l*******e
发帖数: 34 | 1 看了几个贴子，突然想起：为什么还没有人提出一个关于Zero的conspiracy theory呢
？昨天有人转载IBD的文章讲Zero当年如何由阿拉伯势力找人推荐进Harvard Law
School，今天又有人贴了video中间Zero“口误”说到“my Muslim faith”。在联想到
Zero1996年竞选Illinois senate的时候就立马有高人相助disqualify所有其他候选人
。2004年DNC又被安排讲话。这次竞选班子比Hillary的还要老到。这不是个Manchurian
candidate吗？
BTW，Zero说自己管理几千竞选团队是executive experience是BS。所有人的竞选班子
从strategy到operation都是campaign manager管理，候选人只负责抛头露面，都不出
现在war room里。这次Hillary就输在用人错误上。 |
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b**********s
发帖数: 34 | 2 Glib, voluble and unscripted, Sen. Biden is liable to say anything on a
given day. That's why it pays to listen carefully to what he repeats —
because it's obviously something he's thought about.
"Mark my words," Biden said in San Francisco last Saturday. "With the next,
first six months of this administration, if we win, they're going to — we'
re going to face a major international challenge. Because they're going to
want to test him, just like they did young John Kennedy. They're going to
want |
|
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b**********s
发帖数: 34 | 4 Capital Punishment
By INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY | Posted Friday, October 24, 2008 4:20 PM PT
Tax Policy: Democratic nominee Barack Obama touts his tax plan as just a way
to "spread the wealth." But to us it looks like something quite different:
a declaration of war on capital. |
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c******s
发帖数: 428 | 5 IBD/TIPP Polls were the most accurate polls from the 2004 presidential race.
Here is what they are saying as of 10/23/08
"McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day an is now just 1.1 points
behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is
making headway with middle- and working class voters, and has surged 10
points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has
also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."
In addition, |
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b**********s
发帖数: 34 | 6 Assuming both candidates intend to advance U.S. interests abroad, it bears
looking at how McCain and Obama would conduct foreign policy, , that
everyday diplomacy that affects how the U.S. is viewed and can influence
other states.
McCain is the ace in foreign policy, not the much-applauded Obama. McCain
has played pivotal roles in opening Vietnam to trade, passing the North
American Free Trade Agreement and encouraging the color revolutions of
Eastern Europe. He's visited most countries and know |
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b**********s
发帖数: 34 | 7 Ronald Reagan: No. 6 of 43 presidents, inaugurated within weeks of his 70th
birthday.
• Harry Truman: No. 7, inaugurated at age 60.
• Dwight Eisenhower: No. 8, inaugurated at 62.
The three youngest presidents since WWII were:
• John Kennedy: ranked No. 15, inaugurated at 43.
• Bill Clinton: No. 22, inaugurated at 46.
• Jimmy Carter: No. 34, inaugurated at 52.
In a 2000 survey by the Federalist Society and the Journal, 78 scholars in
history, politics and law were as |
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y****t
发帖数: 10233 | 8 ObamaCare: Unions Get Better Grandfathers
Unions that had a health plan under a collective bargaining agreement by
March 23, 2010, can switch insurers as long as the collective bargaining
deal is in effect and not forfeit the grandfathered exemptions from many
ObamaCare provisions. But anyone else — large business, small business,
individual — who switches carriers loses their grandfathered status.
IBD reported in Monday’s issue that the administration estimates that most
employers’ health plans |
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a*******1
发帖数: 1554 | 9 金融危机前交易业务（销售交易+自营交易）占投行营收的60%-70%，现在由于去杠杆化
这方面业务的比重下降了，所以传统业务相对上升了，但不代表传统业务的规模扩大了
......那些IBD的人还是得每性情工作八九十个小时......
投行关自营交易是真，但不代表自营交易不好，那是因为投行的自营交易基本上是做复
杂的衍生品，现在这类衍生品没有了，于是就关闭了，跟高频交易没半点关系...
