p*****a
发帖数: 3634 | 1 ZZ from Q's blog
My personal opinion: If CO moves PD in March 2012 based on the inventory, he
should move it by 1 year atleast.
Reason:
a. EB2 as a whole has 30K applications.
b. The year 2008 from EB2IC added only 5K applications.
c. Granted that Inventory does not have 2009 data.
d. But looking at 2008 if we assume 2009 will also add 5K applications.
e. Total EB2 will be about 36K.
f. Total EB2 that will be documentarily qualified will be 31K (little less
than 15% I485 rejection rate). So total EB2 Demand as of Feb 2012 VB 32K.
g. EB2 as whole usually gets 40K quota + 10K from EB1+EB5+EB4. Even if we
assume 5K from EB1+EB5+EB5. Number of applications needed for FY 2012 for
EB2 is 45K.
h. So USCIS still needs 14K documentarily qualified applications for FY2012
for EB2 as a whole. That turns out to be about 16.5K I485s.
i. Therefore to get 16.5K I485 applications, CO has to move the dates by
atleast 1 year (infact they have to make it current if we go by the 2008
I485 count of 5K)
NOTE: I know that there are many people with PD in 2008 that have not
applied and hence we see low numbers but Mr. CO does not have a way to see
that.
Feel free to tear my logic apart. | l****n
发帖数: 3081 | | p*****a
发帖数: 3634 | 3 lost job after 485 application
【在 l****n 的大作中提到】
: EB2有15%的485悲剧？
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