c********i
发帖数: 102 | 1 仔细看了一下本版战友推荐的这个分析，感到我们其实还可以做更多事情。
fivethirtyeight.com的Nate Silver说，如果Trump赢得Amish人的支持，那么希拉里就
不可能在大选中胜出。一点背景：Amish人勤劳简朴，恪守传统，对使用现代化的机器
有很多限制，大部分人没有车。他们往年一般不参与太多政治，但是今年很多人愿意投
票，保卫传统价值观。
已经有宾州的朋友在支持Amish人，提供交通。但是是否其它州的朋友也可能行动呢？
根据这个分析，Amish人居住的州包括如下摇摆州：宾州，俄亥俄，弗吉尼亚，密歇根
和佛罗里达。宾州和俄亥俄州最多。
下面这个帖子有Ａｍｉｓｈ ＰＡＣ的联系方式。
http://impeachobamatoday.blogspot.com/2016/11/amish-pac-for-trump-focuses-on.html
虽然现在联系有点晚，但是大家还是行动起来，看看在自己投票之外，是否可以帮助他
们做点什么。我已经发过邮件给他们，有什么回复会来更新。
最后一战了!
According to statistician Nate Silver of the website fivethirtyeight.com,
there are no possible scenarios in which Hillary Clinton can win with Donald
Trump carrying the Amish vote.
“The Amish have their highest numbers in perennial swing states like
Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana, and Iowa,” Silver noted. “They also
have strong numbers in reliably Democratic states like Michigan, Illinois,
and New York, meaning that Hillary will lose those states as well. There is
also a sizeable community in Florida which, while not as large as it is in
the Midwest, is still large enough to turn Florida for Trump. Over the next
two weeks, you can expect Hillary to enter into a state of freefall in all
of my predictive models.”
http://abcnews.com.co/amish-america-commit-vote-donald-trump-mathematically-guaranteeing-presidential-victory/ |
