p***e
发帖数: 29053 | |
A****S
发帖数: 978 | 2 1. 3400 China PERM with PD 2007 were approved after July 2007.
2. Many people got married in the past five years.
These two factors can easily add up to 5000 extra demand in 2007.
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: 就是在这5年内结婚的EB2和NIW
|
J*****i
发帖数: 2622 | 3 最近有人贴了篇文章， 根据该文估算， PD在2007年八月以前， 没递上485 （miss
the boat)的中印申请人及家属的总额在10K左右。 |
w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 4 这不是最可怕的. 最可怕的是烙印eb3转eb2
【在 J*****i 的大作中提到】
: 最近有人贴了篇文章， 根据该文估算， PD在2007年八月以前， 没递上485 （miss
: the boat)的中印申请人及家属的总额在10K左右。
|
J*****i
发帖数: 2622 | 5 同意， 搞不好结果就是自己每年2803个的往前爬。前途严峻着呢。所以不知道大家都
high啥。
【在 w*******g 的大作中提到】
: 这不是最可怕的. 最可怕的是烙印eb3转eb2
|
w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 6 最后结果可能是2007PD在2020年达到
【在 J*****i 的大作中提到】
: 同意， 搞不好结果就是自己每年2803个的往前爬。前途严峻着呢。所以不知道大家都
: high啥。
|
a**n
发帖数: 2431 | 7 I think the worst case for 2007/6 is 2 years from now
This is pretty bleak propspect so I have no idea why ppl are partying here
【在 w*******g 的大作中提到】
: 最后结果可能是2007PD在2020年达到
|
w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 8 there are many with 07/2 priority date or earlier. They should get GC before
the summer end.
【在 a**n 的大作中提到】
: I think the worst case for 2007/6 is 2 years from now
: This is pretty bleak propspect so I have no idea why ppl are partying here
|
a**n
发帖数: 2431 | 9 probably true
but I also see many 08 or 07/11 PD quite optimistic now
before
【在 w*******g 的大作中提到】
: there are many with 07/2 priority date or earlier. They should get GC before
: the summer end.
|
a**n
发帖数: 2431 | 10 I am esp. confused why ppl believe next year we will clear 07 backlog
This seems highly impossible for me
adding back all those <07/07 pd that missed the 07 window, and indian eb3-eb
2 upgrade, we need at least another 20K+ spillover to just advance to the en
d of 07/06
;not to say 07/07 and 07/08
without another huge spillover next year, Chinese EB2 cannot advance to even
07/06
This is really bleak prospect
【在 a**n 的大作中提到】
: probably true
: but I also see many 08 or 07/11 PD quite optimistic now
:
: before
|
|
|
w*******g
发帖数: 9932 | 11 you can always be optimistic.
I got the worst story.
Before I got GC, I was laying on my bed thinking whether I should marry my
gf so
that she can get on the boat the same time.
Of course, the answer was negative and we ended up married after I got my GC.
At that time, I thought GC's I-130 petition takes a long time and should be
longer than Eb2. She is lucky to submit 485 before 2007/7. So I thought I
don't need to file I-130 since for sure she will get Eb2 approved faster.
How wrong I was. Family-based PD was moving like crazy last year and I filed
130 like many others. The FB2A moved just one day shy of the priority for
the 130 befor it retrogressed to prehistoric level.
Now I got stuck with the decision of whether to file citizenship next month.
I am sure that with my luck, once I got the citizenship, my wife's Eb2 will
be approved.
【在 a**n 的大作中提到】
: probably true
: but I also see many 08 or 07/11 PD quite optimistic now
:
: before
|
w***7
发帖数: 5568 | 12 呵呵，有几个08 or 07/11 PD 出来问问什么时候能排到交485结果把冷静派给引出来了
。做保守估计没问题，但那也是估计，你对于今年究竟有多少SO明年有多少或者没有的
相关消息有什么确实依据吗？如果没有就不要那么理直气壮出来给人泼冷水，觉得这个
版关心的人多了还是怎么的，多一些人关心有什么不好。 |
r****e
发帖数: 3109 | 13 there IS SO this year. that's enough reason for a small party.
【在 a**n 的大作中提到】
: I think the worst case for 2007/6 is 2 years from now
: This is pretty bleak propspect so I have no idea why ppl are partying here
|
s******n
发帖数: 340 | 14 Agree.
Plus, lots of perm cases from Atlata center were audited and did not
submit 485 applications. |
H*V
发帖数: 2770 | 15 isn't any more so in next couple of months? I thought there should be
similar so for next 3 months, i.e., 8000 so each month till sep,then all
2007/7 will be green |
