请教个prior distribution得简单问题 - Quant版 - 未名存档

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Quant版 - 请教个prior distribution得简单问题

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话题: prior话题: toss话题: get

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z****s 发帖数: 532	1 an unfair coin, toss 3 times get HHH in a row, what's the probability to get a H in forth toss? 怎么估计为head的概率呢？
z****g 发帖数: 1978	2 you have to assume one
x******a 发帖数: 6336	3 maximum likelihood? should be 1. see wiki for more http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_likelihood get 【在 z****s 的大作中提到】 : an unfair coin, toss 3 times get HHH in a row, what's the probability to get : a H in forth toss? : 怎么估计为head的概率呢？
m*********g 发帖数: 646	4 MLE? Really ? I thought the op was asking prior probability in Bayesian. 【在 x******a 的大作中提到】 : maximum likelihood? : should be 1. : see wiki for more : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_likelihood : : get

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话题: prior话题: toss话题: get

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