North Carolina
North Carolina early voters back Clinton 58 - 36 percent.
The candidates are running neck and neck in the unfavorable race, with a
negative 41 - 54 percent favorability rating for Clinton and a negative 40 -
53 percent rating for Trump.
North Carolina women likely voters back Clinton 52 - 42 percent, while men
back Trump 46 - 41 percent. White voters go to Trump 59 - 33 percent, while
non-white voters back Clinton 77 - 10 percent.
Trump leads 88 - 6 percent among Republicans and 45 - 38 percent among
independent voters. Democrats back Clinton 91 - 6 percent.
"Hillary Clinton has a narrow edge over Donald Trump in North Carolina when
it comes to keeping her party base home. She has a tad better score among
women than Trump has among men. But the closeness of the North Carolina race
shows itself in what voters think of the candidates," Brown said.
Ohio
Ohio early voters back Clinton 58 - 32 percent.
Trump squeaks out a tiny lead in the Ohio unfavorable race, with a negative
39 - 56 percent favorability, compared to Clinton's negative 37 - 59 percent
score.
The Republican's lead is built on his 48 - 38 percent lead among men,
compared to Clinton's 44 - 44 percent tie among women.
Trump leads 88 - 5 percent among Republicans and 48 - 30 percent among
independent voters. Democrats back Clinton 89 - 7 percent.
"The 48 - 30 percent lead for Donald Trump among independent voters is
pretty overwhelming. Ohio has a large number of voters that the Trump
campaign has targeted. The Buckeye state is full of those who feel they have
lost their jobs because of unfair trade treaties, and non-college educated
whites," Brown said.
Pennsylvania
Clinton is ahead in the unfavorable race in Pennsylvania, with a negative 41
- 56 percent favorability rating, which is less bad than Trump's negative
37 - 60 percent score.
Pennsylvania women likely voters back Clinton 56 - 36 percent, outweighing
Trump's 51 - 39 percent lead among men.
Clinton leads 85 - 12 percent among Democrats and 42 - 38 percent among
independent voters. Trump takes Republicans 85 - 9 percent. "Hillary Clinton
's solid 6-point lead two weeks ago is now a less comfortable 5-point lead,
but it's a lead just the same at a time when every percentage point is
scrutinized and any poll movement heightens anxiety," said Tim Malloy,
assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. From October 27 -
November 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
626 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage
points;
602 North Carolina likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage
points;
589 Ohio likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points;
612 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage
points.
Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. | u****q
发帖数: 24345 | | t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 3 你过几天就会知道这些数据是假的，目前还没人能够这么推算，
只有field raw data，过几天你就会知道，不要太傻。
: FL Hillary 6，还玩啥啊。
【在 u****q 的大作中提到】
: FL Hillary +6，还玩啥啊。
| p******e
发帖数: 897 | 4 Quinnipiac University just released four polls this afternoon, all post-
Comey “bombshell,” and the results should give hand-wringing Democrats a
reason to breath a tad easier.
FLORIDA: Clinton 46 - Trump 45, Johnson 2
NORTH CAROLINA: Clinton 47 - Trump 44, Johnson 3
OHIO: Trump 46 - Clinton 41, Johnson 5
PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 48 - Trump 43, Johnson 3
More to come as we delve into the numbers further ….
From the release:
Florida
Hillary Clinton is ahead 48 - 42 percent among Florida voters who already
have cast ballots. Florida likely voters don't like either candidate, giving
Clinton a negative 44 - 54 percent favorability rating and giving Trump a
negative 40 - 57 percent favorability.
The gender gap is small as women likely voters back Clinton 49 - 43 percent,
while men go 47 percent for Trump and 44 percent for Clinton. White voters
back Trump 58 - 34 percent while non-white voters back Clinton 72 - 21
percent.
Trump leads 88 - 7 percent among Republican voters and 46 - 40 percent among
independent voters. Clinton takes Democrats 86 - 8 percent.
"Racial patterns are clearly evident in the Florida voting. Hillary Clinton
is getting about a third of whites in Florida, to Trump's 58 percent. Non-
whites, however, break strongly for her," Brown said.
North Carolina
North Carolina early voters back Clinton 58 - 36 percent.
The candidates are running neck and neck in the unfavorable race, with a
negative 41 - 54 percent favorability rating for Clinton and a negative 40 -
53 percent rating for Trump.
North Carolina women likely voters back Clinton 52 - 42 percent, while men
back Trump 46 - 41 percent. White voters go to Trump 59 - 33 percent, while
non-white voters back Clinton 77 - 10 percent.
Trump leads 88 - 6 percent among Republicans and 45 - 38 percent among
independent voters. Democrats back Clinton 91 - 6 percent.
"Hillary Clinton has a narrow edge over Donald Trump in North Carolina when
it comes to keeping her party base home. She has a tad better score among
women than Trump has among men. But the closeness of the North Carolina race
shows itself in what voters think of the candidates," Brown said.
Ohio
Ohio early voters back Clinton 58 - 32 percent.
Trump squeaks out a tiny lead in the Ohio unfavorable race, with a negative
39 - 56 percent favorability, compared to Clinton's negative 37 - 59 percent
score.
The Republican's lead is built on his 48 - 38 percent lead among men,
compared to Clinton's 44 - 44 percent tie among women.
Trump leads 88 - 5 percent among Republicans and 48 - 30 percent among
independent voters. Democrats back Clinton 89 - 7 percent.
"The 48 - 30 percent lead for Donald Trump among independent voters is
pretty overwhelming. Ohio has a large number of voters that the Trump
campaign has targeted. The Buckeye state is full of those who feel they have
lost their jobs because of unfair trade treaties, and non-college educated
whites," Brown said.
Pennsylvania
Clinton is ahead in the unfavorable race in Pennsylvania, with a negative 41
- 56 percent favorability rating, which is less bad than Trump's negative
37 - 60 percent score.
Pennsylvania women likely voters back Clinton 56 - 36 percent, outweighing
Trump's 51 - 39 percent lead among men.
Clinton leads 85 - 12 percent among Democrats and 42 - 38 percent among
independent voters. Trump takes Republicans 85 - 9 percent. "Hillary Clinton
's solid 6-point lead two weeks ago is now a less comfortable 5-point lead,
but it's a lead just the same at a time when every percentage point is
scrutinized and any poll movement heightens anxiety," said Tim Malloy,
assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. From October 27 -
November 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed:
626 Florida likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage
points;
602 North Carolina likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage
points;
589 Ohio likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points;
612 Pennsylvania likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage
points.
Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. | u****q
发帖数: 24345 | | t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 6 你过几天就会知道这些数据是假的，目前还没人能够这么推算，
只有field raw data，过几天你就会知道，不要太傻。
: FL Hillary 6，还玩啥啊。
【在 u****q 的大作中提到】
: FL Hillary +6，还玩啥啊。
| j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | | f*********1
发帖数: 2518 | | t*****n
发帖数: 2578 | 9 哇塞，稀拉拉在各个民调全面领先，赢腚了，赢腚了！！！！ |
|
