n**********s
发帖数: 236 | 1 1. This year we got about 19k spillover. If we can get the same spillover
next year, 38k EB2&I need about 2 years get cleared up.
2. If more people convert from EB3 to EB2, it might take 3 years.
3. In addition to this, some people missed the 2007.7 event, so some people
with PD earlier than 2007.07 didn't get a chance to submit 485.
4. Furthermore, some people got married during the waiting, their spouses/
kids will consume more visa numbers.
Therefore, it may take up to 3-4 years to clear PD p | A****S
发帖数: 978 | 2 It makes sense and it's very good analysis.
Factor 2+3+4 means at least 20k extra pending 485 cases.
Also we need to consider the people with PD from 2007.07 to 2007.12. I think
the number is not small. Indians will have even more.
I think we need at least 4 years to move to PD2008. At least 6 years to move
to PD2010.
people
them
【在 n**********s 的大作中提到】
: 1. This year we got about 19k spillover. If we can get the same spillover
: next year, 38k EB2&I need about 2 years get cleared up.
: 2. If more people convert from EB3 to EB2, it might take 3 years.
: 3. In addition to this, some people missed the 2007.7 event, so some people
: with PD earlier than 2007.07 didn't get a chance to submit 485.
: 4. Furthermore, some people got married during the waiting, their spouses/
: kids will consume more visa numbers.
: Therefore, it may take up to 3-4 years to clear PD p
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