投行搞高频交易的组很少的，高盛的qis不算，摩根的pdt可以算，瑞士信贷那个组好像
才10个人，很小的，所以投行在这方面根本不是主流。。。。真正厉害的公司如
renaissance, de shaw比投行难进何止百倍，我猜你连他们的面试都没拿过吧。。。。
再说投行的收入那么低，工作时间那么长，为什么要进投行？谁都知道在金融市场买方
是比卖方更轻松、赚钱更多的行当，所以很少有买方的人转去投行。。。。
总之你的观点很奇怪就是了。。。。。。 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 10 Obamanomics In Action: Worst “Recovery” since the Great Depression
January 13, 2012 Posted by Rodney Graves
Unlike much of Europe, the working age population of the United States is
not contracting. Our actual work force, as in those actively working and
looking for work, is another matter…
Nearly 1 Million Workers Vanished Under Obama
By John Merline INVESTOR’S BUSINESS DAILY
…
In the 30 months since the recession officially ended, nearly 1 million
people have dropped out o... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 11 By JOHN MERLINE, INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY Posted 01/12/2012 04:29 PM ET
Initial jobless claims unexpectedly jumped by 24,000 last week to 399,000 as
more workers lost their jobs, the Labor Department said Thursday. At the
same time, the economy continues to lose workers.
In the 30 months since the recession officially ended, nearly 1 million
people have dropped out of the labor force — they aren't working, and they
aren't looking — according to data from Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics.
In t... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 12 Green Energy: Another stimulus-backed solar panel maker, one the president
touted in a weekly radio address, lays off most of its workers. The
definition of insanity is doing the same thing and expecting a different
result.
President Obama is the Little Orphan Annie of presidents. He is always
singing that the sun will come out tomorrow and shine on the American
economy and his dreams of green energy. Yet companies such as Solyndra have
proved the rule rather than the exception, producing more p... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 13 Posted 04/18/2012 06:34 PM ET
Special Relationship: As Argentina marshals diplomatic support for its claim
on Britain's Falklands Islands, the best President Obama can declare in
response is U.S. "neutrality." It's an insult to our top ally — and trouble
for us.
One can only wonder what an irresponsible Evita Peron wannabe like
Argentinian President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner must think when she
sees the shabby way President Obama treats America's leading ally, the
United Kingdom.
At the wee... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 14 Posted 05/10/2012 07:07 PM ET
Election '12: The one thing that can be concluded from President Obama's
sudden "evolving" support for gay marriage ahead of a big Hollywood
fundraiser is that money talks. It's how he governs. Just don't call it
democratic.
Politicians are often rightly criticized for twisting with the winds of
polls. Obama is different, and not in a good way. Instead of making
decisions based on principle — which might occasionally go against polls —
Obama's decisions are based pu... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 15 By Clarice Feldman
Whether he resigns or is removed or spends the rest of this year responding
to Congressional inquiries, Attorney general Holder has treated the
Department of Justice as a partisan arm of the Obama Administration. Now
and for the foreseeable future he is just another Albatross around Obama's
neck.
Fast and Furious
Let's review the case against Eric Holder.
In the forefront of the news is the Department's role in an operation known
as Fast & furious and his lies, obfuscation... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 16 Posted 06/20/2012 07:01 PM ET
The Obama Record: The most frightening aspect of this president may not be
his radical ideology but his rank dishonesty in selling that ideology. Now
he's been caught lying about family racism.
In "Dreams from My Father," his 1995 memoir, Obama used the story of his
paternal grandfather's imprisonment and torture at the hands of British
colonists in Kenya as an example of white cruelty. He claimed Hussein
Onyango Obama was unjustly detained for six months before bei... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 17 By: John Hayward
8/16/2012 10:17 AM
President Obama loves to tout the General Motors bailout as the signature “
achievement” of his presidency, even though current taxpayer losses on the
deal are estimated at over $25 billion. The exact degree to which the rest
of us got soaked so Obama could give GM to his union allies changes
constantly as the value of the stock held by We the People fluctuates. You
don’t remember being asked if you would like to become a GM stockholder and
willingly acc... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 18 RCP Average 9/4 - 9/11 -- -- 48.4 44.9 Obama +3.5
FOX News 9/9 - 9/11 1056 LV 3.0 48 43 Obama +5
Reuters/Ipsos 9/7 - 9/10 873 LV 3.4 48 45 Obama +3
Rasmussen (Wednesday) 3-Day Tracking 1500 LV 3.0 46 45
Obama +1
Gallup (Wednesday) 7-Day Tracking 3050 RV 2.0 50 43 Obama
+7
ABC News/Wash Post 9/7 - 9/9 710 LV 4.5 49 48 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 9/7 - 9/9 709 LV 3.5 52 46 ... 阅读全帖 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 19 It includes data from all available national polls of likely voters (LV).
