g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 1 No, the Electoral College won’t make Clinton president instead of Trump
by Andrew Prokop
......
In the past, I have warned of the risk that rogue electors could throw the
outcome of a presidential election to a losing candidate. But there are many
reasons why it’s not going to happen this year.
1) The Trump state electors are Republican Party stalwarts or activists
chosen during state party deliberations — check out this excellent Politico
feature “The People Who Pick the President” to see who some of them are.
Almost always, the parties do a good enough job of vetting their respective
electoral slates to ensure that they will indeed loyally back their party’s
presidential nominee.
The Republican Party clearly ended up falling behind Trump, and any
Republican elector who abandons him would be defying the will of not only
their state’s voters but also the party generally. And while there actually
are some Trump skeptics who are electors, they’ve pretty much all said
they’d affirm the results in their states.
2) Trump now looks likely to end up with 306 electors to Clinton’s 232. So
it’s not as if one or two electors could make the difference. Thirty-seven
electors would have to desert Trump to deprive him of his majority. That’s
a lot.
3) These electors wouldn’t just have to desert Trump. Simply depriving
Trump of 270 votes without giving Clinton herself 270 would throw the
election to the GOP-controlled House of Representatives, which is certain to
award the presidency to Trump. To prevent Trump’s election, they’d all
have to affirmatively back Clinton.
Keep in mind that hardly any of even Trump’s strongest critics in the GOP
went so far as to actually endorse Hillary Clinton over him. Mitt Romney,
Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Lindsey Graham, John McCain, and George W. Bush all
refused to go so far, saying instead they’d vote for no one or write in
somebody else.
4) Any large-scale defections from Trump would surely be disputed by his
supporters in those states, who may well just send in a conflicting set of
electoral votes. And an 1887 law holds that if states send in multiple
conflicting sets of electoral college votes, Congress gets to vote on which
ones to recognize. The Republican-controlled Congress would obviously not go
along with an attempt by electors to steal the presidency for Hillary
Clinton.
5) Hillary Clinton has conceded the election and recognized Donald Trump as
the winner. There is no sign that she would go along with or participate in
this endeavor.
6) Most importantly, there are democratic norms. The broader reason we’ve
only had nine faithless electors in the past 80 years or so, despite the
enormous power they seem to have, is that it’s widely believed that picking
the president isn’t their job anymore. Their job is to affirm the results
in their states.
In summary, what people are talking about is getting 37 Republican Party
activists expected to vote for Trump to essentially steal the election for
Hillary Clinton in defiance of the will of the people in their states and
the widely recognized rules of the presidential contest, even though Clinton
herself doesn’t want them to. Not going to happen.
......
http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/11/11/13588048/electoral-college-petition-clinton-trump | f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | | g******t
发帖数: 18158 | | g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 4 我记得我前几天就转了这篇的，但找不到了，只好再转一次。 | x********e
发帖数: 2275 | | c**********t
发帖数: 2 | 6 People who think they just saved some tax and resisted AA are delusional.
They just got bitch-slapped:
http://www.npr.org/2016/11/17/502476139/were-not-going-away-alt-right-leader-on-voice-in-trump-administration
many
Politico
.
respective
【在 g********2 的大作中提到】
: No, the Electoral College won’t make Clinton president instead of Trump
: by Andrew Prokop
: ......
: In the past, I have warned of the risk that rogue electors could throw the
: outcome of a presidential election to a losing candidate. But there are many
: reasons why it’s not going to happen this year.
: 1) The Trump state electors are Republican Party stalwarts or activists
: chosen during state party deliberations — check out this excellent Politico
: feature “The People Who Pick the President” to see who some of them are.
: Almost always, the parties do a good enough job of vetting their respective
|
|
