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发帖数: 22064 | 1 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/10808
Beijing's lack of faith in rule of Kim Jong-un exposed in contingency plans
to detain key North Korean leaders, set up border refugee camps and respond
to "foreign forces"
Documents drawn up by planners from China’s People’s Liberation Army that
were leaked to Japanese media include proposals for detaining key North
Korean leaders
Photo: Getty
By Julian Ryall, Tokyo
12:55PM BST 05 May 2014
China has drawn up detailed contingency plans for the collapse of the North
Korean government, suggesting that Beijing has little faith in the longevity
of Kim Jong-un’s regime.
Documents drawn up by planners from China’s People’s Liberation Army that
were leaked to Japanese media include proposals for detaining key North
Korean leaders and the creation of refugee camps on the Chinese side of the
frontier in the event of an outbreak of civil unrest in the secretive state.
The report calls for stepping up monitoring of China’s 879-mile border with
North Korea.
Any senior North Korean military or political leaders who could be the
target of either rival factions or another “military power,” thought to be
a reference to the United States, should be given protection, the documents
state.
North Korean soldiers patrol the bank of the Yalu River which separates the
North Korean town of Sinuiju from the Chinese border town of Dandong,
northeast China (Getty)
According to Kyodo News, the Chinese report says key North Korean leaders
should be detained in special camps where they can be monitored, but also
prevented from directing further military operations or taking part in
actions that could be damaging to China’s national interest.
The report suggests “foreign forces” could be involved in an incident that
leads to the collapse of internal controls in North Korea, resulting to
millions of refugees attempting to flee. The only route to safety the vast
majority would have would be over the border into China.
The Chinese authorities intend to question new arrivals, determine their
identities and turn away any who are considered dangerous or undesirable.
“This only underlines that all the countries with a stake in the stability
of north-east Asia need to be talking to each other,” Jun Okumura, a
visiting scholar at the Meiji Institute for Global Affairs, told The
Telegraph.
“What we have learned from the collapse of other dictatorships – the
Soviet Union, Muammar Gaddafi’s Libya – is that the more totalitarian the
regime, the harder and faster they fall,” he added.
“This is why we need contingency plans and I am sure that the US and South
Korea have extensive plans in place, but the release of Chinese measures is
new,” he said.
Okumura believes that the timing of the leak of the study is significant,
given that China can have been expected to have similar contingency plans in
place for the past two decades that North Korea has been teetering on the
edge of implosion.
The release of the study comes just days after Beijing issued a thinly
veiled warning to Pyongyang, ahead of a fourth anticipated nuclear test,
that China would “by no means allow war or chaos to occur on our doorstep.
”
China, which is North Korea’s sole remaining significant supporter, also
refused to export any crude oil over its border to the North in the first
three months of the year. |
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