Sample size: 6130
Romeny: 2973, 48.5%
Obama: 2858, 46.6%
Polling organization Date Sample R vs O
Rasmussen Tracking 10/6 - 10/8 1500 LV 48 48
Pew Research 10/4 - 10/7 1112 LV 49 45
Gallup Daily 10/2 - 10/8 2721 LV 49 47
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/2 - 10/8 797 LV 47 45 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 20 Rasmussen Tracking 10/9 - 10/11 1500 LV 3.0 48 47 Romney +1
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 10/8 - 10/10 1360 LV 2.7 47 46 Romney +1
IBD/TIPP Tracking 10/6 - 10/11 837 LV 3.5 46 46 Tie
Gallup Tracking 10/5 - 10/11 2700 LV 2.0 49 47 Romney +2
FOX News 10/7 - 10/9 1109 LV 3.0 46 45 Romney +1
Pew Research 10/4 - 10/7 1112 LV 3.4 49 45 Romney +4
WashTimes/JZ Analytics* 10/5 - 10/7 800 LV 3.5 45 45 Tie |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 21 Gallup Tracking Romney +7
IBD/TIPP Tracking Obama +6
从来没有听说过任何两个Tracking poll 有这么大差距啊 |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 22 不对，
你自己搜搜
Poll Accuracy in the 2008 Presidential election
最准的是Rasmussen 和 Pew
IBD 排第12
Gallup排第17
这次简单说是两个烂poll打起来了 |
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j****r
发帖数: 192 | 23 And this IBD/TIPP is consistent with all polls? Keep living in your bubble
but won't be long.This poll is a garbage. See the fluctuations compared to
yesterday and the previous day. Several left wing polls are really in
desperate and freaked out mode. They don't want credibility any more. Or I
bet they will do adjustment until close the the election day. MSM and left
wing polls are in panic and trying whatever they can to drag 0bama through
the finish line. People with conscience will give them ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********w
发帖数: 2539 | 24 笑死了，IBD/TIPP给O+6，Gallup给R+7，Rasmussen是R+2,CNN是R+1，你说说看是哪家
的poll比较离谱点? |
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h****g
发帖数: 2216 | 25 我还是贴一下这个排名吧
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist Colle... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 26 October 26, 2012 by Doug Johnson
New details about the assassination of Ambassador Christopher Stevens and
three other Americans in Benghazi, Libya are still coming out daily. Just
the other day we learned about e-mails from the Embassy in Tripoli sent to
the State Department and the White House situation room detailing the attack
in progress and that terrorists claimed responsibility. Now we are finding
out that the attack lasted for seven hours and that our government was
watching a live feed... 阅读全帖 |
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d***h
发帖数: 97 | 27 2008 Pollster Report Card
The table below is an assessment of pollster performance in the 2008
Presidential election. The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of
their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during
the month of October. The overall score is a weighted average of their
Accuracy and Consistency numbers. The weighting is 75% accuracy and 25%
consistency. Formula details are at the bottom of this page.
Poll Score Grade Accuracy C... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 28 让你看一下08年的排行榜，你是被CNN洗脑了吧？看看那些左媒，虽然黑哥当时正火红
，可信度还是排在最末。
Here is the list –
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 29 Ramssason and Gallup are among worst ones.
