S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 1 Right after quarter end window dressing rally, Fed hold fire, Spaniard
struggle to sell their debt. |
z****l
发帖数: 5282 | 2 sit tight.
现在俺401K里75% cash，股市最近一直涨，都开始怀疑自己了。
【在 S**C 的大作中提到】
: Right after quarter end window dressing rally, Fed hold fire, Spaniard
: struggle to sell their debt.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 3 run away rallies always end up with sell offs that erase months gains
in days or even minutes.
We will see how it plays out.
【在 z****l 的大作中提到】
: sit tight.
: 现在俺401K里75% cash，股市最近一直涨，都开始怀疑自己了。
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 4 after selloffs that almost erased this years gain
I guess market is set to test new high
we are once again entering the topping process of this secular bear market
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: run away rallies always end up with sell offs that erase months gains
: in days or even minutes.
: We will see how it plays out.
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 5 You forget Greece::debt ceiling drama last year.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: after selloffs that almost erased this years gain
: I guess market is set to test new high
: we are once again entering the topping process of this secular bear market
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 6 those political dramas are never the real issue
the selloffs during the summers of 2010 and 2011 are simply due to the
end of QE and QE2.
this global casino is simply driven by the same liquidity issue.
【在 S**C 的大作中提到】
: You forget Greece::debt ceiling drama last year.
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 7 如果股市又继续赶顶，那bond会不会要开跌了？
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: those political dramas are never the real issue
: the selloffs during the summers of 2010 and 2011 are simply due to the
: end of QE and QE2.
: this global casino is simply driven by the same liquidity issue.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 8 at the current levels
I certainly like stocks better than bonds
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 如果股市又继续赶顶，那bond会不会要开跌了？
|
q****x
发帖数: 7404 | 9 spy 140->130 since then. buy some?
【在 z****l 的大作中提到】
: sit tight.
: 现在俺401K里75% cash，股市最近一直涨，都开始怀疑自己了。
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 10 a bumpy ride
but the market is certainly posing to at least test this year's high
a mixture of confusing signals with EU dramas makes it very hard to ride
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: after selloffs that almost erased this years gain
: I guess market is set to test new high
: we are once again entering the topping process of this secular bear market
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 11 dollar index is posting an ugly patten that might lead it to an intermediate
decline, which is likely to fuel the stock market to rally past this year's
high in the next 2-3 weeks
But my method is telling a quite significant pull back on the stock market
from later this month to late Sep. and early Oct. The low is likely to
test or run through this year's low made in June.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: a bumpy ride
: but the market is certainly posing to at least test this year's high
: a mixture of confusing signals with EU dramas makes it very hard to ride
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 12 dollar broke down sharply
and S&P hit a new intraday high since 2009
all as expected
the short term question is how the topping process for this round of rally
will play out.
Anyway, stock market is expected to resume its rising trend into
next year after a relatively large pullback
intermediate
s
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: dollar index is posting an ugly patten that might lead it to an intermediate
: decline, which is likely to fuel the stock market to rally past this year's
: high in the next 2-3 weeks
: But my method is telling a quite significant pull back on the stock market
: from later this month to late Sep. and early Oct. The low is likely to
: test or run through this year's low made in June.
|
