t**u
发帖数: 1572 | | v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | | t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 3 是专家预测的
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-25/demark-s-p-500-may-tra
DeMark Says S&P 500 May ‘Trap’ Bulls After Rally
Oct 25, 2011 3:47 PM ET
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may climb above its close yesterday before
starting a retreat in the next three weeks that will “trap” bulls, said
Tom DeMark, the creator of indicators to show turning points in securities.
After the decline that began today ends just above 1,200, the benchmark
gauge for U.S. equities may rally about 5 percent and begin a process that
would signal another drop, DeMark said. The index’s peak will come in
November after it closes higher on four to six successive days, he said.
“The market is going to build a trap, and many of the people who are
bullish are going to be trapped,” DeMark said in an interview today on
Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” hosted by Lisa Murphy and Adam
Johnson. “It’s going to be tired and disappoint everyone.”
The S&P 500 fell 1.9 percent to 1,230.63 as of 3:45 p.m. New York time,
after rallying 3.7 percent over three days.
DeMark said on Oct. 18 that the S&P 500 would climb to 1,254 before
reversing and falling more than 5 percent. The index closed at 1,254.19
yesterday. His prediction last month that a decrease in the index that
started Sept. 16 would end at 1,076 proved prescient when the gauge bottomed
at 1,074.77.
‘Labored’ Upside
After it falls to about 1,206, the S&P 500’s “next move is going to be
labored and it could take two to three weeks,” DeMark said. “It’s going
to be selective rotational and trying on most traders. We don’t see the
money being made that we did see off the October low.”
The S&P 500 advanced from the threshold of a bear market early in October on
steps by European leaders to support banks and higher-than-estimated
corporate earnings. The benchmark gauge rallied 11 percent in October
through yesterday, following a five-month decline.
“There’s not that much more upside in the market,” DeMark said in a
telephone interview yesterday after the close of regular trading. “The
market top is going to be when we’ve had four or five days of successively
higher closes on the S&P 500 from today’s close,” he said. “If that
happens then we go down very hard.”
DeMark, an adviser to Steven A. Cohen’s SAC Capital Advisors LP, provided
consulting to hedge funds including George Soros’s Soros Fund Management
LLC and Leon Cooperman’s Omega Advisors Inc.
【在 v*****k 的大作中提到】
: 太smart了！
| S****X
发帖数: 2301 | 4 日哦~~ 这是不想让人上车啊？ 难到偶的空仓要废？
before
.
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: 是专家预测的
: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-25/demark-s-p-500-may-tra
: DeMark Says S&P 500 May ‘Trap’ Bulls After Rally
: Oct 25, 2011 3:47 PM ET
: The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may climb above its close yesterday before
: starting a retreat in the next three weeks that will “trap” bulls, said
: Tom DeMark, the creator of indicators to show turning points in securities.
: After the decline that began today ends just above 1,200, the benchmark
: gauge for U.S. equities may rally about 5 percent and begin a process that
: would signal another drop, DeMark said. The index’s peak will come in
| v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | 5 这个专家太smart了！
before
.
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: 是专家预测的
: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-25/demark-s-p-500-may-tra
: DeMark Says S&P 500 May ‘Trap’ Bulls After Rally
: Oct 25, 2011 3:47 PM ET
: The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may climb above its close yesterday before
: starting a retreat in the next three weeks that will “trap” bulls, said
: Tom DeMark, the creator of indicators to show turning points in securities.
: After the decline that began today ends just above 1,200, the benchmark
: gauge for U.S. equities may rally about 5 percent and begin a process that
: would signal another drop, DeMark said. The index’s peak will come in
| t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 6 so I am hesitate to long any stock.
【在 v*****k 的大作中提到】
: 这个专家太smart了！
:
: before
: .
| v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | 7 不过我也好像看到很多专家都说这次是真的，为啥你信这个专家呢？
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: so I am hesitate to long any stock.
| t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 8 首先他预测有点准确度。
DeMark said on Oct. 18 that the S&P 500 would climb to 1,254 before
reversing and falling more than 5 percent. The index closed at 1,254.19
yesterday. His prediction last month that a decrease in the index that
started Sept. 16 would end at 1,076 proved prescient when the gauge bottomed
at 1,074.77.
第二， 大盘上升速度过快, 没什么回掉， 难道能冲 １３５０ 或 1400？
【在 v*****k 的大作中提到】
: 不过我也好像看到很多专家都说这次是真的，为啥你信这个专家呢？
| v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | 9 你要相信他当然好，他也可能是对的。回调当然会有，不过我会buy dip
bottomed
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: 首先他预测有点准确度。
: DeMark said on Oct. 18 that the S&P 500 would climb to 1,254 before
: reversing and falling more than 5 percent. The index closed at 1,254.19
: yesterday. His prediction last month that a decrease in the index that
: started Sept. 16 would end at 1,076 proved prescient when the gauge bottomed
: at 1,074.77.
: 第二， 大盘上升速度过快, 没什么回掉， 难道能冲 １３５０ 或 1400？
| t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 10 I am waiting for 回调 to buy dip. But how big is the 回调? who know
【在 v*****k 的大作中提到】
: 你要相信他当然好，他也可能是对的。回调当然会有，不过我会buy dip
:
: bottomed
| l******c
发帖数: 2555 | 11 today's market is controlled by COMPUTER, 200day is too long. 2 seconds
make sense. I believe the algorithms will be in terms of seconds
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: BULL TRAP， 让大家上船，一网打尽
| t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 12 how many bulls were trapped?
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: BULL TRAP， 让大家上船，一网打尽
| l*********m
发帖数: 16971 | 13 last Thu, we are still in bearish mood, how many bulls do you think on this
board?
【在 t**u 的大作中提到】
: how many bulls were trapped?
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