h***e
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 19:36:45 2010, 美东) 提到:
Will we see a rebound tomorrow? Statistically, yes, because 28 out of 41
times, the day after a Major Distribution Day (NYSE Down Volume to NYSE Up
Volume Ratio > 9), such as today, was a green day.
http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com/2010/05/05202010-after-bell-quick-summary.html
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dzry67 (碧水) 于 (Thu May 20 19:39:39 2010, 美东) 提到:
28/41 = 0.682
Lucky_D; You look very cool.
I just hope there is a bounce back tomorrow morning.
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yysqq (一叶锁清秋) 于 (Thu May 20 19:45:22 2010, 美东) 提到:
完了，我也是那样想的。
我们青蛙们都那样想，肯定就不绿了
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 19:47:21 2010, 美东) 提到:
连lili都抄底了，我不怕了lol
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Thu May 20 19:56:08 2010, 美东) 提到:
I'd like to put TA indicators in the context of wave structure.
A major distribution day in Wave 3 will probably be followed by
another major distribution day later in Wave 5. Its rebound is merely
a Wave 4 -- bear raising his claw for the next smash.
On the other hand, a major distribution day in Wave 5 could be the
real capitulation.
of
41
NYSE Up
quick-summary.html
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edn (买啥啥猪) 于 (Thu May 20 19:57:05 2010, 美东) 提到:
我也喜欢kickass里的那个小姑娘。
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 19:59:00 2010, 美东) 提到:
啥叫distribution day ？
是看涨把明天？坏鱼，我等着押菠菜呢，谢谢啊
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edn (买啥啥猪) 于 (Thu May 20 19:59:53 2010, 美东) 提到:
我的理解就是放量下跌的日子。
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Qingyuan98 (春江秋月) 于 (Thu May 20 20:00:30 2010, 美东) 提到:
师父说：根据目前市场对几个消息的反应，很难说明天会绿还是红，明天跟着感觉走。
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 20:06:50 2010, 美东) 提到:
你说明天是有好消息才反弹还是会无缘无故反弹？
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 20:07:31 2010, 美东) 提到:
谢谢阿
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NakedBoss (贪狼) 于 (Thu May 20 20:07:37 2010, 美东) 提到:
不会绿的，要绿也是周一吧
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Qingyuan98 (春江秋月) 于 (Thu May 20 20:08:03 2010, 美东) 提到:
师父说：根据经验，明天可能还要消化今天金融改革投票结果。下星期牛们出来High吧
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edn (买啥啥猪) 于 (Thu May 20 20:11:38 2010, 美东) 提到:
留在回帖里就淹没了。
Distribution Days Explained
######################################################################
In Summary
To remember what a distribution day is, remember the following:
1. When you think of “distribution” think of distribute, or SELLING, or
the color RED
2. In a distribution day, there is simply more selling than buying.
3. To be considered distribution, there has to be more volume, or shares
traded, that day versus the day before.
Put those together and you get the definition. So what is a distribution day
? A distribution day is simply a day that a stock ends the day down overall
on greater volume than the day prior.
######################################################################
Earlier this year I wrote on accumulation days and how they worked, well you
can’t have accumulation and leave out distribution right!? So, this
investor education article will explain distribution days, how they work,
and what they mean, in of course ST 101 fashion.
1st Point, Distribution = Selling
Distribution is simply the word, “distribute” with the “ion” tacked on!
So, first thing is first, to distribute something means to divide or give
out, deal out, disperse, etc.
When I relate distribution to volume, or the amount of shares traded in a
given day, I simply think of “selling”. Since we are giving out, dispering
, etc. shares we really are selling our shares inna sense. So, the first
major point to note about distribution days is that it is related to the
SELLING of shares, not buying (which is accumulation).
2nd Point, More Selling than Buying
Once we can relate distribution as selling, you can begin to see that it is
not a good thing. In the stock market, when people are distributing or
selling their shares, the stock is most likely falling in value. RED is the
color that is almost always related to selling of stock.
We also know though that in any given day in the stock market, there is both
buying and selling going on. There is not one day where there is simply ALL
sellers and no buyers (even though with some stock crashes it may seem that
way). BUT, there are days were there is simply more selling than buying.