Here's the full list (polls with an asterisk were more favorable to Obama,
and polls without were more favorable to Romney):
1. PPP (D)*
1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP*
3. YouGov*
4. Ipsos/Reuters*
5. Purple Strategies
6. NBC/WSJ
6. CBS/NYT
6. YouGov/Economist
9. UPI/CVOTER
10. IBD/TIPP
11. Angus-Reid*
12. ABC/WP*
13. Pew Research*
13. Hartford Courant/UConn*
15. CNN/ORC
15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
15. FOX News
15. Washington Times/JZ A... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 31 CRA “Clearly Did” Lead To Risky Loans
February 9, 2013 by Rodney Graves
Democratic apologists hardest hit, Wizbang readers least surprised.
A new study by National Bureau of Economic Research confirms that the
aggressive expansion of the “Community Reinvestment Act” did indeed result
in the high risk loans which precipitated the economic crisis of 2008.
New Study Finds CRA ‘Clearly’ Did Lead To Risky Lending
By Paul Sperry
Investors Business Daily
Democrats and the media insist the... 阅读全帖 |
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w***n
发帖数: 1519 | 32 大嘴皮子一张，债务就减了；再一张，Obamacare 已经减慢health care cost的增长了。
http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/021313-644428-obama-st
“Already, the Affordable Care Act is helping to slow the growth of health-
care costs,”the president claimed Tuesday.
This ranks as one of the biggest State of the Union whoppers ever told.
In fact, not only are health-care costs climbing, but employers are also
shifting those costs onto the very "middle-class" families Obama spent much
of his speech championing. |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 33 This Is What Government-Run Health Care Looks Like
Posted 01/13/2014 06:24 PM ET
Socialized Medicine: More than two-thirds of the public don't think the
government can be trusted to run the nation's health care system
successfully. ObamaCare is proving these skeptics right.
The public might not agree on much these days, but one thing it
overwhelmingly believes is that government is ill-equipped to manage one-
sixth of the economy — 67% said so in the January IBD/TIPP poll.
This distrust has only... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 34 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: Military
标 题: 巴马总统很烦:多数美国人认为巴马是个failure
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 7 13:31:23 2014, 美东)
A clear majority of Americans describe President Obama's tenure as a "
failure" according to a new poll released Monday.
The survey from IBD/TIPP indicates that 53 percent of adults in the United
States now characterize Obama's presidency as a "failure," while 41 percent
chalk it up as a success. Half of the people who live in states won by Obama
see his ten... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 36 Trump Holds Firm; Cruz, Rubio, Carson Vie For 2nd: IBD Poll |
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l*****8
发帖数: 16949 | 37 床铺出去才是真正没活路。
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_pre
最新的两个民调：
3/29-3/31的McClatchy/Marist Poll,
Trump, Cruz, Kasich 对Clinton分别是-9, 0,+9,
Trump, Cruz, Kasich 对Sanders分别是-20, -12,-11,
3/28-4/2的IBD/TIPP Poll,
对Clinton是-12, -5, +7.
对Sanders是-17, -12, -3.
7个民调平均，对Clinton分别是-10.6, -2.5, +6.6.
对Sanders分别是 -16.5, -10.1, -2.7
无论对上谁，床铺的机会是最差的。不明白川粉们为什么觉得只有床铺出去能赢的机会
会比别人大。当然川粉会说婊子媒体搞假民调。问题是初选到现在床铺有几次表现比民
调好的？我的印象中几乎每次都比民调差。川粉觉得床铺能赢得底气到底是从哪里来的？
我不太在乎共和党谁出线。只要能赢，床铺我也捏着鼻子选了。问题是他能赢吗？有可
能... 阅读全帖 |
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C****t
发帖数: 3813 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 USelection 俱乐部 】
发信人: CalCat (北加猫), 信区: USelection
标 题: Trump完蛋了！克林顿在所有8个民调中领先 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 19 17:43:52 2016, 美东)
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: thighhigh (Thigh High), 信区: USANews
标 题: Trump完蛋了！克林顿在所有8个民调中领先
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 19 17:41:44 2016, 美东)
RCP Average 5/24 - 6/15 -- -- 44.1 38.3
Clinton +5.8
CBS News 6/9 - 6/13 1048 RV 4.0 43 37
Clinton +6
Rasmussen Reports 6/14 - 6/1... 阅读全帖 |
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S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 39 Dude... You seriously need to check out your mental state.
