Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | | d******8
发帖数: 1972 | | q*********u
发帖数: 9501 | 3 不会！
昨天走的是v型，今天是confirm这个V. | d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 4 Russell Investments' Steve Wood has a 1,300 year-end target for the S&P 500
and he's sticking to it. From current levels that means Mr. Wood needs about
a 9% rally between now and the market close on December 30th. Markets
certainly have the volatility to pull off a move of that size but it's going
to require a sharp u-turn in sentiment. With the "headwinds" blowing like a
gale, the onus is on Mr. Wood to explain how we get there from here.
Wood starts by acknowledging the concerns. "You've got a huge question mark
which is 'how badly can politicians screw things up this week?'" He's
talking about Europe, but clearly the question applies to the entire Western
world at this point. Despite domestic bungling Wood insists "the source of
risk causing volatility is coming from Europe."
Wood says getting the Eurozone off our front page is the first step for his
rally. "When those European dark clouds pull aside and earnings and economic
strength in the U.S. show through you're getting close to that 1,275 - 1,
300 on the S&P," he says.
An improvement would seem impossible at the moment but Wood says they
already have the playbook. "Europe is clearly in a Bear Stearns environment,
" he says. That's a good and a bad thing. The bad is a seizure of the
financial markets as interbank lending comes to a terrifying halt. The good
part is America dealt with the real Bear Stearns and came up with a solution
, stop gap and flawed though it was.
In addition to "Les TARP" Wood says the Eurozone needs to rid itself of
Greece and create enough liquidity to stop the run on the banks, thereby
eliminating the contagion risk making investors so tweaky. Do that, says
Wood, and investors will finally see an improving economic picture in the U.
S., a resumption of growth in China, and improved emerging markets.
Plug those into the mix and Wood sees 1,275 to 1,300 on the S&P 500 as a
conservative target, if not for year end then certainly during the first
quarter of 2012.
There are a lot of "ifs" in Wood's thesis, not the least of which being the
idea that Europe can deal with the amputation of Greece and what he says is
the end of Europe as we know it without triggering a global market crash.
The jury is out on whether or not a plan that could save Europe would be
possible with a unified Europe, let alone what we have now.
IF such Europe stops fighting long enough to put together a coherent
centralized banking arm, THEN 1,300 is a realistic level. Until then even
Wood realizes his target is on hold, at best.
. | Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | 5 我说那会儿强烈的感觉...
因为拉起来的太早，也太快，酱紫的话，今天会收大绿；但不可能收大绿，要收大绿也
是明天的事，既然只能收小绿甚至小红，那么后面还有的跌
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: YY是从那里看出来的？我也学学。
| d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 6 谢谢丫丫的解释。
【在 Y**N 的大作中提到】
: 我说那会儿强烈的感觉...
: 因为拉起来的太早，也太快，酱紫的话，今天会收大绿；但不可能收大绿，要收大绿也
: 是明天的事，既然只能收小绿甚至小红，那么后面还有的跌
| f******e
发帖数: 6488 | | s***7
发帖数: 1644 | | Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | 9 虽然这儿是我归处之一，但你看我还能去哪儿？
【在 s***7 的大作中提到】
: YY跑这儿来了，哈哈，欢迎啊～～
| G*******1
发帖数: 755 | 10 哈哈，丫丫还在打赌啊？
股版都不去了阿
【在 Y**N 的大作中提到】
: 虽然这儿是我归处之一，但你看我还能去哪儿？
| Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | 11 我去了，全部身家都没了，1300个伪币呢，要我跳股市了~~
【在 G*******1 的大作中提到】
: 哈哈，丫丫还在打赌啊？
: 股版都不去了阿
| l*********m
发帖数: 16971 | 12 古板没好人，就在这呆着，挺好
【在 Y**N 的大作中提到】
: 我去了，全部身家都没了，1300个伪币呢，要我跳股市了~~
| T*********s
发帖数: 17839 | 13 股版是社会的微缩版
【在 l*********m 的大作中提到】
: 古板没好人，就在这呆着，挺好
| Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | 14 好人也是有的，呵呵，要 允许多元化
【在 l*********m 的大作中提到】
: 古板没好人，就在这呆着，挺好
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