r*****1
发帖数: 3465 | 1 Yahoo Finance By Rick Newman
6 hours ago
What to do about China? It employs millions of people manufacturing things
that used to be Made in America, and sells way more stuff to the United
States than it buys from us.
Donald Trump’s solution is to get tough on China by imposing steep new
tariffs on products made in China. The Republican presidential candidate
told the New York Times recently that he’d levy a 45% tax on Chinese
imports. The idea is to make Chinese goods more expensive so that American
producers who pay their workers more can gain a competitive edge.
There’s a painful side effect to this plan, however: It would, well, make a
lot of products more expensive, and most of the price hikes would come
straight out of consumer wallets. China ships about $500 billion worth of
goods to the United States every year, which is about one-fourth of all
imports. Goods from China include iPhones, TVs, clothes, furniture, toys and
a lot of other things found in nearly every American home. A 45% tariff on
Chinese imports would encourage other low-cost exporters, such as Vietnam,
Bangladesh and Mexico, to ship more goods to America. Whether U.S. producers
would gain an edge is debatable. | r*****1
发帖数: 3465 | 2 The portion of Trump’s 45% tax that would be passed onto consumers would
depend on how much competition there is for any given product. Anything made
exclusively in China would become considerably more expensive. A fancy $100
sweater made only in China wouldn’t suddenly cost $145, because there
would be fewer buyers at the higher price, and weaker demand would force the
manufacturer to adjust the price downward. But it might rise to $115 or $
125, since the producer won’t sell at a loss and would have to account for
the big jump in costs caused by the new tariff.
Even if there’s competition from producers in other countries, prices would
still rise somewhat, since higher prices from one major source allows other
sources to raise their prices, too, and make a bit more profit. So if
clothes made in China were suddenly 45% more expensive to Americans, similar
clothes made in Bangladesh would cost more, as well—not 45% more, but
still, more. | r*****1
发帖数: 3465 | 3 If Trump were to get elected and actually put his tariff into effect, it
would reverse a 20-year trend of declining prices for many consumer goods,
which has helped offset the rising cost of important things like healthcare
and college tuition and occasional spikes in the cost of energy. Overall
inflation, excluding food and energy, is a scant 2% at the moment, a level
so low that economists worry more about deflation than inflation. But a big
tariff on imports would quickly make inflation a big pocketbook concern and
leave consumers with less money to spend on other things. Combine that with
rising energy prices or some other mild shock and it could even cause a
recession.
Trump’s tariff plan would likely meet firm public resistance. Economists
would also protest. “Economists disagree about a lot,” says Ozimek, “but
there’s very strong agreement that free trade benefits Americans, on
average.” A poll of economists by the University of Chicago, for instance,
found that 100% of them believe U.S. trade with China makes most Americans
better off. | r*****1
发帖数: 3465 | 4 Most economists also agree that free trade—like anything that improves
efficiency and market performance—produces winners and losers. And the
losers usually include people who get the job done slower, at a higher cost
than competitors. Protecting underperformers isn’t likely to help the U.S.
economy. Helping them perform better would.
Rick Newman’s latest book is Liberty for All: A Manifesto for Reclaiming
Financial and Political Freedom. Follow him on Twitter: @rickjnewman. | r*****1
发帖数: 3465 | 5 2011年平均汇率 现在
巴西（brl) 1.675 4.03
欧元 0.7185 0.917
人民币 6.4615 6.59
印度卢比 46.671 66.88
日元 79.81 117.67
卢布 29.382 74.85
印尼（idr) 8,770.43 13925
英镑 0.624 0.6888
墨西哥比索 12.423 17.8929
韩元 1,108 1 210.65
沙特 3.75 3.75 (雷打不动拼死挂钩）
加元 0.9895 1.42(鸡姐哭了）
澳元 0.9695 1.44(尼玛，比加元还惨）
阿根廷 4.11 13.89
南非 7.2597 16.2388 | p*a
发帖数: 7676 | | w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 7 印度和墨西哥表现不错，贬值幅度只比韩国、英国大。
【在 r*****1 的大作中提到】
: 2011年平均汇率 现在
: 巴西（brl) 1.675 4.03
: 欧元 0.7185 0.917
: 人民币 6.4615 6.59
: 印度卢比 46.671 66.88
: 日元 79.81 117.67
: 卢布 29.382 74.85
: 印尼（idr) 8,770.43 13925
: 英镑 0.624 0.6888
: 墨西哥比索 12.423 17.8929
| m*****t
发帖数: 16663 | 8 他是来替希拉里竞选的无疑了。
其他也就算了，他这种商人会如此不懂经济，放这种空炮，纯属知道自己当不了总统的
搅局行为。
【在 r*****1 的大作中提到】
: Yahoo Finance By Rick Newman
: 6 hours ago
: What to do about China? It employs millions of people manufacturing things
: that used to be Made in America, and sells way more stuff to the United
: States than it buys from us.
: Donald Trump’s solution is to get tough on China by imposing steep new
: tariffs on products made in China. The Republican presidential candidate
: told the New York Times recently that he’d levy a 45% tax on Chinese
: imports. The idea is to make Chinese goods more expensive so that American
: producers who pay their workers more can gain a competitive edge.
| c****g
发帖数: 37081 | | h*******u
发帖数: 15326 | 10 哈哈
首都人兜里揣满人民币
【在 r*****1 的大作中提到】
: Yahoo Finance By Rick Newman
: 6 hours ago
: What to do about China? It employs millions of people manufacturing things
: that used to be Made in America, and sells way more stuff to the United
: States than it buys from us.
: Donald Trump’s solution is to get tough on China by imposing steep new
: tariffs on products made in China. The Republican presidential candidate
: told the New York Times recently that he’d levy a 45% tax on Chinese
: imports. The idea is to make Chinese goods more expensive so that American
: producers who pay their workers more can gain a competitive edge.
| O*******d
发帖数: 20343 | 11 结果是美国高通货膨胀。
【在 r*****1 的大作中提到】
: Yahoo Finance By Rick Newman
: 6 hours ago
: What to do about China? It employs millions of people manufacturing things
: that used to be Made in America, and sells way more stuff to the United
: States than it buys from us.
: Donald Trump’s solution is to get tough on China by imposing steep new
: tariffs on products made in China. The Republican presidential candidate
: told the New York Times recently that he’d levy a 45% tax on Chinese
: imports. The idea is to make Chinese goods more expensive so that American
: producers who pay their workers more can gain a competitive edge.
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