支持Trump与否是个可以讨论很久的命题。正反方说实话都可以说出道理。
没办法看到现实，那只能说明你智商和脑子出了问题。
RCP Average 6/16 - 6/29 -- -- 44.6 39.8 Clinton +4.8
---
IBD/TIPP 6/24 - 6/29 837 RV 3.5 44 40 Clinton +4
FOX News 6/26 - 6/28 1017 RV 3.0 44 38 Clinton +6
Rasmussen Reports 6/28 - 6/29 1000 LV 3.0 39 43 Trump +4
PPP (D) 6/27 - 6/28 947 RV 3.2 48 44 Clinton +4
Reuters/Ipsos 6/25 - 6/29 1247 RV 2.8 42 32 Clinton +10
Quinnipiac 6/21 - 6/27 1610 RV 2.4 42 4... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 40 Polls 9/13 ■ABC: C+8 ■RAS: C+4 ■REU: C+2 ■ECN: C+2 ■NBC: C+4 ■FP: C+3
■FOX: C+6 ■USA: C+7 ■USC: T+3 ■IBD: C+1 ■MON: C+7 ■CNN: T+1 ■PPP: C+5 |
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 41 可信吗？喜癞痢都这样子了还领先这么多？
：Polls 9/13 ■ABC: C+8 ■RAS: C+4 ■REU: C+2 ■ECN: C+2 ■NBC: C+4 ■FP: C+
3 ■FOX: C+6 ■USA: C+7 ■USC: T+3 ■IBD: C+1 ■MON: C+7 ■CNN: T+1 ■PPP: C
+5
：☆ 发自 iPhone 买买提 1.23.01 |
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z***e
发帖数: 1757 | 42 谨慎乐观。在四个有公布具体数字的poll里面(CBS, Reuters, IBD, Economist) ,创普
在无党派人士中领先平均12点。相比2012年exit poll，在无党派人士中，romney只领
先奥巴马5个点。 |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 43 去年最精确的IBD poll, 现在trump领先+2
很有意思
其他cnn, washington post 以前扁共和党的poll,现在 Hillary +10,哈哈这个完全搞笑 |
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l***o
发帖数: 7937 | 44 今年的民调，各民调机构之间结果差别太大。独立民调和affiliated民调结果差别太大。
有川普小幅领先的（Rasmussen，IBD/TIPP，Latimes/USC，PPD）
有稀婆大幅领先的（CNN，ABC/Wapo，Bloomberg）
有稀婆小幅领先的（Reuters)
不管结果如何，会有民调师跳楼的。 |
|
G**Y
发帖数: 33224 | 45 如果margin太大，会打击落后一方的积极性。这就是左媒的目的。
IBD polls是过去3界最准确的poll，Trump稳稳的领先2%。 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 46 才2%？我都不放心 误差范围里了
我觉得至少8%才能安心
我都被老bitch快恶心死了 还舔着脸在选
: 如果margin太大，会打击落后一方的积极性。这就是左媒的目的。
: IBD polls是过去3界最准确的poll，Trump稳稳的领先2%。
|
|
发帖数: 1 | 47 poll 没法统计的是有多少非法移民会投票。 今年的新形势， 是过去两三年里很多州
颁发给非法移民驾照。 这些人一旦获得驾照， 就可以去别的州换驾照， 就可以在任
何地方登记选民参加选举。 |
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C*******h
发帖数: 6095 | 48 分特。。。
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 1.0.6 |
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h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 49 非移相对于美国选民主体的总量不值一提 除非他们有组织有目的的转投几个关键州关
键选区
: poll 没法统计的是有多少非法移民会投票。 今年的新形势， 是过去两三年里
很多州
: 颁发给非法移民驾照。 这些人一旦获得驾照， 就可以去别的州换驾照， 就可
以在任
: 何地方登记选民参加选举。
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d****i
发帖数: 1038 | 50 不幸的是，这非常可能。前一阵夏洛特暴乱不是说大部分被抓的都是外州来的吗？这些
人可能本来是来北卡选举的，提前暴露了 |
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