N********n
发帖数: 8363 | |
P********e
发帖数: 2610 | 2 真这样也够可怕的
不过现在几T下去了,PPI还是负的...
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 3
1) PPI/CPI are cooked #s
2) Hyperinflation happens in an exponential manner. It starts off slow
but then goes almost vertical when it reaches a boiling point and gives
you little time to respond.
【在 P********e 的大作中提到】
: 真这样也够可怕的
: 不过现在几T下去了,PPI还是负的...
|
P********e
发帖数: 2610 | 4 I think PPI data are real.
2.
it never happened in developed country ya.
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】
:
: 1) PPI/CPI are cooked #s
: 2) Hyperinflation happens in an exponential manner. It starts off slow
: but then goes almost vertical when it reaches a boiling point and gives
: you little time to respond.
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 5
Germany was a developed nation back in late 1910's. Argentina was the
best developed nation in South America until SHTF. If you monetize the
debt you head for hyperinflation regardless which nation it is.
【在 P********e 的大作中提到】
: I think PPI data are real.
: 2.
: it never happened in developed country ya.
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a**n
发帖数: 2431 | 6 Actually some asset prices are still going down for sure - like housing pric
es in general - and probably rent also
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】
:
: Germany was a developed nation back in late 1910's. Argentina was the
: best developed nation in South America until SHTF. If you monetize the
: debt you head for hyperinflation regardless which nation it is.
|
p********t
发帖数: 1219 | 7 Hyperinflation never happened in a strong military fprce backed powerful
country. It only happended when the government was weak.
It is ridiculous to expect any hyperinflaction. Inflation of some level is
definitely possible.
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】
:
: Germany was a developed nation back in late 1910's. Argentina was the
: best developed nation in South America until SHTF. If you monetize the
: debt you head for hyperinflation regardless which nation it is.
|
s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 8 why? if hyberinflation is posed to happen in a strong military force backed
country, what can they do ?
【在 p********t 的大作中提到】
: Hyperinflation never happened in a strong military fprce backed powerful
: country. It only happended when the government was weak.
: It is ridiculous to expect any hyperinflaction. Inflation of some level is
: definitely possible.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 9 Soviet Union/Russia
【在 p********t 的大作中提到】
: Hyperinflation never happened in a strong military fprce backed powerful
: country. It only happended when the government was weak.
: It is ridiculous to expect any hyperinflaction. Inflation of some level is
: definitely possible.
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 10
Right... After all you could trade your F22 for some goods from China if
HI happens. You are hilarious.
【在 p********t 的大作中提到】
: Hyperinflation never happened in a strong military fprce backed powerful
: country. It only happended when the government was weak.
: It is ridiculous to expect any hyperinflaction. Inflation of some level is
: definitely possible.
|
p********t
发帖数: 1219 | 11 hyperinflation只有在人民对本国货币完全丧失信心的情况下才会发生。对于美元来说
，既没有替代货币，也没有替代物资(黄金/生活必需品等)能够作为一般等价物，那么
就不会有人拒绝美元。
信心归根到底靠国家实力做后盾支撑的。国家实力同时保证了政府的支出不会出现无法
控制的增长。使得政府没有必要有意造成hyperinflation来维持运转。解决入不敷出，
完全可以用有序的美元贬值来实现。
你说的我完全看不懂。中国有什么东西值得美国购买？如果花的不是可以随便印的美元
的话。
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】
:
: Right... After all you could trade your F22 for some goods from China if
: HI happens. You are hilarious.
|
g******n
发帖数: 53185 | 12 把美国政府想的太强大了
【在 p********t 的大作中提到】
: hyperinflation只有在人民对本国货币完全丧失信心的情况下才会发生。对于美元来说
: ，既没有替代货币，也没有替代物资(黄金/生活必需品等)能够作为一般等价物，那么
: 就不会有人拒绝美元。
: 信心归根到底靠国家实力做后盾支撑的。国家实力同时保证了政府的支出不会出现无法
: 控制的增长。使得政府没有必要有意造成hyperinflation来维持运转。解决入不敷出，
: 完全可以用有序的美元贬值来实现。
: 你说的我完全看不懂。中国有什么东西值得美国购买？如果花的不是可以随便印的美元
: 的话。
|
