M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 1 Latest forecasts give no justification for
a big drop in SPY, QQQQ or DIA.
This means that any big drop is likely a
bear trap, and a buying opportunity for the
bulls.
Use downtrend line to detect end of sell-off,
as substantial rally should ensure once the
downtrend line is broken to the upside.
Danger or opportunity for bulls?
Methinks it is the latter. | w******s
发帖数: 16209 | 2 following without hesitation
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
: Latest forecasts give no justification for
: a big drop in SPY, QQQQ or DIA.
: This means that any big drop is likely a
: bear trap, and a buying opportunity for the
: bulls.
: Use downtrend line to detect end of sell-off,
: as substantial rally should ensure once the
: downtrend line is broken to the upside.
: Danger or opportunity for bulls?
: Methinks it is the latter.
| b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 3 一早公布的FOMC minutes要仔细看，据说FED在上演宫心计。。。
四房意见不统一，尚宫也很难做人。 | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 4
If the market drops sharply, forecasts suggest
that it will only mean a bigger rally afterwards.
In any event, I don't even expect much more than
say -1% downside (artificially orchestrated by
MMs).
The MMs want to shake out the bulls before taking
prices higher --- as far as I can read their game
plan. Wall Street is more a psychological and
manipulative game than anything else.
If you draw downtrend lines and do not buy until
prices crosses them on the upside, you should be
safe, and be getting in (or averaging down) very
close to the true short-term bottom.
【在 w******s 的大作中提到】
: following without hesitation
| M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 5 LAST NIGHT'S FORECASTS:
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
DIA, 20101011, 110.3000, -0.1537, -0.1
QQQQ, 20101011, 49.7700, -0.0953, -0.2
SPY, 20101011, 116.7100, -0.0938, -0.1
For a significant short-term top, the PERCENT
needs to be about -2.0% or more negative.
That's why I said there was no basis for any sell-
off at all. Any sell-off was orchestrated to scare
and shake out the bulls, and to trap the bears, and
therefore a buying, not selling, opportunity.
Use of downtrend lines would ensure entry at the
exhaustion of the artificial sell-off, and enable
buying very close to the price bottom. | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 6
PERCENT 不到 -2.0 (-2.0%)，市场基本不可能下跌。
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
DIA, 20101012, 110.3100, -0.0456, -0.0
QQQQ, 20101012, 50.1300, -0.0885, -0.2
SPY, 20101012, 117.0500, -0.1259, -0.1
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
: LAST NIGHT'S FORECASTS:
: SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
: DIA, 20101011, 110.3000, -0.1537, -0.1
: QQQQ, 20101011, 49.7700, -0.0953, -0.2
: SPY, 20101011, 116.7100, -0.0938, -0.1
: For a significant short-term top, the PERCENT
: needs to be about -2.0% or more negative.
: That's why I said there was no basis for any sell-
: off at all. Any sell-off was orchestrated to scare
: and shake out the bulls, and to trap the bears, and
| M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 7
Last night's forecasts:
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
SPY, 20101019, 116.5500, 1.3668, 1.2
QQQQ, 20101019, 50.7400, 0.4890, 1.0
DIA, 20101019, 109.8800, 1.3387, 1.2
http://finance.yahoo.com/
http://yhoo.it/9fP6FA
事实证明，金融财阀们可以随心所欲的制造几百点的暴跌，
即使市场本来没有任何其它理由或因素(除了财阀们的舞弊)
会使它跌。星期二(Oct. 19,2010)的跌就是典型的例子。
无知的散户会紧张而抛售，有知的就利用舞弊廉价购入。
金融市场是富强有知者天天合法洗劫贫弱无知者的游戏场所。
金融市场财富再分配的功能是赌场无法比的。数量级的差距。
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
: LAST NIGHT'S FORECASTS:
: SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
: DIA, 20101011, 110.3000, -0.1537, -0.1
: QQQQ, 20101011, 49.7700, -0.0953, -0.2
: SPY, 20101011, 116.7100, -0.0938, -0.1
: For a significant short-term top, the PERCENT
: needs to be about -2.0% or more negative.
: That's why I said there was no basis for any sell-
: off at all. Any sell-off was orchestrated to scare
: and shake out the bulls, and to trap the bears, and
| L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 8
It'll be lot more convincing if you post this last night as you did the '
forecast 'rather than after a 150 point rally.
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
:
: Last night's forecasts:
: SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
: SPY, 20101019, 116.5500, 1.3668, 1.2
: QQQQ, 20101019, 50.7400, 0.4890, 1.0
: DIA, 20101019, 109.8800, 1.3387, 1.2
: http://finance.yahoo.com/
: http://yhoo.it/9fP6FA
: 事实证明，金融财阀们可以随心所欲的制造几百点的暴跌，
: 即使市场本来没有任何其它理由或因素(除了财阀们的舞弊)
| M***y
发帖数: 1594 | 9 My reading system gave the sell signal after yesterday's sell. I reduced my
position from 60% to 30% today. Just be careful. | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 10
I am usually too busy with other things.
But all the numbers were real.
Moreover, the FORECAST gives estimate of extent
of future movement before it exhausts. This can
be helpful in deciding where to exit.
For example:
http://www.mitbbs.com/article/Stock/33080305_3.html
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
WYNN, 20101012, 102.0000, -5.1786, -5.1
gave estimate of downside target roughly as
102-5 or $97 approx. where the downward movement
(i.e. -$5.1786) is likely to exhaust itself or end.
The down movement actually ended at about $97.3
http://yhoo.it/9D4m7u
So, even if a forecast is posted late, the magnitude
of movement is still quite useful as a guide to where
one should consider exiting, since the movement often
exhausts or even begins to reverse once the estimated
price movement took place.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
:
: It'll be lot more convincing if you post this last night as you did the '
: forecast 'rather than after a 150 point rally.
| | | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 11 Just to complete the picture:
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
WYNN, 20101019, 97.8900, 3.3387, 3.4
Last night's forecast says that 97.89+3.34=101.23
is approximately where the upside movement may end,
and therefore the price level to consider taking
profit if you're long WYNN.
http://yhoo.it/9D4m7u | L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 12
well, let's do a test, how about IMAX, what ur system say about tomorrow? i
enter it's call today.
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
: Just to complete the picture:
: SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
: WYNN, 20101019, 97.8900, 3.3387, 3.4
: Last night's forecast says that 97.89+3.34=101.23
: is approximately where the upside movement may end,
: and therefore the price level to consider taking
: profit if you're long WYNN.
: http://yhoo.it/9D4m7u
| M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 13
i
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
IMAX, 20101020, 18.2900, -0.1390, -0.8
No significant downside.
i.e. uptrend likely to continue.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
:
: well, let's do a test, how about IMAX, what ur system say about tomorrow? i
: enter it's call today.
| g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 14 Wow, found another 舍统 here.
What's your 舍统 based on?
Looks like it is ticker by ticker analysis and is based on OHLCV, perhaps.
What time bar size was used, minute, hourly, or daily? | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 15 It is team work and proprietary.
I just use the results.
But the results are generally very good.
Better than anything else I am aware of.
I do not have surprises or anxiety at all.
For example, it has given no bearish signal
and has kept me from the bear camp since
August 26, 2010 when buy signal for the
broad market was given.
Amazingly, latest shows market still not bearish.
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
SPY, 20101020, 118.1300, 0.0647, 0.1
SPY, 20101019, 116.5500, 1.3668, 1.2
So, still too early to be a bear, i.e. no downside.
This may be counter-intuitive to many bears. |
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