For simplicity sake, if there are more buyers than sellers, then we can
assume that the stock will end UP overall on the day. If there are more
sellers than buyers, then we assume that the stock will end DOWN overall on
the day. Which makes up our second point about distribution days, in a
distribution day, there is more SELLING than buying, and the stock as a
result ends the day DOWN.
3rd Point, Greater Volume than Day Prior
This is the most important piece of the puzzle when looking at distribution
days. For a day to be considered a distribution day, the stock not only has
to end down overall, but there also has to be more VOLUME traded than the
day before.
Very easy to understand, because we know that volume is simply the number of
shares traded in a given day. So, if yesterday stock XYZ traded let’s say
100,000 shares, then for today to be distribution the stock must end the day
down overall, and trade more than 100,000 shares. In lingo fashion, what
happened is the stock was down on greater volume than the day prior!
Advanced Education, “Heavy” distribution
Just for fun for those 202 readers, the term “heavy” can be added to make
a day a “heavy distribution day” with the right circumstances.
For a distribution day to be considered heavy, the volume not only needs to
be greater than the day prior, but ALSO greater than the average daily
volume. You can find the average daily volume (3 month average) on yahoo
finance right below where it lists the total volume on the day. Just look
for “AVG VOL”.
In Summary
To remember what a distribution day is, remember the following:
1. When you think of “distribution” think of distribute, or SELLING, or
the color RED
2. In a distribution day, there is simply more selling than buying.
3. To be considered distribution, there has to be more volume, or shares
traded, that day versus the day before.
Put those together and you get the definition. So what is a distribution day
? A distribution day is simply a day that a stock ends the day down overall
on greater volume than the day prior.
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 20:17:12 2010, 美东) 提到:
明天涨要不打赌？50伪币？
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Qingyuan98 (春江秋月) 于 (Thu May 20 20:23:52 2010, 美东) 提到:
师父说：金融明天可能不会涨，原材料有可能。
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hymie (知足常乐，热情谦卑) 于 (Thu May 20 20:27:23 2010, 美东) 提到:
你让他自己上来说吧。。我看你打字够累的
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Qingyuan98 (春江秋月) 于 (Thu May 20 20:32:19 2010, 美东) 提到:
谢谢小妹妹的理解。他说Keepbuying自杀了,没法来俱乐部。
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hymie (知足常乐，热情谦卑) 于 (Thu May 20 20:33:07 2010, 美东) 提到:
你让他赶紧诈尸，人民群众，广大青蛙需要他！
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Thu May 20 20:36:29 2010, 美东) 提到:
It will have a rebound. However, in this wave structure, the rebound is
more likely a Wave 2 or 4 type of rebound, which means another impulsive
down wave will follow.
I'm really not sure how long the rebound can last, or if it can hold for a
whole day. I would bet on red, but my weibi lost entirely, so take my
opinion just as a grain of salt.
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Thu May 20 20:37:29 2010, 美东) 提到:
ah? why? how come...
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 20:38:10 2010, 美东) 提到:
原来你说的wave一天都有好几波啊？
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Thu May 20 20:42:06 2010, 美东) 提到:
at different time scale ah.
Looking from 2009 March low, now it is in Wave A.
Looking from the highest of 2010 April, now it is in Wave 3 or Wave c.....
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Qingyuan98 (春江秋月) 于 (Thu May 20 20:45:20 2010, 美东) 提到:
师父说，如果真如你这样数波准确，那庄家要赔死了
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phenix0 (清风道场－super傻蛋) 于 (Thu May 20 20:51:56 2010, 美东) 提到:
你师父就喜欢被大s骂
下次有机会,还要炸你师父的40
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spunkybunny (桃乐丝的兔兔) 于 (Thu May 20 20:52:34 2010, 美东) 提到:
我也是，超可爱的～～～
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Luckydevil (BE COOL) 于 (Thu May 20 20:59:21 2010, 美东) 提到:
真是完全lost了
我的mee听天由命了5555
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yysqq (一叶锁清秋) 于 (Thu May 20 21:04:22 2010, 美东) 提到:
没事，他师父是老牛，牛毛多着呢
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Thu May 20 23:50:26 2010, 美东) 提到:
根本不用担心。99.99%的散户都连TA都不懂。
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hymie (知足常乐，热情谦卑) 于 (Sat May 22 12:03:38 2010, 美东) 提到:
zan...额看到了
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