m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 1 AdKh bf flop bet 20$.
4 people called including big blind.
flop Kd3d7d, everyone checked to me, I bet 35$.
big blind checked raised to 135$, other players folded.
Since he only have 140$ left after his raise, I have two options now all in
or fold.
Which way should I go? What kind of card he may have?
This is a very typical situation in cash game. | k******t
发帖数: 257 | 2 This guy could only have made flush or set if people followed common sense
not to bluff the multiway pot especially this highly coordinated board. If
you play by math, the odds never jutify the call to put 240 more for 390. I
think there was exact same situation on 06 wsop, the aussie guy who won it
fold top pair nut flush draw to a raise on flop and the othe guy got set.
But in ring game, it's not much fun to fold the hand like this. Also there
maybe donks in blind calling K7s or even 37s for
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: AdKh bf flop bet 20$.
: 4 people called including big blind.
: flop Kd3d7d, everyone checked to me, I bet 35$.
: big blind checked raised to 135$, other players folded.
: Since he only have 140$ left after his raise, I have two options now all in
: or fold.
: Which way should I go? What kind of card he may have?
: This is a very typical situation in cash game.
| m*****i
发帖数: 1873 | 3 This is a good guess.
I didn't have any information about this guy.
If he got two pairs I will get enough odds.
Other situation I didn't have enough odds.
One possilbe case is that he got QdK? but not likely.
I called. he showed Qd2d, and nothing came later.
In fact, I should fold. The way he play he got flush more likely, with 2
pairs, he may all in already. | l********r
发帖数: 868 | 4 Yes it's very typical. I'll give out my analysis. But in the real game, the
calculation doesn't have to be so accurate. You only need to think about how
likely he has a made hand.
The pot is $115 before his check-raise. So you need to determine if you
should use $275 to win a $390 pot, or about 1.4:1.
1) if he has a made flush, you have 7 outs (ignore all runner runner cases),
or about 30% chance to win.
2) if he holds a set (KK is unlikely, assume it's 3 or 7), then you have
about 11 outs, or a
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: AdKh bf flop bet 20$.
: 4 people called including big blind.
: flop Kd3d7d, everyone checked to me, I bet 35$.
: big blind checked raised to 135$, other players folded.
: Since he only have 140$ left after his raise, I have two options now all in
: or fold.
: Which way should I go? What kind of card he may have?
: This is a very typical situation in cash game.
| l********r
发帖数: 868 | 5 I think in a tournament, the chance of made hand is much lower than that in
a cash game. People have to be more aggressive in tournaments.
I
it
【在 k******t 的大作中提到】
: This guy could only have made flush or set if people followed common sense
: not to bluff the multiway pot especially this highly coordinated board. If
: you play by math, the odds never jutify the call to put 240 more for 390. I
: think there was exact same situation on 06 wsop, the aussie guy who won it
: fold top pair nut flush draw to a raise on flop and the othe guy got set.
: But in ring game, it's not much fun to fold the hand like this. Also there
: maybe donks in blind calling K7s or even 37s for
| l********r
发帖数: 868 | 6 I put him on QdJd at first. Q2 is not a very good call preflop.
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This is a good guess.
: I didn't have any information about this guy.
: If he got two pairs I will get enough odds.
: Other situation I didn't have enough odds.
: One possilbe case is that he got QdK? but not likely.
: I called. he showed Qd2d, and nothing came later.
: In fact, I should fold. The way he play he got flush more likely, with 2
: pairs, he may all in already.
| l********r
发帖数: 868 | 7 one correction: you already bet $35, so it's $240 more for you to win a $390
pot. a little more favorable.
the
how
),
60%
【在 l********r 的大作中提到】
: Yes it's very typical. I'll give out my analysis. But in the real game, the
: calculation doesn't have to be so accurate. You only need to think about how
: likely he has a made hand.
: The pot is $115 before his check-raise. So you need to determine if you
: should use $275 to win a $390 pot, or about 1.4:1.
: 1) if he has a made flush, you have 7 outs (ignore all runner runner cases),
: or about 30% chance to win.
: 2) if he holds a set (KK is unlikely, assume it's 3 or 7), then you have
: about 11 outs, or a
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